Sentences with phrase «year bull cycle»

Not exact matches

Here again, bull markets have tended to carry on a while — even years of fresh record highs — after the bull / ratio peaks for a cycle.

Almost nine years old, both the stock market rally and the US economic growth cycle ought to be mature, but the bull market may have the dynamism to carry prices higher still.

While there's a great deal of variation across individual market cycles, that's roughly the historical average for a 5.25 year market cycle: a 135 % gain, a 30 % loss, and a 65 % full - cycle return (about 10 % compounded annually, with the full - cycle return coming in at less than half of the bull market gain).

Considering that the stock market has already been rallying for five years since the lows of 2009, it is very possible the bull market has already run its course (every stock market runs in cycles).

Table 1 shows the years of each bull - bear cycle, the length of the bull and bear phase, and depth of the following bear market.

We think 2018 will add another year to this longer - than - average bull market, but we believe we are moving to the third period of this cycle.

From the results, we can see that even after 38 years of consistent saving, you'll only have around $ 1,000,000 to $ 5,000,000 in your 401k in a realistic cycle of bull and bear markets.

In other words, if we experience a modest bear - market cycle this year within the longer bull market he wouldn't be surprised.

However, we also believe that market volatility could remain heightened throughout the year due to the increased risk of a trade war with China, uncertainty around the approaching mid-term elections, the potential for increased regulation of large technology companies, and increased investor wariness of market valuations in the midst of the elongated bull market cycle.

An average bear market within a «secular» bear market period (a period generally about 17 - 18 years, where valuations begin at rich levels and achieve progressively lower levels over the course of 3 - 4 separate bull - bear cycles) is about 39 %, and wipes out about 80 % of the preceding bull market advance.

Historically this particular bull - bear cycle lasts about 4 years, with 25 % (or 1 year) of that time spent in active bear conditions.

Referencing low interest rates and / or low recession probability is shortsighted, particularly when investors are eight - and - a-half years into the bull - bear cycle.

Our hedging approach is intended to be applied over a complete market cycle - generally several years, but in any event comprising a complete bull and bear market.

The reason for this temporary overshoot is clear from the chart at the beginning of this weekly comment: the most recent 10 - year period captures a trough - to - peak move: one full cycle plus an unfinished bull half - cycle.

When they assess the merit of their strategy, they consider the time - period from 1982 (the beginning of the last bull cycle) through 1999 as well, years when Buy - and - Hold performed very well indeed.

The fund is over 3 years old which shows that the fund is yet to various bull and bear cycles.

«You'll go through 10 years of cycles, very much like Japan, where you'll have bull markets and bear markets.»

The credit cycle tends to be like this: in the bull phase, a long period (4 - 7 years) with few defaults and low loss severity followed by a bear phase, a shorter period (1 - 3 years) with high defaults and high loss severity.

On the other hand, over the course of a market cycle lasting five or 10 years and including a bull and a bear market, the price of a given security is likely to change significantly.

The IS dates will be from 1/1/2002 to 12/31/2011, which gives us 10 years of data and bull / bear market cycle.

As you can see, except for the secular bull market of 1921 - 1929, secular market cycles last on average 16 to 20 years!

«We've effectively been in a bull cycle for the last five years, which means you're playing the odds,» Suster said.