Yet, just as Ukip did a little
worse than some predictions, so the others suffered less badly than first appeared.
That means the future of agriculture as the climate changes could be even
worse than this prediction — and that's before taking into account other factors such as the effect of pests.
(and I'm not a gambler) The reality of AGW has been
worse than the predictions so far, and I see no reason for the streak to end any time soon.
Not exact matches
The safest
prediction is that the biggest beneficiaries of Social Security privatization will be managers of the conservative mutual funds in which the vast majority of workers will invest in the hope that they will be no
worse off
than under the old system.
More striking
than the prophecies of a general extension of shalom are the
predictions that shalom will be extended to Israel's
worst and bitterest enemies.
I think 5 - 1 was a far
worse result
than 8 - 2 because we got to score only one goal to their 5 with a goal difference of 4 compared to 6 if my
prediction had come true!
Chelsea will lose, my
prediction is 4 - 1, maybe i am wrong, maybe we will win 5 - 1, LOL Who knows what will happened, i am feeling that we will trash them, this is same chelsea team which lost against Psg, they are nothing special, they will win league, but to consider them that much better
than us is crazy, for me they are in same hat with us, Bayern, Real and Barca are above, this is reality, we had awfull start of season due to
bad preparation, but we need to give our players credit they deserve, we are equally good as chelsea.
Time for some brutal honesty... this team, as it stands, is in no better position to compete next season
than they were 12 months ago, minus the fact that some fans have been easily snowed by the acquisition of Lacazette, the free transfer LB and the release of Sanogo... if you look at the facts carefully you will see a team that still has far more questions
than answers... to better show what I mean by this statement I will briefly discuss the current state of affairs on a position - by - position basis... in goal we have 4 potential candidates, but in reality we have only 1 option with any real future and somehow he's the only one we have actively tried to get rid of for years because he and his father were a little too involved on social media and he got caught smoking (funny how people still defend Wiltshire under the same and far
worse circumstances)... you would think we would want to keep any goaltender that Juventus had interest in, as they seem to have a pretty good history when it comes to that position... as far as the defenders on our current roster there are only a few individuals whom have the skill and / or youth worthy of our time and / or investment, as such we should get rid of anyone who doesn't meet those simple requirements, which means we should get rid of DeBouchy, Gibbs, Gabriel, Mertz and loan out Chambers to see if last seasons foray with Middlesborough was an anomaly or a
prediction of things to come... some fans have lamented wildly about the return of Mertz to the starting lineup due to his FA Cup performance but these sort of pie in the sky meanderings are indicative of what's wrong with this club and it's wishy - washy fan - base... in addition to these moves the club should aggressively pursue the acquisition of dominant and mobile CB to stabilize an all too fragile defensive group that has self - destructed on numerous occasions over the past 5 seasons... moving forward and building on our need to re-establish our once dominant presence throughout the middle of the park we need to target a CDM then do whatever it takes to get that player into the fold without any of the usual nickel and diming we have become famous for (this kind of ruthless haggling has cost us numerous special players and certainly can't help make the player in question feel good about the way their future potential employer feels about them)... in order for us to become dominant again we need to be strong up the middle again from Goalkeeper to CB to DM to ACM to striker, like we did in our most glorious years before and during Wenger's reign... with this in mind, if we want Ozil to be that dominant attacking midfielder we can't keep leaving him exposed to constant ridicule about his lack of defensive prowess and provide him with the proper players in the final third... he was never a good defensive player in Real or with the German National squad and they certainly didn't suffer as a result of his presence on the pitch... as for the rest of the midfield the blame falls squarely in the hands of Wenger and Gazidis, the fact that Ramsey, Ox, Sanchez and even Ozil were allowed to regularly start when none of the aforementioned had more
than a year left under contract is criminal for a club of this size and financial might... the fact that we could find money for Walcott and Xhaka, who weren't even guaranteed starters, means that our whole business model needs a complete overhaul... for me it's time to get rid of some serious deadweight, even if it means selling them below what you believe their market value is just to simply right this ship and change the stagnant culture that currently exists... this means saying goodbye to Wiltshire, Elneny, Carzola, Walcott and Ramsey... everyone, minus Elneny, have spent just as much time on the training table as on the field of play, which would be manageable if they weren't so inconsistent from a performance standpoint (excluding Carzola, who is like the recent version of Rosicky — too
bad, both will be deeply missed)... in their places we need to bring in some proven performers with no history of injuries... up front, although I do like the possibilities that a player like Lacazette presents, the fact that we had to wait so many years to acquire some true quality at the striker position falls once again squarely at the feet of Wenger... this issue highlights the ultimate scam being perpetrated by this club since the arrival of Kroenke: pretend your a small market club when it comes to making purchases but milk your fans like a big market club when it comes to ticket prices and merchandising... I believe the reason why Wenger hasn't pursued someone of Henry's quality, minus a fairly inexpensive RVP, was that he knew that they would demand players of a similar ilk to be brought on board and that wasn't possible when the business model was that of a «selling» club... does it really make sense that we could only make a cheeky bid for Suarez, or that we couldn't get Higuain over the line when he was being offered up for half the price he eventually went to Juve for, or that we've only paid any interest to strikers who were clearly not going to press their current teams to let them go to Arsenal like Benzema or Cavani... just part of the facade that finally came crashing down when Sanchez finally called their bluff... the fact remains that no one wants to win more
than Sanchez, including Wenger, and although I don't agree with everything that he has done off the field, I would much rather have Alexis front and center
than a manager who has clearly bought into the Kroenke model in large part due to the fact that his enormous ego suggests that only he could accomplish great things without breaking the bank... unfortunately that isn't possible anymore as the game has changed quite dramatically in the last 15 years, which has left a largely complacent and complicit Wenger on the outside looking in... so don't blame those players who demanded more and were left wanting... don't blame those fans who have tried desperately to raise awareness for several years when cracks began to appear... place the blame at the feet of those who were well aware all along of the potential pitfalls of just such a plan but continued to follow it even when it was no longer a financial necessity, like it ever really was...
Moments ago, the State of Oregon released the official homebirth death statistics for 2012 and they are
worse than my
worst prediction.
Cuomo says the projections could be
worse than the original
prediction for a $ 2.4 billion budget gap.
And yet, if Farron is to secure the leadership, then the likelihood is the Liberal Democrats will have to do
worse than even their more pessimistic
predictions.
«The good news is that's lower
than some early
predictions, but the
bad news is it's unsustainable» Walsh said in an interview with The Daily Orange on Monday afternoon.
The problem has been that, forecasting 24 hours ahead, these
predictions have actually been
worse than those produced using an older method of predicting where a typhoon will go.
«So here is my
prediction: if we tested another culture, with equally limited standardized schooling but egocentric spatial language, they should perform
worse than the Haikom.
«Researchers discover ways to improve red tide
predictions: Marine scientists also find reasons why some years for red tide are
worse than others.»
But the good news for Oscar viewers (which is consequently
bad news for my
predictions) is that one of the two remaining races is for Best Picture, which is a more confusing competition
than in any prior year I can recall.
The handset utilises LG's keyboard rather
than Android's with no means to switch — not a disaster, since its spelling correction and word
prediction aren't
bad, but some serial Android users would, no doubt, prefer to have a choice other
than having to instal another keyboard app from the Android Market.
While our Fund Manager of the Year awards are recognition of past contributions rather
than predictions of future results, we're confident in each one's long - term prospects because of their deep research resources and willingness to stick with their discipline in good times and
bad.
Their
predictions were far
worse than you would expect from random chance.
The fact that the hindcasts with their method perform
worse than a standard IPCC scenario, the number of failed previous cooling
predictions, the negative skill in the Gulf Stream and deep - water formation regions... should these not have cautioned them against going to the media to forecast a pause in global warming?
Since the latest data from around the globe seems to indicate that the Klimakatastrophe is progressing even more rapidly
than the
worst - case scenario of the IPCC (e.g. increasing glacier melting rate, decreasing oceans» ability to absorb CO2), I tend to believe Lovelock's
predictions are spot on.
My eyes are more trained on the high end
predictions,
than low end (
worse)
predictions.
This is dramatically
worse than even the dire
predictions from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, which predicts at least a 5 - degree Celsius increase by 2100 as its
worst - case scenario.»
The multimodel mean is not intrinsically
worse in this regard
than the mean of 5 realizations of a diffusion process, the mean time lapse of 4 atomic clocks (as was used in an experiment testing a
prediction of general relativity), or successive measures on an industrial process.
Just as a hypothetical example: If climate scientist will tell me that recent pause in global warming is due to the effect of an inactive sun (which is the reality as reported by following) http://www.spaceweather.com and that they will go back and improve their models to account for this, then I would be more inclined to believe their other claims... Instead the IPCC doubles down on their
predictions and claim the future effects will be
worst than they originally thought?
There are more
than enough concerns and
bad predictions to fill many posts and hundreds of comments to need to resort to exaggerate and extrapolate
predictions beyond what science is telling us.
Even over the past ten years or so, we've seen the best scientific
predictions proved wrong — global warming is getting much
worse, much faster,
than the consensus belief in 1999.
Scientists put out a new study claiming the
worst global warming
predictions could be 15 percent
worse than models suggest, but that's based on a scenario experts say is increasingly unlikely to happen.
The models
predictions were
worse than a naive forecast.
It's also good to keep in mind that CO2 is beneficial; more CO2 is better; any small warming helped along by CO2 is more
than offset by other factors, and the claim that CO2 is in any way
bad is simply an unfounded presumption at this point, since the models»
predictions have all turned out to be wrong in their
predictions.
Even a 10 - degree temperature rise — greater
than climate models»
worst - case
predictions — would leave almost all of the ice frozen.
As the real world evidence mounts that global warming claims are failing, climate activists have ramped up
predictions of future climate change impacts, declaring that it is «
worse than we thought.»
He accuses the NYT of playing down the seriousness of global warming by ignoring: «the substantial number of climate scientists who believe that the consensus
predictions are much too optimistic, including some of the leading scientists right here [at MIT] who have recently run what they call the most extensive modelling ever done and concluded that it's far
worse than anticipated and that their own results are an understatement...» That would be the MIT Climate Research group financed by Exxon, Shell, BP and Total.
Only slightly off - subject: the Guardian's environment editor John Vidal has just published dire
predictions of future temperatures
worse than Monbiot's
worst wet dreams, issuing from an MIT Global Change (that's what they call themselves) thinktank, which is financed by ExxonMobil, Shell, BP and Electricité de France, among others.
A rational public and private sector response to the threat of storm damage in a changing climate must therefore acknowledge scientific uncertainties that are likely to persist beyond the time at which decisions will need to be made, focus more on the risks and benefits of planning for the
worst case scenarios, and recognize that the combination of societal trends and the most confident aspects of climate change
predictions makes future economic impacts substantially more likely
than does either one alone.
The past several years have been warmer
than even the historically warm time periods, so to test our
prediction, we needed to go back to places where those old branches were originally collected, and see if their scale infestations had actually gotten
worse.
Many of us became skeptics not because we didn't believe that climate change was happening, but because the theories, effects, and
predictions were so
badly exaggerated that the overall fabric being woven became more untrue
than true.
BMA is a statistical procedure that infers consensus
predictions by weighing individual
predictions based on their probabilistic likelihood measures, with the better performing
predictions receiving higher weights
than the
worse performing ones.
-- «information is
bad for knowledge» or «the expert problem»: i.e. «additional knowledge of the minutiae of daily business can be useless, even actually toxic» (in making
predictions); the «expert» is no better at making
predictions than anyone else.
[Response: I would by no means disagree that a model
prediction saying «it's
worse than we thought» is meaningless.
And this is not to defensively whine that climate projections are no
worse than many
predictions in other fields.
Unfortunately, it's all very possible... Basically, what Levin does here is compile various
predictions from a number of climate scientists and writers, cite historical precedents for climate - related migrations in the US (the Dust Bowl), and make some compelling inferences as to what could happen as weather conditions continue to get
worse than they ever have before.
When the information / feedback environment is not as conducive to evaluating agent success or failure, and / or when the people paying the bills (or giving status) rewards care about things other
than accurate and useful
predictions, then «skin in the game» is a
bad thing for truth and usefulness, because the incentives may point in other directions.
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) Climate
Prediction Center expects the 2011 hurricane season to be
worst than normal in the Atlantic.
Thus it appears patent holders — and the targets of legal threats based on those patents — are in a
worse position
than ever, unable to make sound
predictions about which business method patents are too abstract to be enforced.