Not exact matches
In all likelihood, next
year's
local election results will be less bad for Labour than this
year's were, perhaps showing a Conservative lead of 10 - 15 % in terms of national equivalent vote share.
There has been much debate as to whether this
year's
local elections represented a good or bad
result for Labour.
The
resulting general
election year PNS then provided a robust baseline for the calculation of the PNS in the
local elections that were held during the course of the subsequent parliament.
But there are a number of problems with these observations as a way of looking at the
results of this
year's
local elections.
This
year, however, we will still be reliant on the baseline provided by the 2015
local elections, and even here that baseline can only be made directly for the
results outside London.
For, judging by this
year's
local election results, Labour is now in dire straits in his own seat, Norwich South — while the Green Party is in pole position to gain the seat.
The following graph shows
results for those
local elections, like this
year's, that were held just a
year after a general
election.
Two
years ago I developed a simple statistical model that tries to predict the outcome of general
elections from
local election results.
In 1985 the Labour - Conservative
local election lead was almost the same as this
year's
results (39 - 32), but the Conservatives won the 1987 general
election 38 - 32.
That, however, is hyperbole, as
local government
results, last
year's Holyrood
elections and general
election polling clearly show the Conservatives rather better placed to do that.
All this is consistent with European,
local and by -
election results this
year.
Results came in for a host of
local level races and state government special
elections across New York in the off - cycle
year.
He has the worst personal poll ratings of any opposition leader in living memory, Labour have been consistently behind in the polls since he took over, and in May we had the worst
local election results of any opposition party in 40
years.
Gordon Brown has responded to Labour's worst
local election results for 40
years by pledging to «take the fight» to the Conservatives.
He'd be better off getting his head down, winning some respectable
local election results, giving the impression of upwards movement, and then talking up the chance of defections in a couple of
years.
That's about average for off -
year local elections, way short of predictions from advocates of single - member districts, who had argued that replacing multi-member districts with one - on - one contests voters would
result in better - known candidates and greater voter participation.
Local election results will also inform the political make - up of LGA boards and chairs for the next political
year, starting in September.
However, her slick performance on the podium at the Ukip manifesto launch belies a particularly high - profile gaffe in the wake of last
year's
local election results when she blamed London's «more media - savvy and educated» population for the party's lack of success in the capital.
One of the problems with the Bristol
local election results in the past has been their bizarre arrangement of having 2 member wards on a 3
year cycle.
So far as the English
Local Elections go - it's a major extension of control of English Local Government for the Conservative Party, but following on from results in 2003 that were still before Labour were hit by a backlash over the War in Iraq - if the Conservatives had failed to advance from 35 % in 2003 and Labour had held it's vote of 30 % then it would have been remarkable, it's still slightly up on 2006 for the Conservatives and Labour have only recovered marginally so far - it's a sign of continued revival of the Conservative Party, but also of a Labour revival, disappointing news for the Liberal Democrats who lost support even compared with last year where elections were fought, heavy losses of support nationally compared
Elections go - it's a major extension of control of English
Local Government for the Conservative Party, but following on from
results in 2003 that were still before Labour were hit by a backlash over the War in Iraq - if the Conservatives had failed to advance from 35 % in 2003 and Labour had held it's vote of 30 % then it would have been remarkable, it's still slightly up on 2006 for the Conservatives and Labour have only recovered marginally so far - it's a sign of continued revival of the Conservative Party, but also of a Labour revival, disappointing news for the Liberal Democrats who lost support even compared with last
year where
elections were fought, heavy losses of support nationally compared
elections were fought, heavy losses of support nationally compared to 2003.
create graphs (using art supplies, software, or a free and easy - to - use online graph - making tool) to show the
results of this
years local, state, and / or national
elections.
Split Decision: Two Incumbents Losing in Denver School Board
Elections, Two Supporters of District Policies Prevail (Chalkbeat) Quotes Martin West: «There are signs in the national
election results this week that Democrats may make significant headway at the state and
local level next
year when many more seats are in play, and that typically makes it harder to pursue the traditional reform agenda.