Taxable Bonds — Treasury yields were all up again this week, with the 2 -
year Treasury increasing by 9 bps and now yielding 2.46 %.
Taxable Bonds — Treasury yields were mixed this week, with the 2 -
year Treasury increasing by 2 bps to now yield 2.50 %.
The 2 -
year Treasury increased 12 bps to yield 1.38 %.
In May of 2017 the yield on 10 -
year Treasuries increased to 2.4 percent resulting in a 0.69 basis point increase in the federal student loan rates.
The 10 -
year Treasury increased almost 100 basis points in the fourth quarter, from roughly 1.55 to 2.45 percent.
Not exact matches
The Daily
Treasury Statement showed that for the month of October, $ 152.5 B was collected vs. $ 137.6 B a
year ago, a $ 14.9 B or +10.9 %
increase.
The Daily
Treasury Statement showed that 4 days into October, $ 37.6 B was collected vs. $ 35.3 B a
year ago, a $ 2.3 B
increase.
The iShares 20 +
Year Treasury Bond ETF has also been receiving
increased attention from investors.
Indeed, the 10 -
year Treasury yield hit a four -
year high on Friday after the latest monthly U.S. jobs report showed solid wage gains, effectively confirming an expected rate
increase at the Federal Reserves next meeting, in March.
The yield on the 10 -
year Treasury note dipped, suggesting less concern about a Fed rate
increase.
Treasuries extended declines from October, pushing 10 -
year yields to a five - week high, as the probability of a Federal Reserve interest - rate
increase by
year - end hovered near 50 percent.
Nickel set for biggest weekly
increase since April 2009 Dow Jones Industrial Average reaches record on Thursday Gold heading for worst week in a month Largest
increase in 30 -
year Treasury yields since 2009 Italian bonds are poised for worst three - week selloff since 2011 Emerging - market stocks set for biggest three - day slide since August 2015 Mexico's peso plunges 12 percent in three daysCommodities
The solution is actually
increase education about the sexiness of the 10 -
year treasury bond (IEF), or tax free municipal bonds (MUB) etc..
Rising rate periods are calculated by sorting through the daily 10 -
year treasury rates from 12/21/2010 and counting any period shorter than 60 days with at least a 40bp
increase in the 10 -
year treasury from the start of the period to the end of the period.
While we would be inclined to
increase the duration of the Strategic Total Return Fund modestly if the 10 -
year Treasury yield was to push beyond 4 % or so, we are comfortable with our current duration of just under 4
years.
We saw an
increase in the supply of
Treasury bills after lawmakers pushed the debt limit into next
year.
Over the past
year, the Fed has bought about $ 32 billion of
Treasury securities outright, and has paid for these by injecting $ 32 billion into the economy, which shows up as an
increase in the «Monetary Base.»
While I would expect downward pressure on
Treasury yields in the event of fresh credit strains, we are not inclined to
increase our portfolio duration until (unless) we observe a spike in the 10 -
year yield toward 4 % or higher.
Western allies press Trump to maintain nuclear deal with Iran: Reuters US intelligence monitors Iranian cargo shipments into Syria: CNN A trade war is a major risk for China's debt - ridden economy: CNBC Federal judge orders gov» t must accept new DACA immigration applications: WaPo Unification of Koreas still unlikely as leaders prepare to meet: Reuters US Consumer Confidence Index rebounded in April after March decline: CB New home sales in US
increased to 4 - month high in March: MarketWatch Richmond Fed Mfg Index turns negative for first time since 2016: Bond Buyer S&P Case - Shiller Home Price Index surged in Feb, up 6.3 % y - o - y: CNBC Federal Housing Finance Agency: US house prices continued to rise in Feb: HW Corp bonds with lowest investment - grade rating look vulnerable: Bloomberg 10 -
year Treasury yield reaches 3.0 % for first time since 2014: CNN Money
In 2013, the Fed indicated it would begin to reduce its bond purchases and 10 -
year US
Treasury rates
increased by 1.3 percent to 3.02 percent.
1: Widening credit spreads: An
increase over the past 6 months in either the spread between commercial paper and 3 - month
Treasury yields, or between the Dow Corporate Bond Index yield and 10 -
year Treasury yields.
The price of the 30 -
year Treasury bond
increased 15/32, lowering its yield to 3.123 %
The Fed, however, has been signaling rate
increases for quite some time now, so it might be a bit surprising that the markets would adjust that drastically to the recent changes in the 10 -
year treasury rate, which has grown by 35 basis points over the past
year.
When the
Treasury increased borrowing in short - term
Treasuries earlier this
year, short - term interest rates rose significantly.
A one - percentage point cut in the GST / HST would cost the federal
treasury up to $ 7 billion per
year, thereby further
increasing the deficit.
Interest rates are also projected to rise, with the rate on 10 -
year Treasury notes
increasing from today's 2.9 percent to stabilize around 3.7 percent over the medium - term, significantly below the historical average.
Meanwhile, with 10 -
year Treasury yields no longer significantly negative in real terms, and
increasing divergences in market action within the commodity space, we are rapidly cutting our exposure to commodities and oil.
Prior the recent
increase, China had been trimming its US
Treasury holdings in the second half of last
year after they climbed above $ US1.20 trillion in August.
On the supply side, the US
Treasury will need to roll over securities worth $ 3.5 trillion next
year, an
increase of $ 100 billion from this
year.
Treasury is now amending the PSPAs to allow the cap on
Treasury's funding commitment under these agreements to
increase as necessary to accommodate any cumulative reduction in net worth over the next three
years.»
Yet in a move that was clearly no part of Congressional intent, the
Treasury has announced that it will allow this commitment to «
increase as necessary to accommodate any cumulative reduction in net worth over the next three
years.»
Amidst this backdrop, the 10 -
year Treasury yield declined while short term rates
increased, causing further flattening of the yield curve.
Name: Carolyn Graham, FCPA, FCA, ICD.D Title: Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer Areas of responsibility: Finance,
treasury, capital management, strategy and investor relations, legal services
Years with CWB Financial Group: 18 Career history: Has served at CWB in roles with
increasing responsibility since 2000, including Chief Accountant to which she was appointed in 2005.
Compositional analysis of mortgage rates indicates that the 66 basis point
increase over the September 2017 to April 2018 period reflects an
increase in the 10 -
Year Treasury Note rate.
Rates on home equity installment loans follow the 10 -
year Treasury yield, so will gradually
increase.
An assessment of the 10 -
Year Treasury Note rate indicates that its
increase reflects a higher 3 - month
Treasury bill rate.
As illustrated in the figure above, the 10 -
Year Treasury Note rate has
increased by 67 basis points while the mortgage risk premium, which reflects the added risk of mortgage borrowers over the federal government, fell by one basis point.
In contrast,
Treasury yield volatility has recently headed lower — even as five -
year Treasury yields have risen along with expectations of a March rate
increase.
Does not see the Federal Reserve
increasing interest rates higher than the yield on the U.S.
Treasury 10 -
Year Bond..
Inflation compensation rose by 30 basis points to 1.87 percent while the real return, taken from the rate on the 10 -
Year Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (10 -
Year TIPS),
increased by 19 basis points to 0.46 percent.
After having risen 19 basis points the first week of July, the yield on the S&P / BGCantor Current 10
Year U.S.
Treasury Bond Index dropped 20 basis points from the July 3rd 2.72 % to its current 2.52 %, offsetting the initial
increase.
Just a 0.2 percentage point
increase in
Treasury yields could wipe out a whole
year's worth of yield income.
Yields on both have
increased this
year, with the corporate bond yield breaking above 3 % and
Treasury yield rising to just shy of 2.5 %.
The unit, the chief investment office (CIO), has been the biggest buyer of European mortgage - backed bonds and other complex debt securities such as collateralized loan obligations in all markets for more than three
years... The unit made a deliberate move out of safer assets such as US
Treasuries in 2009 in an effort to
increase returns and diversify investments.»
Oversea - Chinese Banking Corp. and ABN Amro Group NV see gold sliding to $ 1,100 an ounce by the end of next
year as the Federal Reserve tightens monetary policy, real
Treasury yields
increase and the U.S. currency rises.
With the recent
increases in the Federal Reserve's short - term rate and the
Treasury 10 -
year note, all eyes are on mortgage rates to determine if this might be the last, best time to refinance.
The price action in 2 yr
Treasury Notes is an indication that traders expect
increased rates of inflation for the next few
years (or longer).
The first one basically being that you know, as we have seen over the past two
years, even with the emergency monetary stimulus that they're able to grow their balance sheet, which creates excess reserves into the system and in a variety ways and that means, they are purchasing bonds, purchasing mortgages, purchasing
treasuries, which
increases the amount of monetary supply — the money available to help all set the conditions that they are trying to counterbalance.
Despite prospects for
increased inflation in the near future,
treasuries have rallied into
year end.
Traders are pushing
Treasury rates higher in anticipation of
increased levels of inflation over the course of the next several
years.