With 10 -
year Treasuries yielding less than 2 % today (from Bloomberg data), investors unwilling to accept such low income may need to direct their investments across riskier assets in the search for yield.
Not exact matches
In the bond market, the 10 -
year US
Treasury yield fell
less than 1 basis point, to 2.79 %, near the key 3 % level that traders are closely watching.
The
yield on the 10 -
year Treasury note dipped, suggesting
less concern about a Fed rate increase.
Concern remained over higher bond
yields after the
yield on the U.S. 10 -
year Treasury breached 3 percent level on Tuesday, making equities relatively
less attractive.
During 1952 - 54, when the 10 -
year Treasury yield averaged about 2.5 %, its duration was only slightly
less than today's 10 -
year Treasury at 2.00 %
yield.
Since 1953, whenever the 10 -
year Treasury yield was higher than the 500's
yield by
less than 100 bps, the S&P 500 gained an average 12 percent in price during the subsequent 12 months, and recorded positive results nearly 90 percent of the time.
At present, more than one - third of the publicly held float in
Treasury debt is financed at maturities of
less than a
year and at
yields well below 1 %.
[Note - Applying this alternate criteria also relaxes the
yield curve criterion (2) so that any difference of
less than 3.1 % between the 10 -
year Treasury yield and the 3 - month
Treasury bill
yield is actually sufficient to complete the syndrome].
Currently, participants who have not taken a distribution receive interest credits at the rate equal to the 30 -
year Treasury bond
yield plus 0.5 % but not
less than 5 %; the «interest credit» rate is adjusted annually.
Right on cue, the
yield on the 10 -
year U.S.
Treasury — then 1.37 % — has nearly doubled in
less than five months.
When the spread between the 90 - day and 10 -
year Treasury yield is 121 basis points or more, the stock market does much better than when it's 120 basis points or
less.
Less than two
years ago, July 2016 to be precise, 10 -
year Treasury notes provided a parsimonious
yield of 1.37 percent.
Taking this key metric into account, I ran a screen for dividend payers in the energy and materials sector, trading on a major U.S. exchange with
yields better than the 10 -
year Treasury and an even more sustainable payout ratio of
less than 25 % — lower than the S&P 500 average.
Less than 10
years ago, investors could turn to simple U.S.
Treasuries to achieve a 4 %
yield, according to Bloomberg data.
The Japanese 10 -
year yields a pitiful 0.69 %,
less than half the
yield of the also pitifully low 10 -
year U.S.
Treasury.
Should 2 -
year Treasury notes
yield less than CPI inflation?
Okay, 30 -
year swap
yields have been
less than
Treasuries for some time.
At this writing the 30
year US
treasury bond
yields just 3.137 % —
less than half of the tax free municipal bond!
The 6 - month change in employment (using Household Survey data) had turned negative and the spread between 2 -
year Treasury yields and the Fed Funds rates fell to
less than -1.3 percentage points.
My measure of credit stress, the 2 -
year Treasury less A2 / P2
yields, is at a new record.
30 -
year swap
yields should not be
less than
Treasury yields — they are more risky, but do do the arbitrage, one would need a very strong balance sheet, with an ability to hold the trade for a few decades.
The
yield of 10
year US
Treasury Notes is down to
less than 1.8 %, while oft - maligned gold is coming back into favor.
The
yield of 10
year US
Treasury Notes is down to
less than 1.8 %, while oft - maligned gold is Read more -LSB-...]
Mortgage rates follow the
yield on the 10 -
year Treasury bond, so what is happening with the short - term targets from the Fed matters far
less.
For instance, since the early 1980s, the
yield on the benchmark 10 -
year Treasury note has fallen from roughly 16 % to 2 % and the Standard & Poor's 500 - stock index has climbed from
less than eight times earnings to 25 times earnings.
[2] A 6 % discount rate is used if the risk - free US 10
Year Treasury Yield is
yielding less than 6 %.
Treasury note
yields are under 1 percent for maturities of
less than five
years.
Looking back on a
year of interest rate movements, Wander observes that today the
yield spread between 2 - and 10 -
year Treasuries is about 0.50 %, «
less than half of where we started 2017.»
This
year investors who followed the MFIP were led to shorten maturities (therefore lowering their interest - rate risk) and also to use higher -
yielding corporate bonds rather than
Treasuries or mortgage - backed securities (thereby keeping lower duration and
less interest - rate risk).
During that same time, the
yield on the 10
Year Treasury note increased less than 1/2 of one percent; having a nominal effect on mortgage rates throughout the two year per
Year Treasury note increased
less than 1/2 of one percent; having a nominal effect on mortgage rates throughout the two
year per
year period.
However, with interest rates at or very near historical lows — at this time, the one - month
Treasury yield is 0.15 % and the five -
year yield is
less than 1.5 % — further interest rate declines appear unlikely.
The search for
yield in a world where the benchmark 10 -
year U.S.
Treasury note offers
less than 2 % is a tough task.
Even the 10 -
year U.S.
Treasury note is
yielding less than 3 %.
That's below the
yield on 10 -
year treasuries, so the often - cited argument that the income generated from holding stocks is preferred to that offered by bonds, holds far
less weight.
The BarCap U.S. Corporate High
Yield - to - Worst 10 - year Treasury spread fell from 5.81 to 4.58, while the US 10 - year Treasury yield bottomed out at 1.32 % on July 6.1 Volatility, in the form of VIX, eased during the third quarter, falling from 15.63 to 13.20.1 Although the economy appeared less vibrant in September, a bias toward higher interest rates, a downward slant in high yield spreads and benign volatility were all favorable for investor risk ta
Yield - to - Worst 10 -
year Treasury spread fell from 5.81 to 4.58, while the US 10 -
year Treasury yield bottomed out at 1.32 % on July 6.1 Volatility, in the form of VIX, eased during the third quarter, falling from 15.63 to 13.20.1 Although the economy appeared less vibrant in September, a bias toward higher interest rates, a downward slant in high yield spreads and benign volatility were all favorable for investor risk ta
yield bottomed out at 1.32 % on July 6.1 Volatility, in the form of VIX, eased during the third quarter, falling from 15.63 to 13.20.1 Although the economy appeared
less vibrant in September, a bias toward higher interest rates, a downward slant in high
yield spreads and benign volatility were all favorable for investor risk ta
yield spreads and benign volatility were all favorable for investor risk taking.
KTP also carries a unique call - option: callable at any time at a price that would make the
yield equal to the 30 -
year US
Treasury bond plus 20 basis points and never
less than par ($ 25).
We wrote at the time: «As of 7:48 a.m. this morning, the spread between the 10 -
year Treasury Note (
yielding 2.33 percent) and 30 -
year Treasury Bond (
yielding 2.81 percent) is even smaller, at a meager 48 basis points or
less than half of one percent.
A safe withdrawal rate is the
lesser of the
yield on the 10
year treasury +1 %, or 7 %.
In one measure that Makin calls a «flashing red light,»
yields on 10 -
year Treasury bonds, which rise with inflation worries, have slipped to
less than 3 % from 4 % in April.