Sentences with phrase «year projection horizon»

Those differences are informative, because they highlight points where market valuations — instead of normalizing — reached historic extremes at the end of the 10 - year projection horizon (1974, 1998 - 2000 and 2015, respectively).

Not exact matches

While stocks have a terminal value beyond a 10 - year period, the effects of interest rates and nominal growth on those projections largely cancel out because higher nominal GDP growth over a given 10 - year horizon is correlated with both higher interest rates and generally lower market valuations at the end of that period.

At longer horizons, the 6.3 % growth rate that we've assumed for nominal GDP over the coming years will begin to bail investors out given enough time, and as a result, our projection for 10 - year S&P 500 nominal total returns peeks its head up above zero, at about 2.4 % annually from current levels.

The earlier the life of your company, the more skeptical the VC will be of any projections of revenue, and any time horizon greater than one year.

2) By extending the projection horizon by an extra market cycle (~ 6 years - the current half - cycle is quite long - in - the - tooth from a hisorical perspective) the effect of mean reversion has a greater chance to dominate the occasional noise that emerges (e.g. during the tech bubble) over shorter horizons.

I've read the asset class projections but my time horizon is still longer than five to seven years.)

EIA recognizes that projections over a 25 - year horizon are inherently uncertain and subject to changing policy objectives, supply disruptions, the emergence of disruptive technologies, and other future developments.

By comparing the global warming projection for the next century to natural climate changes of the distant past, and then looking into the future far beyond the usual scientific and political horizon of the year 2100, Archer reveals the hard truths of the long - term climate forecast.