Above is my 5 - years forward 5 -
year inflation graph.
Not exact matches
The
graph below shows the yield of the US government 10 -
year bond (white line with shading beneath; right axis) and CORE
inflation (light orange line; left axis) during the same period.
Graph 8 shows the net result of the linkage: a 1 per cent increase in the real cash rate, lasting for two
years, would raise the exchange rate by around 3 per cent and would trim 0.3 per cent off
inflation, with a lag which reaches its peak effect in ten quarters.
With growth prospects for the world economy being revised up and
inflation no longer falling, short - term market interest rates have risen on the expectation that central banks will unwind the accommodative monetary policy they had put in place over the previous
year or two (
Graph 4).
Consumer price
inflation eased to 2.4 per cent over the
year to December, down from the peak of 5.3 per cent in the middle of the
year (
Graph 8).
Following a pick - up in actual price increases over the past
year, the June quarter NAB survey reported an increase in
inflation expectations in both the short and medium term (
Graph 43).
In
year - ended terms,
inflation has fallen significantly from 2.4 per cent recorded in December and just over 3 per cent a
year or so ago (
Graph 69).
Households»
inflation expectations over the
year ahead, as surveyed by the Melbourne Institute, have shifted up from an average of 3 3/4 per cent in the second half of 1998 to around 5 per cent in recent months (
Graph 40).
Inflation expectations of consumers, as measured by the Melbourne Institute, fell sharply from above 7 per cent in the months preceding the introduction of the GST to 4.6 per cent in July, around the levels recorded a
year ago (
Graph 42).
Measures of underlying
inflation increased by 1/2 per cent in the June quarter and, with the exception of the market goods and services excluding volatile items measure, increased by between 2 1/2 and 3 per cent in
year - ended terms (
Graph 69).
Producer price
inflation also moderated over the
year, particularly at the earlier stages of production (
Graph 70), even though the effect of movements in oil prices was fairly small over this period.
The latest Melbourne Institute survey suggests that consumers now expect lower
inflation over the next
year than was the case in the early part of this
year (
Graph 72).
This represents a small decline in
year - ended
inflation from the June quarter, and a more sizeable drop from an average
inflation rate of around 3 per cent during 2002 (
Graph 68).
This represents a slowing in the rate of
inflation from around 3 per cent a
year ago (
Graph 70).
Producer price
inflation remains modest with large declines in the prices of imported items offsetting the growth of domestic prices; overall final stage prices rose by 0.1 per cent in the December quarter, to be 1.0 per cent higher over the
year (Table 15;
Graph 73).
Consumer price
inflation in the euro area increased to 2.1 per cent over the
year to October, primarily due to higher food and energy prices; the core measure of
inflation is lower at 1.7 per cent (
Graph 9).
Consumer price
inflation has eased in recent months, to 1.9 per cent over the
year to December (
Graph 5), and core consumer prices rose by just 1.1 per cent — the slowest pace in nearly 40
years.
Real yields have moved similarly to nominal yields over the same period, with yields on 10 -
year inflation - linked bonds currently around 3.5 per cent (
Graph 52).
Having reached a trough of around 1 per cent in late 2003, core CPI
inflation (which excludes the volatile food and energy components) increased to 2.3 per cent over the
year to March (
Graph 5).
The various measures of underlying
inflation recorded slightly lower outcomes in the quarter, although on a
year - ended basis they show
inflation at a similar rate to the headline measure (Table 14;
Graph 71).
Had the
graph similarly started in mid 1997, when RPI under a Conservative government was at 2.00 % and CPI at 1.6 %, then the growth of
inflation in recent
years under Labour would appear much more marked.
The
graph below plots real rates (the 10 -
year yield minus consumer
inflation) in Britain, along with GDP growth a
year later.
The
graph uses stock and
inflation data from 19 countries across 112
years.
The
graph shows that
inflation expectations - relative to trailing
inflation - have been generally well contained for 25
years.
Bonds — This
graph compares the 10 -
year bond yield (blue line) and Federal Fund Rate (FFR; redline) to
inflation rates since 1960.
Take a look at one of Greenspan's favorite
graphs, five
year inflation, five
years forward:
Here are
graphs showing the actual results in history of withdrawing $ 40,000 /
year plus
inflation for 30
years with 3 different portfolios.
So using the yellow dots (S&P 500) in the
graph above, we can see it's unlikely that the next 10 - 15
years of stock returns (
inflation adjusted or «real» returns in this case) will be any higher than about 4 %, and it's more probable they will be lower.
The following
graph shows
inflation per
year, together with annual dividend distribution rates.
• It has dozens of
graphs to show things like how much income goals are eroded every
year by
inflation.
if we assume CRN12 as our best guess of «the real temperature», I see in the second
graph that for the warm 1930 period GISS introduces a 0.1 - 0.2 degrees negative correction, so these
years are somewhat «deflated» in comparison to present, and then possibly — at the very end of
graph — I see also a 0.15 degrees «
inflation» of present temperatures.