Leaving lag effects observed in the glacial — interglacial records aside, explain how using GISP2 data we have a ~ 7 - 9000
year cooling trend with a 3 C drop, while using Epic CO2 data CO2 was increasing from 260 - 280?
A fatal mistake which if the current 8
year cooling trend steepens and lengthens sufficiently that it becomes obvious to everyone, will destroy the credibility of AR5 and bring about the dissolution of the IPCC, or at least a dramatic reform of said gravy train of fools.
As others have pointed out, a short term (yes, 30 years or 100 years is short term) warming trend is a reason to panic, but a 10
year cooling trend is short - term variability.
It shows a 50 -
year cooling trend,» the analysis concluded.
Identify the mechanism that has caused the 38 -
year cooling trend in the Southern Ocean and the increase in SH sea ice extent.
Since the significant global impact of the 1997 - 98 Super El Nino, the overall U.S. has experienced a 16 -
year cooling trend of -3.8 °F per century.
Correct 15 -
year cooling trend for continental U.S. is minus 2.1 °F per century.
The correct 16 -
year cooling trend is minus 3.8 °F per century.
Summer isn't quite over yet, but it was another cool summer in the US with afternoon temperatures continuing a 125
year cooling trend.
i.e. a 30
year cooling trend to about 2030, followed by 30 year warming trend etc. on top of other fluctuations.
If you notice, the reference to a 10
year cooling trend was a QUESTION, not an opinion on my part.
Goddard also relies on the same reviled NOAA data in his botched attempt to buttress his case that NASA is «hiding» an 80
year cooling trend.
Back in 1990 Stephen Schneider's response to this was: «I am unconcerned about 10,000
year cooling trends (which we'd likely avert with carefully selected CFC - like greenhouse gases in 1000 years, I suspect.)»
Nor is there any requirement that a single cause operate throughout the entire 5000 — year long warming trends, and the 70,000
year cooling trends.
As for blowing out GCM CI's, recall that «9 out of 55 runs of model E exhibit 8 -
year cooling trends».
We expect 17 in 61 (or whatever) 10
year cooling trends if the hypothesis that the + AGW models reflect the actual climate, and we've encountered..
It's been a while so I'm going off memory, but I believe I pretty much couldn't find 50 -
year cooling trends after 1950 yet could find them throughout the rest of the record.
Not exact matches
In this
year's search for the World's
Coolest Offices, we noticed a
trend: The walls are getting much more interesting.
That would be less than one fourth of the
year - over-
year gain that occurred over the previous 12 months, suggesting that a
cooling trend is on the horizon.
Despite a potential
cooling trend, home prices in the Boston real estate market will likely continue rising for the foreseeable future (i.e., the next few
years).
In fact, we're seeing a general
cooling trend in many major cities already, particularly those that experienced larger - than - average home price gains over the last
year (such as San Francisco).
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Trending Story:
Cooling temperatures slow crop development and lengthen bloom for Napa Valley grower «In mid-April, vine development was maybe one to two weeks ahead of last
year, which was anywhere from two to three weeks ahead of normal,» Domenick Bianco says.
In the past, sharps have always loved home dogs getting points on the Monday night game, but the
trend has
cooled in recent
years.
That and the fact that somebody in EU leadership could be even remotely responsible for economic disaster it will create with absolute no effect whatsoever (or they will hijack the
cooling trend the Earth is experiencing (for last 5000
years or so), for their own victory).
That
cooling trend wouldn't have reversed naturally for at least another 4,000
years.
James Zachos at the University of California, Santa Cruz, and colleagues, have shown that the Earth has been on a long - term
cooling trend for the past 65 million
years (Science, vol 292, p 686).
While a 16 -
year - period is too short a time to draw conclusions about
trends, the researchers found that warming continued at most locations on the planet and during much of the
year, but that warming was offset by strong
cooling during winter months in the Northern Hemisphere.
A 2000 -
year - long Arctic
cooling trend seen in a surface air temperature reconstruction was reversed during the last century.
The
cooling trend was reversed during the 20th century, with four of the five warmest decades of our 2000 -
year - long reconstruction occurring between 1950 and 2000.
A more recent
cooling trend was interrupted by last
year's El Nino.
These phenomena warm or
cool the tropical Pacific and are thought to have played a role in the flattening of the long - term warming
trend over the past 15
years.
So the report notes that the current «pause» in new global average temperature records since 1998 — a
year that saw the second strongest El Nino on record and shattered warming records — does not reflect the long - term
trend and may be explained by the oceans absorbing the majority of the extra heat trapped by greenhouse gases as well as the
cooling contributions of volcanic eruptions.
The writing is on the wall, after 23
years of no significant warming and the last 8
years showing a slight
cooling trend, there is every chance that we could see a steeper
cooling trend arrive, PDO, AMO, Livingston and Penn (ap?).
Monckton says «The Antarctic, which holds 90 percent of the world's ice and nearly all its 160,000 glaciers, has
cooled and gained ice - mass over the past 30
years, reversing a 6,000 -
year melting
trend.»
While the nation's weather in individual
years or even for periods of
years has been hotter or
cooler and drier or wetter than in other periods, the new study shows that over the last century there has been no
trend in one direction or another.
As far as I can tell, the smart money is betting on a
cooling trend in GMST that will last another 20
years or more.
Thus, a large volcanic explosion this
year would result in
cooling temperatures for a few
years... but the long - term
trend would soon override this.
Isn't a flat, or slight
cooling trend in the surface data over the last 3
years some «good» news to crow about?
In the last 35
years of global warming, the sun has shown a slight
cooling trend.
The
cooling trend didn't start to bite properly until well into this
year, but the
cooler anomalies have become a permanent fixture since the start of summmer.
«Global temps have flat lined since 2001... This is nothing like anything we've seen since 1950...
Cooling trend could last for up to 30
years» — June 22, 2009
It appears that the climate changes according to a repeating 60
year or so pattern with 30
years of general warming and 30
years of general
cooling, this pattern superimposed, we hope, on a very slow longer term warming
trend.
...» Could go into hiding for decades» study finds — Discovery.com — March 2, 2009 — And See: «Global temps have flat lined since 2001... This is nothing like anything we've seen since 1950...
Cooling trend could last for up to 30
years» — June 22, 2009)
First, stratospheric T 100 - 50 hPa has a global
cooling trend for past 50
years (see Sterin thereafter for example), but how could we explain that if TSI has no change at all, particularly since 1980 (PMOD composite)?
While some places were
cooler this
year than in recent summers, they may have still been above average over the entire period of record, as warming
trends in
Maureen Raymo, William Ruddiman and others propose that the Tibetan and Colorado Plateaus are immense CO2 «scrubbers» with a capacity to remove enough CO2 from the global atmosphere to be a significant causal factor of the 40 million
year Cenozoic
Cooling trend.
Over the last 35
years the sun has shown a
cooling trend.
Interglacial
trends over the past 400,000
years exhibit steep warming onsets, slower
cooling rates and nearly flat plateaus.
It appears the past millennia Holocene
cooling trends in the Antarctic are approximately half way between the 11,000 -
year Holocene plateau
trend and approaching global
cooling trends of the past four interglacial cycles.
This means that, in the last 100
years, the Earth's temperature has reversed a long - term
cooling trend that began around 5000
years ago to become near the warmest temperatures during the last 11,000
years.