Not exact matches
An important emerging issue, according to Stocker, is whether the unexpected hiatus in atmospheric
warming over the past 15
years is a
blip or evidence of a longer term trend.
But this early foray into winter weather is just a small
blip in the overall global picture, which is of a
warming world that is still on track to see 2014 set the mark for hottest
year on record, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration said Thursday.
«Actually, with the exception of 1998 — a «
blip»
year when temperatures spiked because of a strong «El Nino» effect (the cyclical
warming of the southern Pacific that affects weather around the world)-- the data on the Met Office's and CRU's own websites show that global temperatures have been flat, not for ten, but for the past 15
years.
We have a 161
year record (HadCRUT3), warts and all, that tells us the
warming was around 0.7 °C over the entire period, or a linear
warming rate of between 0.04 and 0.05 °C per decade, so this is probably more meaningful than the 65 -
year «
blip» (or the even less meaningful most recent 30 -
year «
blip», 1976 - 2005, used by IPCC to demonstrate AGW).
It is possible than a century long
blip in temperature might not show up in this reconstruction so in some way we are limited in how we compare this reconstruction to the past 100
years of
warming.
«Actually, with the exception of 1998 — a «
blip»
year when temperatures spiked because of a strong El Niño effect (the cyclical
warming of the southern Pacific that affects weather around the world)-- the data on the Met Office's and CRU's own websites show that global temperatures have been flat, not for 10, but for the past 15
years.»
He further admitted that in the last 15
years there had been no «statistically significant»
warming, although he argued this was a
blip rather than the long - term trend.
The HadCRUT record (preferred by IPCC) shows three statistically indistinguishable multi-decadal
warming «
blips» (of about 30
years each and
warming rates between 0.14 and 0.16 C per decade), the first two of which occurred prior to any significant human CO2 emissions.