This article from the Dallas Fed is similar; though it says that it will be difficult for oil to stay over $ 100 / barrel in 2008 dollars, they have a ten -
year horizon on that forecast.
Not exact matches
With Memorial Day weekend
on the
horizon, the overall domestic summer box office is ten percentage points lower than it was at this time last
year.
«While there are risks
on the
horizon, if these positive conditions persist, adjusted earnings growth for the full
year may exceed our medium - term targets.»
We don't see those red flags
on the
horizon as we enter the new
year, so we continue to believe that 2018 will witness strong U.S. and global GDP growth.
But a new
year is
on the
horizon, and there may finally be a reason for savers to be optimistic: equities have been so beaten down over the
year that there's nowhere for stock prices to go but up.
And with a backlog of 737 orders
years into the future, there are no signs of difficulty
on the
horizon,» Bombardier representative Peter Lichtenbaum said.
But Wood Mackenzie speculates that investors might not remain so stubborn with U.S. crude prices at three -
year highs above $ 60 and a corporate tax cut windfall
on the
horizon.
As the U.S. tracks toward having a minority majority population in the coming
years, it is becoming clearer that a new normal is
on the
horizon.
Five
years into the PlayStation 2's existence, it had three great «Grand Theft Auto» games, with «God of War 2» still
on the
horizon.
And there's a bruising fight with Congress over spending and the federal deficit
on the
horizon, just days after Obama and Congress averted the fiscal cliff with a last - minute deal over the New
Year's holiday.
Five
years into the Xbox 360's existence, it had two great «Halo» games, with a new «Grand Theft Auto»
on the
horizon.
... We're never going to be able to accurately forecast what equity markets do
on a one -
year horizons.
As long as you're willing to dish out $ 4,500 a
year for annual membership, a private bathroom (with shower) is
on the
horizon.
Karen Rose Tank, who left her career as an economist to be a health and wellness coach after her Type 1 diabetes diagnosis 18
years ago, also is encouraged that new glucose monitoring methods may be
on the
horizon.
Apart from a growing European economy, there are less political risks
on the
horizon compared to the start of last
year.
Now, six
years later, Freshii has over 45 locations in four countries, including the United States, Canada, Austria, and Dubai, and many more stores
on the
horizon.
To see what is
on the
horizon in terms of data being used to boost productivity, we checked out a range of new devices
on display at CES this
year to help you focus, de-stress, sleep and manage life's little details.
Job growth in this category has declined 9 % over the last 5
years, and while there is growth
on the
horizon it will likely continue to be fairly modest.
It's hard to see another potential giant
on the
horizon right now, but remember that RIM was around for 12
years before it launched its first wireless messaging device, the Inter@ctive pager.
On paper, it's easy to make a case for a three - or four -
year time
horizon - long enough for appreciation to offset the real estate agent's commission and other costs of buying and selling.
She hopes sales will pay for the
years of surgeries and treatments still
on her
horizon.
With the fourth quarter just around the corner and a new
year on the
horizon, it's time to analyze your ability and capacity — and potentially consider outsourcing the tasks you're just not able to execute right now.
With Republican efforts to «repeal and replace» Obamacare in legislative limbo, and with potentially enormous changes in federal budget outlays
on the
horizon, the outlook for healthcare policy is cloudier than it has been in
years — adding yet another challenge to those who want to invest and innovate in this area.
For example, let's say you know for sure that you have to make your first college tuition payment in five
years and would like to buy a relatively safe investment based
on that time
horizon.
Part of your risk tolerance comes from your time
horizon: If you need the money in two to three
years, you shouldn't take
on as much risk as you would if you didn't need the money for 40
years.
They sat
on blue chip stocks such as Johnson & Johnson, underperforming the index for several
years as cash levels built, waiting to be deployed once an intelligent opportunity appeared
on the
horizon.
That sticking point comes with other hard issues still
on the
horizon, including dairy, auto parts, the dispute resolution system and the U.S. push for a review of NAFTA every five
years.
While stocks have a terminal value beyond a 10 -
year period, the effects of interest rates and nominal growth
on those projections largely cancel out because higher nominal GDP growth over a given 10 -
year horizon is correlated with both higher interest rates and generally lower market valuations at the end of that period.
Although disasters happen
year - round, spring represents an excellent opportunity to think through your disaster plan, with tornado and hurricane seasons
on the
horizon.
If,
on the other hand, your investment
horizon is closer to 30
years and you have no views about future market direction, the appropriate allocation to stocks is only about 43 %.
This may sounds incredibly risky given my 5
year time
horizon to retire at the age of 35 then you would be right — but she recommended that I diversify my equity exposure to include more international stocks (which I am doing more research
on) and pull back
on my bonds.
We've recently emphasized that our estimates for probable S&P 500 nominal total returns have now declined below zero
on every
horizon of 7
years and shorter.
«My feeling is that really since the latter part of last
year, a number of challenges have raised up for the stock market,» Paulsen said, noting that stock valuations are higher, interest rates are rising, the labor market is tightening, and it appears inflation could finally be
on the
horizon.
As for the coming
year, Emanoilidis, for one, remains optimistic about M&A, despite storm fronts such as NAFTA and BREXIT looming
on the
horizon.
The Bank of England has been more explicit in focusing
on an optimal
horizon of eighteen months to two
years (Batini and Haldane 1999; Bean 2003).
While we don't have a magic crystal ball to predict where the markets may be headed next, we do have a team of respected professionals who recently assembled to discuss whether they think last
year's economic momentum could continue — and where they see potential threats
on the
horizon.
Because our model focuses
on quantifying the market's expectations for the future financial performance of a company as embedded in the stock price, we need a more dynamic DCF model than the traditional models that force the valuation of every stock into a 5 or 10 -
year forecast
horizon.
CD rates do suck now, and I can't will myself to put in anymore with just a 2 % return
on a 7
year horizon.
The reason why valuations are so tightly correlated with 10 - 12
year returns is that extreme deviations from historical norms tend to wash out over that
horizon, and because interest rate fluctuations have a much less durable impact
on market valuations than investors imagine.
Meanwhile, extreme valuations imply the likelihood of steep market losses over the complete cycle, and also for poor S&P 500 total returns
on a 10 - 12
year horizon, but valuations often have little effect
on near - term market behavior.
Market pricing of future inflation
on a five - to 10 -
year horizon — which the European Central Bank (ECB) has typically focused
on — has rebounded back near 2 %.
Happy to bet
on a 5
year horizon about rates too.
As a result, even though expected returns
on stocks were actually negative
on a 10 - 12
year horizon in 2000, and are presently 0 - 2 %
on that
horizon, the expected return
on a traditional portfolio mix is actually lower at present than at any point in history except the 1929 and 1937 market peaks.
«We have some new presale developments
on the
horizon but it takes
years to deliver these high - rise homes.
My colleagues and I believe that U.S. economic data, including the recent jobs report, reinforce that a Fed rate hike is
on the
horizon, likely later this
year.
So if your
horizon is 10
years, buy 10 -
year maturity government bonds, and so
on.
On the basis of nominal total returns (including dividends), we estimate zero or negative returns for the S&P 500 on every horizon shorter than about 8 year
On the basis of nominal total returns (including dividends), we estimate zero or negative returns for the S&P 500
on every horizon shorter than about 8 year
on every
horizon shorter than about 8
years.
So, you have a lot of small venture funds taking typical vc equity stakes in the 1st round; but no pockets or consortia network to see the deal through to success
on a 5
year plus
horizon.
CPI inflation in
year - ended terms should stay in a narrow range around this profile over much of the forecast
horizon, though volatility in oil and food prices over the past
year will continue to have some effect
on the
year - ended figures in future quarters.
That would be less than one fourth of the
year - over-
year gain that occurred over the previous 12 months, suggesting that a cooling trend is
on the
horizon.