Sentences with phrase «year projection period»

Social Security's total expenditures have exceeded non-interest income of its combined trust funds since 2010, and the Trustees estimate that Social Security cost will exceed non-interest income throughout the 75 - year projection period.

«To illustrate the magnitude of the 75 - year actuarial deficit, consider that for the... Trust Funds to remain fully solvent throughout the 75 - year projection period... revenues would have to increase by an amount equivalent to an immediate and permanent payroll tax rate increase of 2.76 percentage points to 15.16 percent.»

That's the 10 - year projection period CBO published in the 2001 report linked above.

Both of those programs, along with SS Disability, are projected to continue having expenses greater than revenue for the remainder of their Board of Trustees» 75 - year projection periods.

Not exact matches

While stocks have a terminal value beyond a 10 - year period, the effects of interest rates and nominal growth on those projections largely cancel out because higher nominal GDP growth over a given 10 - year horizon is correlated with both higher interest rates and generally lower market valuations at the end of that period.

The following table compares my projections for this week's report with the change in inventories for the same period last year.

In contrast, the largest positive deviations (where the actual S&P 500 total return over the preceding 10 - year period exceeded projections) were in August 1987, January 1999, February 2007, and today.

Collectively, the Royal Bank of Canada, TD Bank, Bank of Montreal, Scotiabank and the Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce earned over $ 10 billion for the three month period, a 4.4 % drop over previous year results, but a step above analyst projections.

That financial study and actuarial projection entailed an assessment of the cost involved in providing public healthcare and financing same over a ten year period.

The extension of the time period past 75 years assumes that the current - law OASDI program and the demographic and economic trends used for the 75 - year projection continue indefinitely.

State tax collections totaled $ 18.6 billion in the first quarter of the new fiscal year, $ 1.2 billion less than the same period last year and $ 315.7 million below projections, according to the state cash report issued Tuesday by State Comptroller Thomas P. DiNapoli.

Through September, personal income tax collections totaled nearly $ 22.2 billion, a 5.6 % decline from the same period a year ago and $ 371.3 million below the state's most recent projections.

AAAS calculated the effects of the President's outyear projections on nondefense R&D during the seven - year period FY 1995 - 2002.

For a start, observational records are now roughly five years longer, and the global temperature increase over this period has been largely consistent with IPCC projections of greenhouse gas — driven warming made in previous reports dating back to 1990.

If one calculates these percentage increases as national income projections over an 80 - year period (providing for a 20 - year delay before any school reform is completed and the newly proficient students begin their working careers), a back - of - the - envelope calculation suggests gains of nothing less than $ 75 trillion over the period.

The job market in Geosciences is projected to continue to increase by 10 % in the next ten years, higher than the average job market projection in the United States during the same time period (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2015).

However, right after I posted this, B&N announced: «Based on preliminary sales results to date in the holiday period and sales trends, the Company expects its holiday sales results will be below expectations and that the NOOK business will not meet the Company's prior projection for fiscal year 2013.»

According to Stark, the company saw a 185 percent increase in its net revenue over comparative periods from year to year, forcing Turtle Beach to increase their quarterly and annual revenue projections.

I would like to see discussion about the most recent period of rapid global warming... leading to the Paleocene Eocene Thermal Maximum (PETM) about 55 million years ago... including differences and similarities to the climate projections for this century... and beyond.

(note I would have won this bet for a period of the past 20 years using Dr. Hansen's 1988 projections to define the range — as proven by Gavin's analysis).

Hunter and Brown calculated an average acceleration in the central projection of the IPCCs AR4 A1FI emission scenario (including scaled - up ice sheet discharge) of 0.002 mm per year over the period 1990 — 2010 (see the value plotted at 2000 in their Fig. 1, ref.

This was in response to a graph by Roger Pielke Jr. presented in the New York Times Tierney Lab Blog that compared observations to IPCC projections over an 8 - year period.

In summer and autumn the CSIRO projections were for smaller decreases in rainfall than in winter and spring, but the observed change was a substantial decrease: in fact, as large a decrease between the successive 11 - year periods as CSIRO projected on the high global warming scenario over the 40 - year period from 1990 to 2030.

In many cases, US coal companies relied upon the EIA Reference Case, which is a scenario projection of current business - as - usual trends over a 20 - 30 year period, assuming no new policies, regulatory interventions, or disruptive technological developments.

Time - trend figures, such as Figure 9 below, present base and policy case information starting from the historical year 2005 through 2040, the end of the AEO2015 projection period.

Although a one - year recovery is much too short a period from which to derive reliable projections, it is exactly what natural climate dynamics predict.

Since then, there has (using the Girma method of picking short periods) been a reduction of about 0.05 C over 7 years as compared with a central projection of a rise of 0.14 C.

They are no good for making projections, predictions over short (less than 30 year) periods.

During the projection period, household disposable income in India is expected to increase by an average of 4.2 % per year, which is the second highest among IEO2017 regions after China.

With liquid fuels production growing at a rate of 1 percent per year over the projection period while demand grows more slowly at 0.2 percent per year, supply can overtake demand, EIA figures (Table A21) show — provided trade flows remain open.

Non-petroleum liquids resources from both OPEC and non-OPEC sources grow on average by 3.7 % per year over the projection period, but remain a relatively minor share of total liquids supply through 2040.

For example, the higher - end projections of warming indicate that before the end of the 21st Century, parts of the world would experience temperatures that exceed physiological limits during periods of the year, making it impossible to work or carry out other physical activity outside.

The NIPCC authors conclude that existing climate models «are unable to make accurate projections of climate even ten years ahead, let alone the 100 - year period that has been adopted by policy planners.

The errors in the projection models are cumulative so that if there is 200 percent error over a thirty year period the error over a hundred year period will on the order of 600 percent.

6 — So the linear trend is 0.00167 * 120 = 0.2 °C per decade (and IPCC's projection turned out OK for the entire 20 - year period (i.e. both decades).

There were NO projections of even a ten year period and NO backcasts of even a 15 year period.

4) the end results on the bottom of the first table (on maximum temperatures), clearly showed a drop in the speed of warming that started around 38 years ago, and continued to drop every other period I looked / /... 5) I did a linear fit, on those 4 results for the drop in the speed of global maximum temps, versus time, ended up with y = 0.0018 x -0.0314, with r2 = 0.96 At that stage I was sure to know that I had hooked a fish: I was at least 95 % sure (max) temperatures were falling 6) On same maxima data, a polynomial fit, of 2nd order, i.e. parabolic, gave me y = -0.000049 × 2 + 0.004267 x — 0.056745 r2 = 0.995 That is very high, showing a natural relationship, like the trajectory of somebody throwing a ball... 7) projection on the above parabolic fit backward, (10 years?)

We find exactly the same sort of flat periods in climate model projections, lasting easily up to 15 years in length.

The climate records of the past — specifically, the Holocene (from about 10,000 years ago) and the Eemian interglacial period (about 115,000 to 130,000 years ago)-- are closely relevant to future climate projections.

The class assignment was to identify the year for each spot on the globe in which all future years were, according to climate model projections, warmer as a result of greenhouse gas emissions than the warmest year simulated by the models during the historical period 1860 to 2005.

I'm not sure whether ~ 15 years is a long enough period to conclude that the model projections are seriously out of line with reality, given the existence of not very well quantified decadal and multidecadal internal variability in the real climate system.

When the phase of natural variability is taken into account, the model 15 - year warming trends in CMIP5 projections well estimate the observed trends for all 15 - year periods over the past half - century.

So we are talking about a 10 year period for «verification», and these projections make no pretense at simulating things like volcanic eruptions.

Probably the easiest way (no linear regression required) to compare IPCC projections to what happened over the period 1990 -2005 is to take averages (eg over 5, 7, 9, or 11 years) centered on 1990 and 2005 and use the difference to calculate the trend over that period.

The headline conclusion for lawyers was «Based on the Lawyers Supply - Demand projection model developed in this research, it is estimated that over the 10 - year period until 2025, there will be 1.6 new licensed lawyers for every new practicing position».

ABOUT THIS DATA CUBE This SuperTABLE contains population projections for each Indigenous Region by 5 - year age group (up to 65 years and over) and sex, for the period 2006 to 2021.

ABOUT THIS DATA CUBE This SuperTABLE contains population projections for each Remoteness Area by 5 - year age group (up to 75 years and over) and sex, for the period 2006 to 2021.