Sentences with phrase «year forecast finds»

Not exact matches

Major believes the 10 - year yield is setting up for a retest of its all - time low, saying, «Not for the first time, we find that our forecast for the end of the year, which is currently 1.35 %, is by far the lowest on the street.»

Details on these and other findings are contained in a new industry study, which presents historical demand data for the years 2000, 2005 and 2010, plus forecasts for 2015 and 2020 by product and market.

➢ Another 2014 study found that one - year - advance growth forecasts from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York and the European Central Bank from 2008 to 2012 showed «substantial over-optimism, averaging 1.6 to 2.4 percentage points above actual growth.»

No wonder a study from last year found that sell - side analyst forecasts are still highly inaccurate.

Here are some of the key findings: Full Year 2015 GDP Growth Slashed The forecast for the annualized growth rate for 2015 was slashed to 2.4 percent growth from...

And based on their findings, they were able to forecast titles that will become the hottest of the year.

In the UK, current projections suggest that over 20,000 individuals leave the armed forces every year, with the latest employment forecasts predicting that construction will need to find almost 224,000 new recruits by 2019.

At the SSA Annual Meeting, Ivan Wong of Lettis Consultants International and colleagues will discuss the detailed forecast from the 2016 report, including their findings that at least 22 large earthquakes have ruptured parts of the Wasatch fault zone between Nephi and Brigham City, Utah in the past 6000 years.

«We found that in years when the sea ice extent departed strongly from the trend, such as in 2012 and 2013, predictions failed regardless of the method used to forecast the September sea ice extent,» said Julienne Stroeve, a senior scientist at NSIDC and professor at University of College London.

Plausible vaccination scenarios with a durable vaccine, the researchers found, are clearly beneficial: such strategies would reduce annual dengue incidence by as much as 80 % within five years, and that annual vaccine effectiveness approaches 65 % by the end of the 20 - year forecast period.

Scientists at the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC), University College London, University of New Hampshire and University of Washington analyzed 300 summer Arctic sea ice forecasts from 2008 to 2013 and found that forecasts are quite accurate when sea ice conditions are close to the downward trend that has been observed in Arctic sea ice for the last 30 years.

When the expert predictions were compared with the real 2014 results, they were found to be no better than a naïve forecasting model that assumes each team will replicate their previous year's performance.

Climatologist Jack Hall (Dennis Quaid) finds his dire predictions about global warming and the future of the world falling on deaf ears — until the forecasted weather changes begin happening in a matter of hours instead of the anticipated years or decades.

The seventeenth annual survey into the opinions and trends of «ICT in UK state schools» conducted by the non-profit organisation in July 2013 found that in the school year 2014/15 schools forecast their ICT expenditure would be higher in cash terms than at any other time on record.

The EFA report found that trust had forecast a # 284,000 surplus at the end of the 2016 - 17, but the EFA found a new school with a significant in - year deficit had joined, with the forecast not being revised to reflect this — breaching academy funding rules.

Indeed, a recent survey conducted by trend - forecasting agency J Walter Thompson Innovation Group, found that only 48 % of Gen Zs (13 - 20 year olds) identify as exclusively heterosexual.

The Value Factor: Forecast vs. Actual Alpha To provide context for a discussion and demonstration of the predictive ability of starting valuations to forecast five - year performance, we use the value factor to illustrate one of our major findings from the first article.

We hope investors find our five - year forecasts useful in managing expectations about their existing portfolios, and perhaps also in creating winning combinations of strategies, positioned for future — not based on past — success.

In fact, I find that for the lowest uncertainty stocks analysts, on average, exhibit no upward earnings forecast bias within a calendar year.

I am finding cheap stocks still, and I will keep investing through thick and thin, unless the 10 - year forecast model that I use says future returns are below 3 % / year.

The $ 25 billion requires earning considerably more than what was earned over the last four years, and more than is forecast by sell - side analysts, unless AIG can find ways to release capital and excess reserves (if any) trapped in their complex holding company structure.

Charlie Bilello at Pension Partners compared past 7 - year forecasts by GMO (an investment management firm) to actual returns and found large differences between predicted and actual results.

But a study by James Montier and Rui Antunes of Dresdner Kleinwort, an investment bank, found that the average forecasting error on such predictions was 43 % over 12 months and 95 % over two years.

I've found your Kirkwood forecast to be the most on - point forecast for the entire region for about eight years, especially when I lived in Reno / Tahoe.

«In our research we found that across all markets, wellness tourism is exceptionally popular, with in excess of nine per cent year - on - year growth forecasted for the next two years, which is a staggering 50 per cent faster than overall global tourism,» said Nadege Noblet - Segers, exhibition manager, Arabian Travel Market.

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Despite the error in the 10 - year forecast, as an investor I would find it more useful than the perfect 1 - year forecast.

Unique to the field of AGW I have provided testable daily forecast results for a six year period, after observation and ongoing study of the original data sorting program, I am going to make revisions to upgrade the software to compensate for problems found in the original method I used to generate these maps.

A new study published in Nature Climate Change found that by taking into account the short - term changes caused by factors like El Niño and La Niña cycles, they could accurately forecast the slowed warming at the surface several years in advance.

the proposed harmonic model (which herein uses cycles with 9.1, 10 — 10.5, 20 — 21, 60 — 62 year periods) is found to well reconstruct the observed climate oscillations from 1850 to 2011, and it is shown to be able to forecast the climate oscillations from 1950 to 2011 using the data covering the period 1850 — 1950, and vice versa.

Research scientist Schalk Cloete took a look at 15 years of IEA forecasts and found that not only did the agency underestimate renewables, it overpredicted oil consumption and underpredicted coal consumption.

By then perhaps he might have found the millennial cycle and will be able to reproduce the forecast seen on the latesst post on my blog http://climatesense-norpag.blogspot.com/ Here are the conclusions «To summarise - Using the 60 and 1000 year quasi repetitive patterns in conjunction with the solar data leads straightforwardly to the following reasonable predictions for Global SSTs

He added, «By observation of a number of natural internal processes we can find further support for the coming change and I have referred before to the confirmed slowdown of the Gulf Stream, the effect of major endothermic polar ice melt and forecast reduction in solar activity after 70 years of extreme activity not seen for 8000 years before.

Our tests of forecast accuracy over the period from 1851 to 1975 found that for forecasts for 91 to 100 years ahead, the models used by the IPCC had errors that were more than 12 times larger than errors from our «no - trend» model....

From the November 19, 2009, New York Times and Washington Post front - page initial news reports of hacked e-mails from the University of East Anglia (a place up until then unlikely to find itself on American newspaper's front pages)... to subsequent findings of a silly factual mistake in the IPCC's Fourth Assessment forecasting disappearing Himalayan glaciers just 25 years from now... to the disappointments of last December's international negotiations in Copenhagen... to data pointing to growing uncertainty and confusion on the climate change issue in the minds of many Americans and their public officials....

On what do you base your claim that you have found the «true» trendline for forecasting, say, the next 20 years?

Validation tests published two years after the original bet compared no - change model forecasts with IPCC dangerous warming forecasts for horizons from one to 100 years, and found that no - change forecasts were considerably more accurate; especially over longer horizons.

On the contrary, the proposed harmonic model (which herein uses cycles with 9.1, 10 — 10.5, 20 — 21, 60 — 62 year periods) is found to well reconstruct the observed climate oscillations from 1850 to 2011, and it is shown to be able to forecast the climate oscillations from 1950 to 2011 using the data covering the period 1850 — 1950, and vice versa.

Legal Week's latest business confidence survey found 28 % of respondents forecasting static revenues for 2013 — almost double the proportion making the same prediction in July, when the survey was last conducted — while a further 7.5 % expect revenues at their firm to drop next year.

Similarly, the most significant technological advances in the next several years may take place not in the traditional domain of legal research (i.e., in finding primary and secondary sources), but rather in the complementary domain of case forecasting.

Though more progressive, Mr. Rynowecer's forecast seemed to mesh with the findings in ALM's year end 2013 Law Department Metrics Benchmarking Study which found headcount in corporate counsel was steady, but the volume of work had increased:

An eMarketer forecast released earlier this year found that Amazon and Google sit atop the smart speaker market, with Amazon accounting for more than 70 percent of smart speaker usage in 2017.

Corporate Canada's optimism reaches three year high while business and hiring activity falls short of forecasts, Hays survey finds.

With exceptional job growth forecasted by the year 2018 (a 31 percent increase according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics), formally educated pharmacy technicians can be certain of finding ample employment opportunities wherever they live.

The kids go to hang with the grandparents, and the two of them find a quiet corner of the world, either near their Los Angeles home or as far away as Argentina, to forecast the coming year.

But an accurate and trustworthy valuation model can be difficult to find — especially one that can forecast the home's value three years down the road.

Researchers found that Seattle, along with a number of California port cities including Oakland, Los Angeles and San Diego have the strongest job markets in the country and the highest rent growth forecasts this year.