Value Line's Median Appreciation Potential (VLMAP) 2009 Marketwatch's Mark Hulbert has a great article Finding the best four -
year market forecaster examining Value Line's Median Appreciation...
Not exact matches
Cowles, who later founded the Cowles Foundation for Research and Economics, spent
years working on a paper published in 1933, «Can Stock
Market Forecasters Forecast?
ER: Federal Reserve staff forecasts, like those of the bulk of private
forecasters, see the labor
market tightening considerably over the next three
years — and this is the case even assuming more rate increases than are currently anticipated by
market participants and reflected in
market rates.
Signal two:
Market consensus for
year - ahead inflation, as measured monthly in the Blue Chip survey of 50 professional
forecasters.
Signal one:
Market consensus for
year - ahead GDP growth, as measured monthly in the Blue Chip survey of 50 professional
forecasters.
In his book The Fortune Sellers, researcher William Sherden examined 25
years of
market calls and economic forecasts and concluded that, as a group, they were no better than guesses, and no
forecaster demonstrated consistent accuracy.
I've often criticized
market forecasters for their embarrassing track records, so this
year I made a point of saving a few articles so I could see how accurate their crystal balls would turn out to be.
Because
market technicians and economists believe we are in a «Secular Bear Market» which should last until the year 2020 or forecasters which see a «Major Stock Market Crash Coming for Stocks by September 2011 ``, the chart shows it's possible we could still fall another 38 % (721.42 points) inflation adjusted on the S&P 500 Index, bringing it to 610.99 — a level we have not seen since if it follows past secular bear markets since December 21,
market technicians and economists believe we are in a «Secular Bear
Market» which should last until the year 2020 or forecasters which see a «Major Stock Market Crash Coming for Stocks by September 2011 ``, the chart shows it's possible we could still fall another 38 % (721.42 points) inflation adjusted on the S&P 500 Index, bringing it to 610.99 — a level we have not seen since if it follows past secular bear markets since December 21,
Market» which should last until the
year 2020 or
forecasters which see a «Major Stock
Market Crash Coming for Stocks by September 2011 ``, the chart shows it's possible we could still fall another 38 % (721.42 points) inflation adjusted on the S&P 500 Index, bringing it to 610.99 — a level we have not seen since if it follows past secular bear markets since December 21,
Market Crash Coming for Stocks by September 2011 ``, the chart shows it's possible we could still fall another 38 % (721.42 points) inflation adjusted on the S&P 500 Index, bringing it to 610.99 — a level we have not seen since if it follows past secular bear
markets since December 21, 1995.
He says that although some decline in construction seems inevitable, most
forecasters neglect overwhelming positive factors that fueled the new - home
market's success in recent
years — especially demographics.
We are again coming off a record
year, with a strong
market being predicted for 2004 by virtually all
forecasters, with possibly a small reduction in units, but continued increase in price.
Higher finance costs and a slower pace of properties coming on the
market could reduce the deal total for this
year, some
forecasters say.
Real estate
market forecasters predict that the 2018 spring buying
market will ramp up early this
year because of the low inventory issues.