Sentences with phrase «year warming trends»

When the phase of natural variability is taken into account, the model 15 - year warming trends in CMIP5 projections well estimate the observed trends for all 15 - year periods over the past half - century.

The satellite temperature anomalies and 3 - year warming trends calculated and plotted using Excel; datasets used to produce monthly anomalies in an equal - weighted combination of two satellite datasets - RSS and UAH.

Darkness and heat feed on each other in new simulations that predict a 20 - year warming trend on the Red Planet

Therefore those short term factors are what has affected the last ten years, causing the nonsignificant apparent 10 year decrease in the magnitude of the overall 30 year warming trend.

Climate models have passed a broad range of validation tests — e.g. a 30 - year warming trend, response to perturbations like ENSO and volcanic eruptions... On the other hand, in a statistical model, parameters of the model are determined by a fit to the model.

Similarly, many people blame the recent 50 year warming trend on various «climate cycles» but don't explain the physics causing Earth to gain energy.

i.e. a 30 year cooling trend to about 2030, followed by 30 year warming trend etc. on top of other fluctuations.

His contention is that this is due to a natural multi-decadal oceanic oscillation that is in its warming phase, superposed on a natural 200 - year warming trend - rebound since the end of the Little Ice Age.

Mind you, when modern CAGW is shown to be nothing more than a continuation of a 350 year warming trend what will we find to talk about?.

Figure 1: Short - term cooling trends from Jan»70 to Nov» 77, Nov»77 to Nov» 86, Sep»87 to Nov» 96, Mar»97 to Oct» 02, and Oct»02 to Dec»11 (blue) vs. the 42 - year warming trend (Jan»70 to Dec» 11; red) using NOAA NCDC land - ocean data.

I posted the data on the ice extent on the The Telegraph (James Delingpole's blog on fracking) and the warmists assumed it was temperature data and that it confirmed a 30 year warming trend!

The ENSO cycle has been in La Nada mode for a few months and the surface and troposphere, that both normally lag ENSO by a few months, indeed already are back on the 40 year warming trend.

In addition, as to the present warming hiatus, it is perhaps analogous to the one that started in 1940 following the earlier 30 year warming trend.

Kent points out that according to the Milankovitch theory, we should be at the peak of a 20,000 - some year warming trend that ended the last glacial period; the Earth may eventually start cooling again over thousands of years, and possibly head for another glaciation.

Surely the most interesting part of the study is that Marcott et al shows the very same 300 year warming trend from 1690 that I noted in my study and was confirmed by BEST.

We could know how likely a fifteen - year flat five - year mean trend would be to reflect an end to the 30 - year warming trend.

Spurious doubling of 30 - year warming trend from well - sited surface temperature monitoring stations, 92 % of which is due to erroneous upward data adjustments by NOAA of the actual data from those well sited stations?

Nobody sensible need detain themselves with Monckton's conflation of a 16 - year warming trend that fails to achieve 2 - sigma signicance with «no warming», but when he wants us to believe that Da much - feted «modelaz» had freestyled up in 2008 dat they much - cited «simulations» ruled out, ta 95 % confidence, intervalz of 15 muthafuckin years and mo» without global warming.

As Table 1 shows, filtering out these external effects increased the 32 - year warming trend in every data set except UAH.

In the first place, there is no reason why a naive model would have predicted a 32 year warming trend.

I was paraphrasing IPCC AR4 WG1 SPM (p. 5), who compared a 100 - year warming trend from 1906 to 2005 with a steeper 50 - year warming trend from 1956 to 2005 to claim that there had been an acceleration in the warming rate.

The Bering Sea is considered to be one of the world's most productive fisheries and its northern portions are the home of sea ducks, grey whales, bearded seals and walruses, but a 30 - year warming trend has been bad news for those animals that are adapted to a cold - water environment, causing them to migrate further north.

Not exact matches

While this is bad news for the planet, it's good news for climate change scientists who have — for the last two decades — puzzled over warming trends in ocean surface temperatures for nearly 20 years.

Two years ago, Asness and an AQR colleague raised hackles with a research paper that argued that the global temperature trends over the last 125 years do not, on their own, support an alarmist view of global warming.

A new study that looks at climate change over the past 11,300 years — a record length of time for any study — suggests that the current trend of global warming is unprecedented.

Last year was Earth's warmest on record, according to an international climate report issued today by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration that documents other record - breaking global warming trends of 2016.

But it also follows trends that are often seen in northeastern states — a loss of a manufacturing base and companies preferring to move their businesses to warmer temperatures where they can operate year - round.

Because of the strong recent warming, the updated trend over 1906 to 2005 is now 0.74 ± 0.18 degree C. Note that the 1956 to 2005 trend alone is 0.65 ± 0.15 degree C, emphasizing that the majority of 20th - century warming occurred in the past 50 years.

The loss may be accelerating: since 2006, warm summers have caused levels to rise by 0.75 millimetres per year, though van den Broeke says we can't be sure whether this trend will continue (Science, DOI: 10.1126 / science.1178176).

While natural patterns of certain atmospheric and ocean conditions are already known to influence Greenland melt, the study highlights the importance of a long - term warming trend to account for the unprecedented west Greenland melt rates in recent years.

«The risk is that we've underestimated the global [warming] trend» over the past 200 years.

Researchers found an overall warming trend in air temperature of 0.023 C (0.041 F) per year, and in water temperature of 0.028 C (0.050 F) per year over 51 years.

This year, it's the temperature circle that's making the trend of global warming crystal clear.

This warming trend degrades permafrost, defined as ground that stays below freezing for at least two consecutive years.

While a 16 - year - period is too short a time to draw conclusions about trends, the researchers found that warming continued at most locations on the planet and during much of the year, but that warming was offset by strong cooling during winter months in the Northern Hemisphere.

While a strong El Niño provided a boost to global temperatures last year, the main driver of the planet's temperature surge, as well as other climate trends, is the warming caused by the buildup of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere.

Launching his long - awaited plan to combat climate change today, Obama explicitly linked current hardships to our planet's warming trend: «Farmers see crops wilted one year, washed away the next, and the higher food prices get passed on to you,» he told an audience at Georgetown University in Washington DC.

An important emerging issue, according to Stocker, is whether the unexpected hiatus in atmospheric warming over the past 15 years is a blip or evidence of a longer term trend.

Causes of warming trends at higher latitudes have gained more widespread attention from researchers in the past few decades, but the idea that the Arctic would warm faster than the rest of the planet has been around for more than 100 years.

About 15,000 years ago, as rising seas submerged the land bridge and a warming trend began to melt the glaciers covering North America, people swept rapidly into both North and South America.

The cooling trend was reversed during the 20th century, with four of the five warmest decades of our 2000 - year - long reconstruction occurring between 1950 and 2000.

This year has already brought higher temperatures than normal nation - wide, and that trend is expected to continue, in part due to global warming which is caused by rising concentrations of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere.

Climate modeling shows that the trends of warming ocean temperatures, stronger winds and increasingly strong upwelling events are expected to continue in the coming years as carbon dioxide concentrations in the atmosphere increase.

«It does show that what has happened in the last 30 years — a warming trend — puts us outside of all but the most extreme single years every 500 years since the Ice Age.

The warming trend was visible, Hansen said, even in this year's bitter Northern Hemisphere winter, which blanketed Britain and the East Coast in snow and had Congressional Republicans mocking former Vice President Al Gore for his climate claims.

Now, one year doesn't make a trend, but this does — 14 of the 15 warmest years on record have all fallen in the first 15 years of this century.»

To explore the links between climatic warming and rainfall in drylands, scientists from the Universities of Cardiff and Bristol analysed more than 50 years of detailed rainfall data (measured every minute) from a semi-arid drainage basin in south east Arizona exhibiting an upward trend in temperatures during that period.

Despite annual fluctuations, the trend is clear: The 10 warmest years on record have occurred since 1982.

Earth's long - term warming trend continues, and 2017 now ranks as one of the top three hottest years on record, according to a report released today (Jan. 18) by NASA and the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

But the period of time over which the team analysed the long - term trend in warming was the past 50 years, in which this oscillation hasn't changed significantly — so almost all the warming looks to have been the result of anthropogenic climate change.