It means the value of the 30
year linear trend line at the current month.)
Not exact matches
Kowatsch and Kämpfe have plotted the January data over the past 31
years along with the computed
linear trend line:
For what it's worth, the blue 8 -
year trend lines all seem to converge into a positive
linear trend between 1995 and 2005, suggesting a consistent increase in temps.
(C) Mean of all records transformed to summer temperature anomaly relative to the 1961 — 1990 reference period, with first - order
linear trend for all records through 1900 (green
line), the 400 -
year - long Arctic - wide temperature index of Overpeck et al. (2)(blue curve; 10 -
year means), and the 10 -
year - mean Arctic temperature through 2008 (red
line).
The solid
lines show the average July value for each
year, whereas the dashed
lines show the
linear trend of these data for 1979 — 2009 (i.e., excluding the record 2010 value).
The predicted 2012 value is slightly above what was seen last
year and is also near the
linear trend line projection.
If one is looking for a «something changed here»
year, one would do better to find the
year where the
linear trend lines for the before and after segment intersect, that is, a inflection point rather than a step break.
The
linear trend line is now at +1.06 °C, which is perhaps the best temperature to compare to paleoclimate temperatures, because the latter are «centennially - smoothed,» i.e., the proxy measures of ancient temperature typically have a resolution not better than 100
years.
This shows the HadCRUT3 temperature record since 1850 with
linear trend lines, which all end in 2005, but which begin at different
years, covering time periods of 150,100, 50 and 25
years.
The chart's red and grey curves are 3 -
year averages and a
linear trend line has been added (dark green).
The
linear trends on the charts denote the continuing acceleration of 15 -
year warming (red straight
line) for the pre-1950 era, versus the decelerating
trend of our current times (green straight
line), as reported by NASA scientists.
The best fit
linear trend lines (not shown) of the model mean and all datasets are set to zero at 1979, which is the first
year of the satellite data.
I'd say that the heavy dark blue straight
line is the
linear trend of the ten -
year moving average
line.
If I limited the test to forecasting the
trend only and use the
linear trend from 1969 — 1988 (0.15 per decade) as the null hypothesis to compare with Hansen's
trend the skill of Hansen is — 1.76 i.e. just sticking a
line through the last 20
years is much more skillful.
We see the last half century, with 95 % lower and upper bounds and
linear trend lines through a dual pass prime 13/11 filter (which should minimize distortions), and for comparison both Mauna Loa and the last
line, «plot / best - lower / from: 1960 /
trend / detrend: 0.9» in dark blue, far below the real global temperature curve, maintaining the slope Girma claims is the actual temperature
trend «unchanged in 160
years».
The
trend lines (grey colour) show the
linear trends for the last 100 and 50
years.
For what it's worth, the blue 8 -
year trend lines all seem to converge into a positive
linear trend between 1995 and 2005, suggesting a consistent increase in temps.
It is clear from all the contributions submitted this summer that, as in recent
years, neither a return to September ice extents as seen in the 1980s and 1990s nor a return to the
linear trend line are expected this
year.