An important caveat to the fourth -
year point estimates is that the sample is considerably smaller than for previous years» estimates.
Not exact matches
The Congressional Budget Office has
estimated that the combination of tax increases and spending cuts could trim economic growth this
year by about 1.5 percentage
points.
Last week, Bernstein analyst Toni Sacconaghi cut his fiscal -
year earnings - per - share
estimate for Apple based on his team's analysis of supply - chain companies that «increasingly
point [ed] to weakness.»
Last week, Bernstein analyst Toni Sacconaghi cut his fiscal -
year earnings - per - share
estimate for Apple based on his team's analysis of supply chain companies that «increasingly
point [ed] to weakness.»
According to
estimates from eMarketer, spending on digital ads in the U.S. will likely grow this
year to the
point where it is larger than the amount spent on television, the former Goliath of the industry.
Still, Wall Street has continued to lower its
estimates for growth this
year and next, with GDP now expected to be 1.95 percent for 2016, 19 basis
points lower than in March and below 2 percent for the first time since the question was first asked a
year ago.
Erin Weir, a labour economist running for the NDP in Saskatchewan, has
estimated that each percentage
point increase in the corporate tax rate would generate about $ 1.5 billion in revenue each
year.
Page 287 of the 2014 Budget has an
estimate that a 1 - percentage
point decrease in GDP growth would reduce «the budgetary balance by $ 3.7 billion in the first
year, $ 4.5 billion in the second
year and $ 6.0 billion by the fifth
year.»
This past April, the United States Energy Information Agency released an
estimate that fracking has effectively increased the volume of recoverable gas in the world six times over, to the
point where it could satisfy current demand for 250
years — and that isn't counting a number of countries including Russia where the necessary geological data were unavailable.
Comparing the most recent distribution of
estimates with previous
points in history (see chart below), there is greater clustering around the mean and noticeably shorter tails, suggesting a lower likelihood of major price swings over the next
year.
We had a period like that a
year or two ago, when GDP growth was
estimated to be quite low but other indicators, like business survey results and employment growth, were
pointing to stronger outcomes.
We
estimate that the oil price shock, on its own, took about 1 1/4 percentage
points off GDP growth in the first half of the
year.
The fund reduced its
estimates of American growth in 2012 and 2013 by a tenth of a percentage
point, anticipating that the economy will expand just 2 percent this
year and 2.3 percent next
year.
Inflation is
estimated to rise by somewhat less than 1/4 percentage
point per annum over 2 — 3
years.
For every 25 - basis -
point decline in expectations, there is a 0.1 % decline in
year - over-
year growth rate for core PCE, Morgan Stanley
estimates.
Another recent
estimate was released in November of this
year by Andy Yan of Bing Thom Architects, which conducted a case study of single - family home sales in the neighbourhoods of West
Point Grey, Dunbar and the University Endowment Lands.
«MSCI
estimates some $ 17 billion will flow into Chinese markets — both from passive funds that automatically track its indexes and active fund managers — when the country's stocks are included a
year from now,» giving indexers something like a quarter of a percentage
point of China's stock market, which is the second - biggest in the world behind America's.
There is such uncertainty in forecasting
point estimates that past 1 -
year in the future a real «no change» forecast is the best guess.
According to the minutes of the meeting, a 25 - basis
point increase in the bank rate was fully factored in by the markets in the run - up to November's MPC meeting, and the interest - rate curve underlying the November Inflation Report projected interest rates at 1 percent by the end of the three -
year forecast period, higher than the recent median
estimates of economists polled by Reuters.
On that
point, it's worth noting that we currently
estimate a prospective 10 -
year nominal total return for the S&P 500 of just 3.9 % annually.
At
year - end 2013, we
estimate pension funding levels for our 50 largest rated US corporate issuers increased by 19 percentage
points to 94 % of pension obligations, compared with a
year earlier.
I expect we'll see valuations at least touch historically normal levels at some
point in the next decade, and of course, our 10 -
year prospective return
estimates imply this.
Last
year, for example, the Congressional Budget Office
estimated that fiscal headwinds slowed the pace of real GDP growth in 2013 by about 1-1/2 percentage
points relative to what it would have been otherwise.
Recent
estimates produced with models similar to JCT's have found the tax bills may increase the growth rate by 0.03 to 0.09 percentage
points per
year, producing as much as $ 200 billion of dynamic feedback.
The latest ABS projections, based on Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics (ABARE)
estimates, indicate that farm GDP fell by around 30 per cent over the
year to the June quarter 2003, subtracting a little under 1 percentage
point from GDP growth, which is a slightly smaller subtraction than previously expected.
Analyst Jamie Baker also cited pending cost increases,
estimating a 55 cent effect on earnings per share and 5 percentage -
point boost in costs for each seat flown a mile next
year from expected new employee contracts.
The revised data including the financial intermediation service charge suggest a slightly higher debt - servicing ratio over recent
years than that indicated by the RBA's earlier
estimates, with the revised ratio averaging 1/4 — 1/2 of a percentage
point higher over recent quarters.
He
pointed to Amazon as an example, writing that the company recently revealed «a much lower level of long - term structural profitability, causing consensus
estimates for the next five
years to drop by 40 %, 22 %, 18 %, 14 % and 8 %, respectively.»
He has propped up his narrative with some data that
estimate the numbers of men in this category and their ages over the last hundred
years, but data is not really the
point here.
A stickler for detail might
point out that the Piketty - Saez
estimates end in 1998 and that the C.B.O. numbers end a
year earlier.
Using the 1974 Filer Commission religion
estimate of $ 11.7 billion as a base
point, and then using available denominational data on giving, a series of annual figures for the
years 1968 through 1973 and 1975 through 1995 can be calculated.
The UN
estimates the industry has grown 600 % in twenty
years, to the
point where the UN and US Department of Agriculture agree that farmed - fish production has now surpassed beef production worldwide.
For comparisons between 1995 and 2011 — 2012 intakes of nutrients, we used means, relative SEs (RSE), and 95 % CIs that were provided by the ABS (20, 21) and showed the difference in the
point estimate between
years by subtraction.
S&P + (for
years before 2005, I use an
estimated version of S&P +, based on
points scored and allowed), you have to go back to 1993 to find an IU defense that ranked higher than 50th.
While the 21 -
year - old is averaging a career - best 37.3 percent on three - pointers, he ranks dead last among 99
point guards who have enough minutes to qualify for ESPN's Real Plus - Minus, a stat that tracks a player's
estimated on - court impact.
After all, the company put the SNP on 52 % 29
points ahead of Labour, as long as late October last
year — well above the
estimate of any other polling company at the time.
They
point to
estimates that 250,000 new homes are needed a
year to meet demand in England alone.
On average, registered voter polls of Senate races have had a 1.1 percentage -
point Democratic bias in these
years, we
estimate, whereas likely voter polls have had a 0.7 -
point Republican bias.
Why are so many New Yorkers, an
estimated one
point eight million, working for
years at either the minimum wage or just above it, doing jobs that used to be considered entry level positions?
She and Lenihan also
pointed out the increased use of absentee ballots — a method of voting they
estimate is seeing increased use this
year.
The Labour Force Survey
estimates for the 3 months up to March 2015 show a fall of 0.4 percentage
points in the Welsh employment rate compared to the same period a
year earlier (currently at 69.4 %), compared to a rise of 1.0 percentage
points in the UK rate (to 73.5 %).
Exelon Corp., owner of Nine Mile
Point,
estimated it would cost about $ 125 million to resupply FitzPatrick with uranium fuel rods next fall, which would allow the plant to continue operating two
years beyond when plant owner Entergy Corp. plans to shut it down, the administration official said.
New York had initially projected a 5.7 percent growth in capital gains last
year, but ultimately revised that
estimate to a 3 percentage
point decline.
The Democrats
pointed to a benefit similar to one in Massachusetts offering a deduction for undergraduate loan interest with no income or total deduction limit as potentially helping more than 1 million New York students save an
estimated $ 90 million per
year.
Nicole Gelinas
pointed out in The Post that fare - beating costs the «cash - strapped Metropolitan Transportation Authority an
estimated $ 100 million a
year.»
While heaping plates of rehash were served up, Cahill did make the
point that in his estimation Hein has more than enough in surplus stashed away to easily weather the
estimated $ 6 million hit the part -
year loss of a percentage
point on the sales tax will cost the county.
«As we generate more sequence, [the divergence
estimates] could come together,» says Rubin, whose team also determined the
point when Neandertal and human ancestors stopped interbreeding: about 370,000
years ago.
«Our
estimates show that the growth in Chinese emissions has slowed a lot in the past two to three
years, and is now much lower than at any
point since the early 2000s,» said study lead author Jan Ivar Korsbakken, senior climate economics researcher at CICERO.
Vicky Whittemore, the agency's CFS
point person in Bethesda, Maryland, delivered on a promise that NIH Director Francis Collins made last
year by announcing that NIH spending for research on the poorly understood disease should rise to roughly $ 15 million in 2017, doubling the
estimated $ 7.6 million handed out in 2016.
«Our temperature
estimates and the NCAR simulations were within one - quarter of one degree Fahrenheit, on average, for the last 11,000
years,» says Shuman, as he
pointed to a graph that included a black line for his group's climate research temperature and a gray line that represents the computer simulations.