Sentences with phrase «year warming thayt»

Spurious doubling of 30 - year warming trend from well - sited surface temperature monitoring stations, 92 % of which is due to erroneous upward data adjustments by NOAA of the actual data from those well sited stations?

They never tried to explain the 60 - year warming with the stadium wave, only the pause.

And can these phenomena not account for 10 - 30 year warming and cooling trends?]

We could know how likely a fifteen - year flat five - year mean trend would be to reflect an end to the 30 - year warming trend.

Surely the most interesting part of the study is that Marcott et al shows the very same 300 year warming trend from 1690 that I noted in my study and was confirmed by BEST.

Looking at the longer - term trend (since 1850), it is likely that around half of the observed warming of 0.7 °C (rather than 93 % as assumed by IPCC) can be attributed to GHGs, although it is hard to see how the observed multi-decadal 30 - year warming and cooling cycles could have anything to do with GHGs.

Kent points out that according to the Milankovitch theory, we should be at the peak of a 20,000 - some year warming trend that ended the last glacial period; the Earth may eventually start cooling again over thousands of years, and possibly head for another glaciation.

In addition, as to the present warming hiatus, it is perhaps analogous to the one that started in 1940 following the earlier 30 year warming trend.

The paper being discussed here makes the claim that the current hiatus in warming is due to the heat going into the Atlantic ocean as the Atlantic ocean is currently in the 30 year cooling phase of it's ~ 60 year warming / cooling cycle.

What is left of his original 100 year warming after this amputation is a see - saw temperature curve, 25 years of cooling followed by 23 years of warming.

And, finally, it will tend to validate your hypothesis that our planet's temperature moves in 30 - year warming / cooling cycles on a slightly tilted axis, as a result primarily of natural forcing factors and variability, the mechanisms for which we still do not fully understand today.

But checking the Congressional Record you find that he includes as part of his 100 year warming a non-greenhouse warming that starts in 1910 and stops in 1940.

Breaking the record into the apparent 30 - year cycles (as Girma has done) there is the 30 - year warming cycle from ~ 1911 to ~ 1940 (which was «statistically indistinguishable» from the latest 30 - year warming cycle from ~ 1971 to ~ 2000, according to Phil Jones), followed by the 30 - year cycle of slight cooling from ~ 1941 to ~ 1970 (which occurred despite the fact that CO2 emissions were beginning to accelerate as a result of the post-WWII boom years).

The ENSO cycle has been in La Nada mode for a few months and the surface and troposphere, that both normally lag ENSO by a few months, indeed already are back on the 40 year warming trend.

I posted the data on the ice extent on the The Telegraph (James Delingpole's blog on fracking) and the warmists assumed it was temperature data and that it confirmed a 30 year warming trend!

NASA, insightfully, launched their satellite to study sea ice at the beginning of a 30 year warming cycle.

Hansen told the Sensate in 1988 that he personally had detected the greenhouse effect by observing a hundred year warming thayt could not have happened by pure chance.

The linear trends on the charts denote the continuing acceleration of 15 - year warming (red straight line) for the pre-1950 era, versus the decelerating trend of our current times (green straight line), as reported by NASA scientists.

How many 100 year warming periods greater than the current one could be buried in the missing samples?

Figure 1: Short - term cooling trends from Jan»70 to Nov» 77, Nov»77 to Nov» 86, Sep»87 to Nov» 96, Mar»97 to Oct» 02, and Oct»02 to Dec»11 (blue) vs. the 42 - year warming trend (Jan»70 to Dec» 11; red) using NOAA NCDC land - ocean data.

Phil Jones's post climategate statement of a 15 year warming hiatus may also point to a bit of decency and honesty in a CRU elite, but he has sadly stepped back recently on this topic by stating that 16 (17?)

AGW is a hypothesis that makes sense, namely: — GHGs absorb outgoing radiation, thereby contributing to warming (GH theory)-- CO2 is a GHG (as is water vapor plus some minor GHGs)-- CO2 concentrations have risen (mostly since measurements started in Mauna Loa in 1959)-- global temperature has risen since 1850 (in ~ 30 - year warming cycles with ~ 30 - year cycles of slight cooling in between)-- humans emit CO2 and other GHGs — ergo, human GHG emissions have very likely been a major contributor to higher GHG concentrations, very likely contributing to the observed warming

As the 17 - year warming «pause» suggests, in climate science nobody's 100 per cent right; it's a field of «complexity and nuance», and somewhere in the grey blur people pick different points to pitch their tents.

The 100 - year warming potential (GWP100) of methane is 34, according to the IPCC.

Mind you, when modern CAGW is shown to be nothing more than a continuation of a 350 year warming trend what will we find to talk about?.

Yet the trend from 1970 to now is 0.0164 C / year warming.

To be charitable (and to overlook all the cherry - picking and decline - hiding), the turn - of - the - century climate alarmists who failed to foresee the current 17 - year warming pause might reasonably plead that it was an «unknown unknown» - something they didn't know they didn't know.

There was a100 year warming, he said, that culminated in the warmest temperature ever recorded.

His contention is that this is due to a natural multi-decadal oceanic oscillation that is in its warming phase, superposed on a natural 200 - year warming trend - rebound since the end of the Little Ice Age.

i.e. a 30 year cooling trend to about 2030, followed by 30 year warming trend etc. on top of other fluctuations.

That early 18th century 30 - year warming cycle topped BOTH the two 30 - year early and late 20th century warming cycles together!

Similarly, many people blame the recent 50 year warming trend on various «climate cycles» but don't explain the physics causing Earth to gain energy.

If, for example, we were to create a piece-wise continuous trend keeping your own trend, we'd find the 0.17 C decadal warming trend from your starting point preceded by an estimated warming of equal magnitude in the combined 125 prior years (beginning at a time where only 1/4 of the present day coverage existed, thus placing the entire 125 year warming more or less within the margin of statistical insignificance).

Climate models have passed a broad range of validation tests — e.g. a 30 - year warming trend, response to perturbations like ENSO and volcanic eruptions... On the other hand, in a statistical model, parameters of the model are determined by a fit to the model.

Therefore those short term factors are what has affected the last ten years, causing the nonsignificant apparent 10 year decrease in the magnitude of the overall 30 year warming trend.

So has a broader, 10 - year warming and cooling pattern called the Pacific Decadal Oscillation.

The 100 - year warming potential (GWP100) of methane is 34, according to the IPCC.

In a recent study, Walter and her team predict that if these methane reservoirs melt over the next 100 years, the gas released could re-create climate conditions that prevailed during a 2,500 - year warming spell that began 14,000 years ago.

Darkness and heat feed on each other in new simulations that predict a 20 - year warming trend on the Red Planet

This year its warm but duh it has to rain now and again.

Predictions that a major El Niño warming event — and the coming solar maximum — would help make next year the warmest on record now seem wide of the mark.

One of the hallmarks of global warming is that the cooler times of day and year warm faster than the warmer ones.

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«Every year the warmer weather kicks in, and I feel happy for a few days, and then it happens,» my 34 - year - old patient Brenda told me during our initial consultation.

This color of the year warmed my heart!

This time of year warm, comfort food calls to me.

Over the years he warmed to the company of six similar souls, their only bond being their love of fighting and presence of death.

The AGU statement says that the «not natural» climate changes being recorded — perhaps best exemplified (albeit, I'll admit, overly simple) by the cascade of recent years all warmer than anything else since 1850 — are «best explained» by the increasing accumulation of man - made greenhouse gases and aerosols.

Why are El Nino years warmer than other years?