· The grey circles show the 10
year warming rates which are statistically the same as the average warming rate — these are called Midways.
· The blue circles show the 10
year warming rates which are statistically significantly less than the average warming rate — these are called Slowdowns.
· The red circles show the 10
year warming rates which are statistically significantly greater than the average warming rate — these are called Speedups.
Not exact matches
The problem is the Fed has chosen to get their water from the small 2 % inflation pond, which has been steadily shrinking over the last several decades (not global
warming, but instead dropping 10
year rates).
Following an election
year when evangelicals were divided between their support for Trump, the mean
rating for evangelicals remained at 61 while the mean
rating for Buddhists, Mormons and Hindus shifted from relatively neutral to
warmer ratings.
Grobags come in a variety of warmth
ratings (togs): 3.5 tog Cold temperatures - for cold room temperatures of 12 - 15 °C (54 - 59 °F) 2.5 tog All
year round - for standard room temperatures of 16 - 20 °C (61 - 68 °F) 1.0 tog Summer and daytime naps -
warmer weather and in rooms of 21 - 23 °C (69 - 74 °F) 0.5 tog Holiday and heatwaves - hot weather and very
warm rooms of 24 - 27 °C (75 - 81 °F)
Even though the actual
rate of global
warming far exceeds that of any previous episodes in the past 14,000
years, large changes in global climate have occurred periodically throughout Earth's history.
The additional
warming caused a near - doubling of melt
rates in the twenty -
year period from 1995 to 2015 compared to previous times when the same blocking and ocean conditions were present.
«Sea level observations are telling us that during the past 100
years sea level has risen at an average
rate of 1.7 millimeters per
year,» most of that due to thermal expansion as the top 700 meters of the oceans
warms and expands.
While natural patterns of certain atmospheric and ocean conditions are already known to influence Greenland melt, the study highlights the importance of a long - term
warming trend to account for the unprecedented west Greenland melt
rates in recent
years.
The study predicts, for example, that
warming would hover below the 2 degrees Celsius threshold for the next 20,000
years at that
rate.
The strength and path of the North Atlantic jet stream and the Greenland blocking phenomena appear to be influenced by increasing temperatures in the Arctic which have averaged at least twice the global
warming rate over the past two decades, suggesting that those marked changes may be a key factor affecting extreme weather conditions over the UK, although an Arctic connection may not occur each
year.
«Last
year, following an intensive research effort involving a dozen scientists, I concluded that global
warming was real and that the prior estimates of the
rate of
warming were correct.
In June 2015, NOAA researchers led by Thomas Karl published a paper in the journal Science comparing the new and previous NOAA sea surface temperature datasets, finding that the
rate of global
warming since 2000 had been underestimated and there was no so - called «hiatus» in
warming in the first fifteen
years of the 21st century.
The
rate at which carbon emissions
warmed Earth's climate almost 56 million
years ago resembles modern, human - caused global
warming much more than previously believed, but involved two pulses of carbon to the atmosphere, University of Utah researchers and their colleagues found.
And while the
rate of planetary
warming has slowed in the past 16
years, it hasn't stopped.
The form of phosphate plants can use is in danger of reaching its peak — when supply fails to keep up with demand — in just 30
years, potentially decreasing the
rate of crop yield as the as the world population continues to climb and global
warming stresses crop yields, which could have damaging effects on the global food supply.
The deceleration in rising temperatures during this 15 -
year period is sometimes referred to as a «pause» or «hiatus» in global
warming, and has raised questions about why the
rate of surface
warming on Earth has been markedly slower than in previous decades.
«Combined with
warmer ocean temperatures throughout the
year, this leads to a longer growing season and faster plankton growth
rates.
Ongoing disagreement among scientists over how to sustain high survival
rates for salmon once the ocean
warms up again placed the National Marine Fisheries Service in a cross fire last
year.
The section of the 2007 IPCC report that deals with climate impacts, called Working Group II, included a statement in its chapter on Asia (see p. 493) that Himalayan glaciers are receding faster than any other glaciers on Earth and «the likelihood of them disappearing by the
year 2035 and perhaps sooner is very high if the Earth keeps
warming at the current
rate.»
Durack and his colleagues at LLNL found that the Southern Hemisphere's oceans have
warmed at a higher
rate over the past 35
years than previously thought.
The analysis indicates that — once you control for all other place - specific factors like political institutions and levels of economic development —
warmer than normal temperatures in the
year prior to an election produce lower vote shares for parties already in power, driving quicker
rates of political turnover.
Complementary analyses of the surface mass balance of Greenland (Tedesco et al, 2011) also show that 2010 was a record
year for melt area extent... Extrapolating these melt
rates forward to 2050, «the cumulative loss could raise sea level by 15 cm by 2050 ″ for a total of 32 cm (adding in 8 cm from glacial ice caps and 9 cm from thermal expansion)- a number very close to the best estimate of Vermeer & Rahmstorf (2009), derived by linking the observed
rate of sea level rise to the observed
warming.
For every 100 people in the US, there will be six additional sleepless nights per
year by 2050, if global
warming continues at its current
rate.
Professor Drijfhout said: «The planet earth recovers from the AMOC collapse in about 40
years when global
warming continues at present - day
rates, but near the eastern boundary of the North Atlantic (including the British Isles) it takes more than a century before temperature is back to normal.»
Projections indicate the temperatures could rise as much as 11 °F by century's end if greenhouse gas emissions aren't slowed and that the
rate of
warming could reach levels unseen in 1,000
years by 2030s.
The new analysis suggests no discernable decrease in the
rate of
warming between the second half of the 20th century, a period marked by manmade
warming, and the first fifteen
years of the 21st century, a period dubbed a global
warming
Instead, the
rate of
warming during the first fifteen
years of the 21st century is at least as great as that in the last half of the 20th century, suggesting
warming is continuing apace.
In particular, they're furious at suggestions the IPCC will admit it got its numbers wrong and that over the past 60
years the world has been
warming at half the
rate stated in its previous 2007 report.
According to the AAAS What We Know report, «The projected
rate of temperature change for this century is greater than that of any extended global
warming period over the past 65 million
years.»
I expect the
rate of
warming to proceed at a steady pace, about one and a half degrees over land in the next 50
years, less if the oceans are included.
You have also brushed over the fact that the
warming rate increases rapidly in the mid and upper scenarios so using the centenial trend applied to the next 20
years is inappopriate.
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)'s recent report said the
rate of
warming over the past 15
years has been 0.05 degrees Celsius per decade — quite a bit smaller than the 0.12 degrees per decade calculated since 1951.
An increasing
rate of
warming has taken place over the last 25
years, and 11 of the 12
warmest years on record have occurred in the past 12
years.
With no change in the
rate of greenhouse gas emissions, we could
warm that much in just 50
years.
at NCDC) when extended 1,000
years out = 20 Deg C, which would be around 4 times the
rate of
warming which took place during the especially intense period of rapid global
warming for the first 1,000
years of the PETM.
At the
rate we're
warming at the moment, a tenth of a degree means 5 to 10
years.
The researchers analysed resting and active jumping oxygen consumption
rates in snails exposed to seawater at the normal temperature of 29 °C and at the increased temperature of 34 °C, projected to be reached during the next 100
years due to global
warming.
Anthropogenic CO2 emissions are presently increasing every
year at an accelerating
rate, and it is extremely unlikely that humanity will collectively do what is necessary to not only stop that growth in CO2 emissions, but reverse it, and then reduce emissions by 80 percent or more within 5 to 10
years, which is what mainstream climate scientists say is needed to avoid the worst outcomes of anthropogenic global
warming.
Future global
warming can be predicted much more accurately than is generally realized... we predict additional
warming in the next 50
years of 3/4 + / - 1/4 °C, a
warming rate of 0.15 + / - 0.05 °C per decade.
Researchers from Dartmouth College and Boise State University are studying the importance of long - term
warming trends to account for the recent upswing in melting
rates in recent
years.
Major climate data sets have underestimated the
rate of global
warming in the last 15
years owing largely to poor data in the Arctic, the planet's fastest
warming region.
As glaciers and overland ice sheets shed ice and the
warming oceans expand, sea level rise is accelerating; NASA says the
rate of sea level rise has jumped from 1 millimeter per
year 100
years ago to 3 millimeters per
year today.
Even if global emission
rates are stabilized at present — day levels, just 20 more
years of emissions would give a 25 % probability that
warming exceeds 2 °C.
The abundance of reef - building corals is decreasing at a
rate of 0.5 — 2 % /
year, at least in part due to ocean
warming and possibly ocean acidification caused by rising dissolved CO2 [39]--[41].
Note the longevity of the
warming, especially if emissions reduction is as slow as 2 % /
year, which might be considered to be a rapid
rate of reduction.
Two strong La Niñas in the past five
years have depressed CO2 growth as well as the global
warming rate (Fig. 3).
The CO2 growth
rate and
warming rate can be expected to increase as we move into the next El Niño, with the CO2 growth already reaching 3 ppm /
year in mid-2013 [188].
Interglacial trends over the past 400,000
years exhibit steep
warming onsets, slower cooling
rates and nearly flat plateaus.