Figure 3: The 20 cities (of the 50 largest cities) in the U.S., where the financial returns from an upfront cash purchase of a 5kW solar system outperform 25 -
year returns from the stock market.
Figure 1: The 46 cities (of the 50 largest cities) in the U.S., where the financial returns from a fully financed 5kW solar system outperform 25 -
year returns from the stock market.
Not exact matches
This was ahead of analysts» expectations for 26 cents, according to Thomson Reuters I / B / E / S, but down
from $ 1.09 per share a
year ago, when a buoyant
stock market boosted investment
returns.
The bean counters don't have to go crazy trying to predict
stock market returns and executive pay in order to forecast state revenues
from year to
year.
Actual results, including with respect to our targets and prospects, could differ materially due to a number of factors, including the risk that we may not obtain sufficient orders to achieve our targeted revenues; price competition in key
markets; the risk that we or our channel partners are not able to develop and expand customer bases and accurately anticipate demand
from end customers, which can result in increased inventory and reduced orders as we experience wide fluctuations in supply and demand; the risk that our commercial Lighting Products results will continue to suffer if new issues arise regarding issues related to product quality for this business; the risk that we may experience production difficulties that preclude us
from shipping sufficient quantities to meet customer orders or that result in higher production costs and lower margins; our ability to lower costs; the risk that our results will suffer if we are unable to balance fluctuations in customer demand and capacity, including bringing on additional capacity on a timely basis to meet customer demand; the risk that longer manufacturing lead times may cause customers to fulfill their orders with a competitor's products instead; the risk that the economic and political uncertainty caused by the proposed tariffs by the United States on Chinese goods, and any corresponding Chinese tariffs in response, may negatively impact demand for our products; product mix; risks associated with the ramp - up of production of our new products, and our entry into new business channels different
from those in which we have historically operated; the risk that customers do not maintain their favorable perception of our brand and products, resulting in lower demand for our products; the risk that our products fail to perform or fail to meet customer requirements or expectations, resulting in significant additional costs, including costs associated with warranty
returns or the potential recall of our products; ongoing uncertainty in global economic conditions, infrastructure development or customer demand that could negatively affect product demand, collectability of receivables and other related matters as consumers and businesses may defer purchases or payments, or default on payments; risks resulting
from the concentration of our business among few customers, including the risk that customers may reduce or cancel orders or fail to honor purchase commitments; the risk that we are not able to enter into acceptable contractual arrangements with the significant customers of the acquired Infineon RF Power business or otherwise not fully realize anticipated benefits of the transaction; the risk that retail customers may alter promotional pricing, increase promotion of a competitor's products over our products or reduce their inventory levels, all of which could negatively affect product demand; the risk that our investments may experience periods of significant
stock price volatility causing us to recognize fair value losses on our investment; the risk posed by managing an increasingly complex supply chain that has the ability to supply a sufficient quantity of raw materials, subsystems and finished products with the required specifications and quality; the risk we may be required to record a significant charge to earnings if our goodwill or amortizable assets become impaired; risks relating to confidential information theft or misuse, including through cyber-attacks or cyber intrusion; our ability to complete development and commercialization of products under development, such as our pipeline of Wolfspeed products, improved LED chips, LED components, and LED lighting products risks related to our multi-
year warranty periods for LED lighting products; risks associated with acquisitions, divestitures, joint ventures or investments generally; the rapid development of new technology and competing products that may impair demand or render our products obsolete; the potential lack of customer acceptance for our products; risks associated with ongoing litigation; and other factors discussed in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), including our report on Form 10 - K for the fiscal
year ended June 25, 2017, and subsequent reports filed with the SEC.
From tax reform and double - digit
stock market returns to big corporate mergers, last
year was an eventful one for our money.
A Shanghai investment firm is offering a fat
return of up to 10 percent a
year, handily beating both the local
stock market and the paltry payouts
from bank accounts.
Diversification strategies appeared to have «worked» during the golden
years of the 1980s and 1990s, simply because US
stock markets were
returning 17 % to 18 % every
year on average during those two decades and Stevie Wonder could have pointed to a bunch of
stocks from a newspaper listing the components of the US S&P 500 during that period and likely would have fared very well.
Chapter 4 — International Capital
Market History examines
returns (nominal and real) and volatilities of
stocks, bonds and bills across 16 countries for 101
years from 1900 to 2000.
If you want to ensure you get the big
returns from stocks that investment writers highlight when urging you to invest in equities, you need to buy during bear
markets to make up for the lousy
returns from those
years when you buy at what proves to be the top of a bull
market.
Imagine if we get greedy and decide to put this money in
stock funds now because we want better
returns, and the
market crashes 2 - 3
years from now?
It's an open question whether we'll see that level of prospective
return in the next
market cycle, but even if we touch that level of prospective
returns 5 or 6
years from now,
stocks will have gone nowhere in the interim (including dividends).
Looking back through history, whenever value
stocks have gotten this cheap, subsequent long - term
returns have generally been strong.3
From current depressed valuation levels, value
stocks have in the past, on average, doubled over the next five
years.4 Not that we necessarily expect
returns of this magnitude this time around, but based on the data and our six decades of experience investing through various
market cycles, we believe the current risk / reward proposition is heavily skewed in favor of long - term value investors.
Suppose you wanted a comprehensive book on all of the ways that there are to get excess
returns from the
stock market as a type of value investor (as of
year - end 2013), and you wanted it in one slim volume.
Using rolling 12 - month
returns (monthly
year - over-
year)
from Jan 1979 — Sep 2015 of the S&P 500, the result shows that whether there was a bull, bear or flat
stock market, gold was positive at least half the time.
Last
year I transferred funds
from a money -
market account to a
stock mutual fund where it's earned a nice
return.
Gathering data
from 1928 to 2017, Aswath Damodaran
from the Leonard N. Stern School of Business tallied that the average
return of the S&P 500, which closely represents the American
stock market, summed up to 11.42 % per
year before inflation.
As the following chart
from the article depicts,
returns of emerging
market stock funds have been quite volatile this
year:
That means that in
years when the
stock market is flat or down, the only positive
return from a
stock is the dividend.
Despite another bull
market from 2003 through 2006, the
returns on
stocks over the last dozen
years have been dismal, while gold has regained its lustre.
But given today's low interest rates (recently about 2.3 % for 10 -
year Treasuries) and relatively rich
stock valuations (Yale finance professor Robert Shiller's cyclically adjusted P / E ratio for the
stock market recently stood at 29.2 vs. an average of 16.7 since 1900), it would seem to strain credulity to expect anything close to the annualized
returns of close to the annualized
return of 10 % for
stocks and 5 % for bonds over the past 90
years or so, let alone the dizzying gains the
market has generated
from its post-financial crisis lows.
It's important to note that if you are retired during a period when the
stock market returns less than its historical average, and you withdraw 8 % a
year from your retirement savings as Ramsey recommends, you can deplete your retirement funds to the point that it deals a severe blow to your standard of living.
By investing immediately, the average one -
year returns of the U.S.
stock market from 1926 to 2013 has been 12.2 %.
Whether
stock markets are likely to go up or down this
year should be a small determinant of your pension decision, given 2015
stock market performance will likely be but a blip in the
returns that will come
from stock markets over the balance of your life.
The three quality smart beta ETFs below have delivered respectable
returns during the bull
market over the last
year and, as expected
from stocks with strong fundamentals, steady longer term
returns (3 -
year).
With
years of supernormal
returns from U.S.
stock markets, investors with diversified global portfolios may feel fatigued by trailing the U.S.
market.
The fair share concept is even more important in bear
markets when the
stock market generates a negative
return year after
year, as it did
from 2000 — 02, losing 35 percent of its value, while the financial press continues to whisper in your ear, «You can do better than that.»
Foreign
stocks had a banner
year with
returns from the United States, Developed
Markets excluding North America and Emerging
Markets all in the mid-teens despite the Canadian dollar appreciating modestly against the US Dollar.
Using rolling 12 - month
returns (monthly
year - over-
year)
from Jan 1979 — Sep 2015, the result shows that whether there was a bull, bear or flat
stock market, gold was positive at least half the time.
So, if you can just show, for example, that the odds of a
stock market crash are far higher in
years when the P - E ratio is much higher than average (or for housing crashes the buy - rent, or price - household income ratio), or that the expected risk - adjusted long run
return is much lower than average, or other «anomalies» (anomalous to the EMH) like this, then you can show that the EMH is substantially far
from the truth.
AAII Model Portfolios Model ETF Portfolio: Beats Benchmark, But Total Recovery Not Yet Complete The AAII Model ETF Portfolio is benefiting handsomely
from the positive movement in the
stock market this
year, with a
year - to - date
return of 38.2 %, compared to a
return of 22.7 % for its ETF benchmark.
(updated 2/1/2018) Lesson 2: Dividend Growth (updated 2/8/2018) Lesson 3: The 5 -
Year Rule (updated 3/12/2018) Lesson 4: The Power of Compounding (updated 3/20/2018) Lesson 5: The Power of Reinvesting Dividends (updated 4/12/208) Lesson 6: Yield and Yield on Cost (updated 4/26/2018) Lesson 7: Dividends are Independent
from the
Market Lesson 8: How to Collect 10 % Yields
from Great Dividend Growth
Stocks Lesson 9: Why I've Loaded My Portfolio with Dividend Growth
Stocks Lesson 10 (Part I): Reinvest Your Dividends Selectively to Enhance Your
Returns Lesson 10 (Part II): Reinvest Your Dividends Automatically to Build Long - Term Positions Lesson 11: Valuation Lesson 12 (Part I): Invest According to a Plan Lesson 12 (Part II): Invest According to a Plan Lesson 13: Specific Suggestions for YOUR Dividend Growth Investing Plan Lesson 14: Buying Lesson 15: Holding and Selling Lesson 16: Diversification Lesson 17: Dividend Safety Lesson 18: High Yield or Fast Growth?
In the U.S.
stock market, 87
years of performance data (1928 through 2014) give small - cap value
stocks a huge advantage: A compound
return of 13.6 %, versus 9.8 % for the Standard & Poor's 500 Index SPX, -0.57 % Data sourced for this report comes
from Dimensional Fund Advisors.
We know
from a historical perspective that the
stock market (using the S&P 500) has
returned on average about 10 % per
year over the last 30
years.
(You can quote Shiller
from now until kingdom come, but I daresay that he'd never claim that the future is known in the
stock markets, or that if we could only somehow to convince all investors to behave a certain way that
stocks would somehow provide smooth and steady
returns year after
year.)
You can quote Shiller
from now until kingdom come, but I daresay that he'd never claim that the future is known in the
stock markets, or that if we could only somehow to convince all investors to behave a certain way that
stocks would somehow provide smooth and steady
returns year after
year.)
Having a stable «home base» that offers a guaranteed
year in and
year out
return is a great way to build wealth and avoid the headache and pain that comes
from stock market corrections that can easily decimate your entire life savings.
While their wariness is understandable, it's also detrimental: The
stock market, over the long haul, has produced
return rates hovering in the 11 % range; and those who start investing young benefit
from those extra
years (see Investing Strategies for the Millennial Generation.)
As the bull
market of the 1990s came to an end, European insurers found themselves flush with surplus
from years of excellent
stock -
market returns, and adequate, if declining, underwriting performance.
But with the levels of dividends, profit growth and valuation expected over the next five
years it would suggest to me a 5 % to 7 %
return from the overall
stock market.
Having a stable «home base» that offers a guaranteed
year in and
year out
return is a great way to build wealth and avoid the headache and pain that comes
from stock market corrections that can easily decimate your entire life savings.