«The connection between Rs and AOD is further clarified by correlating their five -
year smoothed monthly anomalies at each station, i.e., the month - to - month variability seen in Fig. 10 was filtered out.
Not exact matches
These conditions comprise the following: S&P 500 overvalued with the Shiller P / E (the ratio of the S&P 500 to the 10 -
year average of inflation - adjusted earnings) greater than 18; overbought with the S&P 500 within 3 % of its upper Bollinger band (2 standard deviations above the 20 - period average) at daily, weekly, and
monthly resolutions, more than 7 % above its 52 - week
smoothing, and more than 50 % above its 4 -
year low; overbullish with the 2 - week average of advisory bullishness (Investors Intelligence) greater than 52 % and bearishness below 28 %; and yields rising with the 10 -
year Treasury bond yield higher than 6 - months earlier.
We allowed for
monthly leads and lags of the MEI up to ± 1
year; the PDO and AMO indices were
smoothed with a 5 -
year running average and only the zero - lag relationships with SST were considered.
Anyone reproducing Bob's 31 -
year - difference series should compare their results with the differenced series (plain
monthly differences)(a)
smoothed at 31
year bandwidth and (b) repeat 1
year smoothed (don't hesitate to jack the repetition way up...)
The reason I used a 5 -
year smooth on the first graph is that using
monthly or annual data makes the difference between adjusted and raw data too difficult to see due to
monthly and annual variability in temperatures.