or Graham's 10
year average earnings?
Though I am using Shiller's data set, it shows that 10 -
year average earnings are not enough.
Shiller's P / E is the ratio between current prices and average earnings over the last 10 years, the idea being that you can get a better sense of the long - term trend via 10 -
year average earnings rather than by short - term figures.
Horizontal factor: Dr. Shiller's Cyclically Adjusted P / E (Ten
year average earnings divided by price) Hypothesis: The higher the CAPE10 earnings yield, the faster the market will rise.
The consensus of 17 analysts reporting to Standard & Poor's Capital IQ expect Rosetta Resources» five -
year average earnings growth rate to exceed 25 % per annum.
Ignore Shiller when he does the 10 -
year average earnings.
Earnings Yield reflects a company's past four -
year average earnings before interest and tax, divided by its current enterprise value (enterprise value = market value + debt — cash).
Return on Capital reflects a company's four -
year average earnings before interest and tax, divided by its current equity + long - term debt.
It uses 10 years of past earnings, adjusts for inflation, and then divides the 10 -
year average earnings by stock prices to come to a simple ratio.
Last week, the S&P 500 Index ascended to a Shiller P / E in excess of 24 (this «cyclically - adjusted P / E» or CAPE represents the ratio of the S&P 500 to 10 -
year average earnings, adjusted for inflation).
But Exxon pays half its annual bonus in cash immediately and in its proxy, it cited one - and five - year return on average capital, current - year and five -
year average earnings, and current - year as well as the ten - year average annual shareholder returns as part of the justification for its pay.
Applying those multiples to today's real 10 -
year averaged earnings ($ 55) would imply an S&P 500 Index of 825, 715, 550, and 385, respectively.
Not exact matches
The forward price /
earnings ratio of the top 25 % of S&P 500 stocks by dividend yield is 17, vs. a 36 -
year average of 12, according to Ned Davis Research.
Shiller's CAPE ratio measures the stock price divided by the
average of ten
years of
earnings, adjusted for inflation.
The economists who did the research for the Federal Reserve Bank of New York concluded that
average workers see most of their
earnings grow during the first 10
years of their career and begin to stagnate after age 35.
The firm says the option market is pricing in an
earnings - related move of 3.6 %, above its three -
year average realized move of 2.5 %.
Its
average forward price - to -
earnings ratio has been 13 over the past two
years.
That's exactly what sparked the stock market correction last month: a higher - than - expected
average hourly
earnings number in January's jobs report ignited fears that inflation might finally be coming to life, and in response the Federal Reserve may look to hike rates more aggressively than the three projected increases for this
year.
On
average, analysts expect the bank to report
earnings of $ 4.35 a share for the fourth quarter, versus $ 4.60 a share a
year earlier.
Apple, hard to characterise as an out and out manufacturer or pure technology play, currently trades at 13.5 times its estimated
earnings for the next twelve months, higher than its five -
year average of close to 13.
It gives the most accurate picture of the market P / E by calculating a ten -
year average of inflation - adjusted
earnings as the «E,» a formula that eliminates the bigs swings that make P / Es look overly extended when profits temporarily collapse, and more attractive than warranted when
earnings spike, the scenario today.
Analysts on
average were expecting
earnings of 65 cents per share, according to Thomson Reuters I / B / E / S. Revenue was $ 41.7 billion, compared with $ 41.8 billion in the
year - earlier period.
«Latest estimates show that
average weekly
earnings for employees in Great Britain in real terms (that is, adjusted for price inflation) fell by 0.7 % including bonuses, and fell by 0.5 % excluding bonuses, compared with a
year earlier,» the ONS said.
By contrast, college graduates with four -
year degrees have
average lifetime
earnings of $ 2,268,000 — nearly a million dollars more.
Average hourly
earnings increased by 2.9 %
year - on -
year.
In January 2016, for instance, a
year before Trump took office, BLS announced real
average hourly
earnings for employees increased.4 %, and real
average weekly
earnings had increased.7 %, higher figures than those from June 2017.
Growth for
average hourly
earnings reached a postcrisis high of 2.9 %
year - over-
year in December, much higher than the trough of 1.3 % in October 2012.
Over that past 20
years, the price - to -
earnings ratio of the Nasdaq Biotechnology Index has
averaged 2.3 times the S&P 500 P / E ratio; today, the current ratio is mere 1.3 x, a 54 percent discount to its 20 -
year average (according to Thomson Reuters, as of Sept. 26, 2017.)
The recent
earnings boost has helped make Boeing the best - performing stock in the Dow Jones industrial
average this
year.
Our 2013
year - end target of 1600 implies a 10 % price return, where most of the appreciation can be attributed to
earnings growth of 7 % next
year, along with modest multiple expansion from 14.2 x to 14.7 x on trailing
earnings, still below an
average PE of 16x.
The group's Salary Forecast, which looks at real wages (i.e
average increases in
earnings adjusted for inflation), predicts that American employees will see their incomes grow by 2.7 percent this
year.
The government data showed that
average hourly
earnings grew by 6 cents or 0.4 %, the biggest jump this
year, while the SurePayroll pay index increased for the second straight month.
Emerson said adjusted net
earnings per share for fiscal
year ending September, 2018 were expected to be $ 2.85 at the mid point, compared with an
average...
In general, so - called value stocks — often defined as those trading at
earnings multiples below the market
average or their own historical norms — have tricked a lot of investors in the most recent phase of the current bull market, which has worn on nearly seven and a half
years.
The S&P 500's forward price - to -
earnings ratio has slid from 18.6 on Jan. 26 to 17 on Feb. 5 to 16.2 entering this week — and 16.2 also happens to be exactly the five -
year average multiple.
Skeptics see a company whose
earnings - per - share growth, which has
averaged 30 % annually over the past five
years, is bound to slow down, which makes it tough to justify paying 23 times estimated 2017
earnings for the stock.
They found that «on
average associate's and bachelor's degree students experience a decline in
earnings after attendance, relative to their own
earnings in
years prior to attendance,» according to a summary of the report published by the National Bureau of Economic Research.
However, 2016 saw wages climb at a somewhat faster rate, with
average hourly
earnings growing in a range of 2.2 % to 2.6 %
year - over-
year, and hitting a post-recession high of 2.8 % in October before coming in at 2.5 % in November.
While he thinks Starbucks» EPS growth could slow from the 30 % it has
averaged for the past five
years, he still expects
earnings to more than double by 2021, «enough conservatively estimated to get us to a strong double - digit return.»
The Social Security formula also
averages your 35
years of highest
earnings, including zeros, to determine your monthly benefit.
Developed by Yale economist Robert Shiller, it uses not current
earnings - per - share as the denominator, but a ten -
year average of inflation - adjusted EPS.
Yet
earnings as a share of national income have surged to near records, hitting 9 % in recent
years, 50 % over their pre-2008, long - term
average of 6 %.
A selloff in U.S. stocks earlier this week was in large part sparked by the Feb. 2 monthly U.S. employment report which showed the largest
year - on -
year increase in
average hourly
earnings since June 2009.
If you look at DuPont's continuing businesses — not the ones it has gotten out of, or the ones it is spinning off — its operating
earnings per share have grown by 19 % a
year on
average since Kullman took over, according to the company.
Using the
average of the past three
years» recast
earnings ($ 67,474), you'll get a range of $ 472,318 to $ 506,055.
CAPE is calculated by taking the S&P 500 and dividing it by the
average of ten
years worth of
earnings.
In reporting first - quarter
earnings last week, Merrill said its 13,725 brokers were on target to produce an
average of $ 1.06 million each this
year, one of the highest
averages in the brokerage industry.
The Shiller price /
earnings ratio, which compares companies» share prices with their inflation - adjusted 10 -
year earnings average, is at 31, well above the historical median of 16 — a sign that future returns will be sluggish.
The
average year - end target on the S&P 500 is 2,225 on
earnings of $ 125.35, with the median forecast for the S&P 500 to rise to 2,213 on
earnings of $ 126.
Nintendo's stock looks relatively affordable despite its recent gains, with its American depositary receipt trading at a price - to -
earnings ratio that's less than half its five -
year average.