Crispin, I suppose you have heard of the approxiamately 800
year lag of the CO2 rise following warming meme?
Hammel and Lockwood note «In other words, the Earth temperature values are as well correlated with solar irradiance (r = 0.89) as they are with Neptune's blue brightness (r > 0.90), assuming a 10 -
year lag of the Neptune values.»
Can it be coincidence that the 800 year half life is approximately the same as the 800
year lag of CO2 after temp rise?
Greg, in the ENSO region of the tropics there is an ~ 27 month or 2.25
year lag of solar impact, close to the 2.4 mentioned and there is also an ~ 94 month lag 7.8 years, which is close to the 7.6, but not exact.
This is consistent with the ~ 600
year lag of CO2 after temperature in the ice core data (Different cycle lengths have different inherent lag times).
A tropical SST link would explain why the signal is strongest with a 10 to 20
year lag of the long - term changes (Waple et al, 2001), but the noise in the NAO record could mean that you only see significant changes after long term averaging.
Furthermore, we confirmed the robustness of our results in sensitivity analyses using at least an 8 -
year lag of exposure.
Not exact matches
The news
of the program, announced Wednesday night, comes as a Global Entrepreneurship Monitor report shows U.S. entrepreneurship education
lagging and follows a decrease in VC fundraising last
year.
CNBC's Mike Santoli reports on the
lag in small - caps and value stocks despite the market having one
of the best starts to the
year in more than a decade.
But instead
of rebounding, assets under management shrank over the following
years, as sales
lagged, investments soured and investors pulled their money — to a total
of $ 210 million as
of Sept. 30, 2014.
The Commission, meanwhile, said Britain will continue to
lag the eurozone over the coming
years, forecasting growth
of only 1.5 percent this
year and 1.2 percent next, with the economy hobbled by Brexit uncertainty.
For example, Apple Pay
lagged behind Chinese competitors in providing promotions timed with the Chinese cultural tradition
of exchanging red envelopes («hong bao») filled with money during the Lunar New
Year.
But it hasn't been all smooth sailing for the internet culture king; Huh cut about 35 percent
of its staff (24 employees) earlier this
year amid
lagging ad revenue as audiences have begun to favor mobile over desktop.
The crux
of its argument is that in recent
years, Apple has
lagged behind, debuting «innovations» on the iPhone that Samsung already featured on Galaxy models that were released first.
More than three - quarters
of active managers in the U.S. Large Cap category
lagged the equal - weighted composite
of their passive peers during the ten
years ending December 31, 2014.
Because the average salary for a woman still
lags behind men's (the American Association
of University Women says women earn 82 cents for every dollar a man makes one
year after graduation) and lenders favor two - income households over single earners, Lautz says women are «making the most sacrifices to get into a home, but they're still placing a high value on owning a home
of their own.»
While Colorado and California are looked at as models
of the modern marijuana economy, the U.S.
lags behind other countries like Canada, which already has a fully - functional nationwide medical program and will launch its nationwide recreational program in the next
year.
Tighter regulation on bond markets has crimped appetite for bonds in the region, he said, noting that subscriptions for three government bonds issued at the end
of last
year lagged expectations.
Last
year, it ranked last in an annual ranking
of fast food restaurants by the American Customer Satisfaction Index, only one
of many surveys to find McDonald's severely
lagging up - and - coming rivals like In - and - Out Burger in the western U.S. among many others.
In the first half
of the
year, for instance, consumer services grew almost 8.5 %, while industrial output
lagged behind at 6.1 % growth, according to China's National Bureau
of Statistics.
The «Ritas,» fruity beers marketed toward women, have sold astoundingly well in the one
year they've existed — the equivalent
of more than half the sales
of Heineken
lager.
Because
of the
lag, the supply
of rooms opening each
year was depressed from 2011 to 2015.
Financials have surged after
lagging behind most other sectors all
year, while tech went from one
of the best - performing sectors to underperforming the S&P 500 index in a matter
of weeks.
Novartis (NVS) shares have lost more than a fifth
of their value this
year, in part due to concerns about its
lagging eyecare business Alcon as well as Entresto's prospects for meeting ambitious expectations.
A lot
of people have criticized Buffett recently for his
lagging stock market performance, something he is likely to get questioned about this
year as well.
Alibaba's biggest challenge will be to pull off a successful pivot to mobile, where it still
lags behind archrival Tencent, despite
years of heavy investment.
He has lots
of hard evidence to back it up, too: if you measure prosperity in terms
of gross domestic product (GDP) per capita, not only has Canada been
lagging the States for
years, but lately that «prosperity gap» has grown bigger — reaching about $ 8,900 as
of 2010.
Because
of the widespread dilution, Research Affiliates reckons that since 1871, EPS has risen around 1.5 % a
year in real terms,
lagging total earnings by around 2 points.
But what «Black Panther» can't do is lift the rest
of the marketplace: Where «Black Panther» has soared this
year, most releases
lag.
The latest CBO report on average federal taxes by income group was released in June 2016 and includes data for 1979 - 2013 on before - and after - tax income and taxes paid for each quintile, as well as for the top 1, 5, and 10 percent
of households., [20][21] Because
of the effort involved in preparing these analyses, CBO's annual updates tend to
lag about two
years behind the publication
of the necessary SOI data.
Chan said that about five
years ago, he worked with a Hong Kong - based non-government organisation, which advised him to
lag the pipes inside his factory to reduce the number
of steam leaks.
They
lagged in the first three quarters
of 2017, but ended the
year in positive territory after strong fourth quarter performance.
With a 10 -
year return
of 106 %, industrials have long
lagged other cyclical sectors, behind consumer discretionary, up 189 %, and technology, up 161 %.
In fact, I've long argued that we're likely to see a weakening in employment growth in the second half
of the
year, as reduced earnings tend to translate into lower payrolls with a roughly six - month
lag.
Unlike many unprofitable tech firms whose stocks have outperformed, the stock
of this high - ROIC tech firm has
lagged significantly over the past
year.
Graph 8 shows the net result
of the linkage: a 1 per cent increase in the real cash rate, lasting for two
years, would raise the exchange rate by around 3 per cent and would trim 0.3 per cent off inflation, with a
lag which reaches its peak effect in ten quarters.
Investors looking to circle their wagons around the still -
lagging value factor in hopes value stocks will rebound later this
year have plenty
of exchange traded funds to consider.
Together, those drags on the economy
of the 19 - country eurozone are a reason the bloc's unemployment rate is more than double that
of the United States, and why eurozone growth has
lagged the American rebound in recent
years.
Looking forward, we expect broadly similar outcomes over the next
year or so to that recorded in the December quarter, as the
lagged effects
of the slowdown in wage growth last
year and the appreciation
of the exchange rate work their way through.
We've seen huge disruptions from startups in the Real Estate Tech space in recent
years as companies rush to take advantage
of the somewhat
lagging IT penetration in this sector.
There is a roughly six - month
lag time between the decision to begin drilling and oil showing up in the market, so the rush
of new drilling that began in the first half
of 2017 will ensure that production likely continues on its upward trajectory for the rest
of the
year.
Fortunately, the evidence
of the past few
years suggests that exports do respond, with a
lag, to the dollar.
Multipliers are frequently used in offsetting to compensate for the risk
of failure
of the offset measures and the time
lag between when negative impacts
of the development project are felt and the positive impacts
of offsetting come to fruition, often a period
of many
years.
While Gen - Xers should currently be in their prime earning
years, their median income ($ 71,875) actually
lags that
of Millennials ($ 76,945).
Following a season
of higher - than - expected grain production in the Prairies, farmers are now faced with the most severe backlog in
years, with many deliveries for wheat, oats, barley and other products
lagging months behind schedule.
Shares
of UPS have gained about 4 % over the past
year,
lagging the Dow Jones Industrial Average's 15 % increase.
For L'Oreal USA, one
of the unexpected upshots
of using trade credit insurance for the past half - dozen
years has been easier conversations with any customers
lagging behind with their payments.
... [H] is risk - adjusted returns... have
lagged the market over a number
of time periods over the trailing 15
years.»
On the international front, emerging stock markets notched their first positive
year since 2012 on signs
of improving fundamentals, but developed overseas markets (Europe in particular) continued to
lag due to slow growth and structural concerns.
After several
years of lagging their large - cap counterparts, smaller stocks broke out last
year to offer significant out - performance
of their larger rivals.