We have a lot of other issues — measurement biases, problems with historical reconstructions, role of the sun, etc — but this chart highlights the central problem — that catastrophic warming forecasts make no sense based on the last 100 +
years of actual data.
Not exact matches
Actual results and the timing
of events could differ materially from those anticipated in the forward - looking statements due to these risks and uncertainties as well as other factors, which include, without limitation: the uncertain timing
of, and risks relating to, the executive search process; risks related to the potential failure
of eptinezumab to demonstrate safety and efficacy in clinical testing; Alder's ability to conduct clinical trials and studies
of eptinezumab sufficient to achieve a positive completion; the availability
of data at the expected times; the clinical, therapeutic and commercial value
of eptinezumab; risks and uncertainties related to regulatory application, review and approval processes and Alder's compliance with applicable legal and regulatory requirements; risks and uncertainties relating to the manufacture
of eptinezumab; Alder's ability to obtain and protect intellectual property rights, and operate without infringing on the intellectual property rights
of others; the uncertain timing and level
of expenses associated with Alder's development and commercialization activities; the sufficiency
of Alder's capital and other resources; market competition; changes in economic and business conditions; and other factors discussed under the caption «Risk Factors» in Alder's Annual Report on Form 10 - K for the fiscal
year ended December 31, 2017, which was filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on February 26, 2018, and is available on the SEC's website at www.sec.gov.
But as Neil Dutta, Chief Economist with Renaissance Macro Research points out, if you look at the
actual flow
data showing the number
of people each month entering and exiting the labor force, the rate at which workers are entering the labor force is actually lower today than at any point over the last two
years.
The following chart shows the same
data on an inverted log scale (blue line, left), along with the
actual subsequent 12 -
year nominal average annual total return
of the S&P 500 Index (red line, right).
To investigate, we relate «Expected Changes in Prices During the Next
Year» (expected annual inflation) from the monthly final University
of Michigan Survey
of Consumers and
actual U.S. inflation
data based on the monthly non-seasonally adjusted consumer price index (U.S.. All items, 1982 - 84 = 100).
 However, Statistics Canadaâ $ ™ s figures from
actual payroll
data show that average wages paid by local governments have increased at a lower rate than overall average wages and at rates above the rate
of inflation over the past twenty
years:
Actual sales
data from the DFW area (NTREIS) shows a 13.6 percent increase in new construction sales for the month
of March with average prices that were 3.2 percent lower than last
year.
This is comprehensive in providing a 15 -
year analysis
of purchasing patterns
of water based non-alcoholic beverages shows true trends and movement based on
actual sales
data.»
Duckworth was a co-author on a paper published last
year that compared self - reporting on grit, self - control and conscientiousness with
actual test scores and behavior
data of students at 32 Boston schools.
In the
data tables, columns labeled «
actual,» «est.» and «request» represent agencies» best estimates
of federal funding for R&D for the past, current, and coming fiscal
year, respectively.
Although the
actual absolute numbers have increased when compared with 2009 (the
year for which there are World Health Organization mortality
data for most EU countries) due to the growing numbers
of elderly people, the rate (age - standardised per 100,000
of the population)
of people who die from the disease has declined from 148.3 male and 89.1 female deaths per 100,000 in 2009 to 138.1 deaths and 84.7 per 100,000 predicted for 2014.
DePreSys's predictions for 10
years on from the date
of the historical
data were on average only 19 per cent more or less than the
actual numbers (Nature Geoscience, DOI: 10.1038 / ngeo1004).
To establish their results, the team input
actual, time - resolved wind speed
data into a numerical simulation that determined the total amount
of energy captured by a turbine over a
year of operation.
The researchers analyzed two
years of scanner
data across more than 70 stores
of a major U.S. retail chain, along with survey responses from 400
of the chain's shoppers to see if consumers consciously balanced their health concerns with their
actual food purchases.
Tom appears challenged by the idea
of building global climate models based on atmospheric physics and doing
years of testing those models against
actual data.
«Singles have been testing their photos on dating sites for
years to see which photo gets the most attention, but they haven't had the proper tools to show them which
of their photos perform the best and worst with
actual data to back it up.
Snap's CEO, Cliff Lerner, said: «Singles have been testing their photos on dating sites for
years to see which photo gets the most attention, but they haven't had the proper tools to show them which
of their photos perform the best and worst with
actual data to back it up.
The adjusted
data reflect the value
of actual pension benefits accrued each
year by teachers, not merely what the governments happen to contribute to their pension funds each
year.
We conducted our analysis alternately using absolute student achievement, measured with statewide mean SAT scores for the 1989 — 90 school
year and the mean high - school dropout rate calculated from 1990 census
data, and with a second measure that represents the deviation
of actual achievement from expected student performance.
Of the elementary and middle schools the survey respondents rated, 14 percent received a grade of «A,» 41 percent received a «B» grade, while 36 percent received a «C.» Seven percent were given a «D» and 2 percent an «F.» These subjective ratings were compared with data on actual school quality as measured by the percentage of students in each school who achieved «proficiency» in math and reading on states» accountability exams during the 2007 - 08 school yea
Of the elementary and middle schools the survey respondents rated, 14 percent received a grade
of «A,» 41 percent received a «B» grade, while 36 percent received a «C.» Seven percent were given a «D» and 2 percent an «F.» These subjective ratings were compared with data on actual school quality as measured by the percentage of students in each school who achieved «proficiency» in math and reading on states» accountability exams during the 2007 - 08 school yea
of «A,» 41 percent received a «B» grade, while 36 percent received a «C.» Seven percent were given a «D» and 2 percent an «F.» These subjective ratings were compared with
data on
actual school quality as measured by the percentage
of students in each school who achieved «proficiency» in math and reading on states» accountability exams during the 2007 - 08 school yea
of students in each school who achieved «proficiency» in math and reading on states» accountability exams during the 2007 - 08 school
year.
The red line shows the
actual attrition rates as calculated by theNew York City Independent Budget Office for the 9,437 teachers who began teaching in New York City in the 2001 - 2 school
year, the most recent time period for which we have 10
years of data.
Duckworth was a co-author on a paper published last
year that compared self - reporting on grit, self - control and conscientiousness with
actual test scores and behavior
data of students at 32 Boston schools.
But just looking at the
data, and understanding it, isn't the same as using it, so in this coming
year, I'm hoping we can develop mechanisms to support
actual use
of data to inform instruction.
In reviewing the
actual enrollment
data for just remedial English, the authors applied a remedial rate
of slightly more than 8 percent for two -
year institutions to each institution's total enrollment for a multiplier
of 0.0814; slightly more than 1 percent for four -
year very high research institutions for a multiplier
of 0.0107; and almost 5 percent for other four -
year institutions for a multiplier
of 0.0471.
The CCA
data set provides
actual enrollment numbers in three mutually exclusive groups — remedial math, remedial English, and remedial math and English — for three types
of public institutions — two -
year, four -
year «very high research,» and other four -
year institutions — for full and part - time students who are U.S. residents, as well as
actual remedial rates for these groups based on
actual enrollment.
But with its vast
data system and
years of value - added assessment
data, Tennessee is able to track the
actual effectiveness
of teachers and principals as well as their distribution in every corner
of the state — not simply their educational credentials and certification.
Because 2014 - 15 is the first, or baseline,
year for the index, next fall's release
of 2015 - 16
data will show the
actual academic growth for students.
But this is the first
year those schools will receive
actual scores — that's because DPI needs at least two
years of data to make comparisons and calculate growth measures.
When using your Vehicle, UVO eServices automatically (or passively), including, through the use
of telematics, collects and stores information about your Vehicle, such as: (i) information about your Vehicle's operation, performance and condition, including such things as diagnostic trouble codes, oil life remaining, tire pressure, fuel economy and odometer readings, battery use management information, battery charging history, battery deterioration information, electrical system functions; (ii) driver behavior information, which is information about how a person drives a Vehicle, such as the
actual or approximate speed
of your Vehicle, seat belt use, information about braking habits and information about collisions involving your Vehicle and which air bags have deployed; (iii) information about your use
of the Vehicle and its features, such as whether you have paired a mobile Device with your Vehicle); (iv) the precise geographic location
of your Vehicle; (v)
data about remote services we make available such as remote lock / unlock, start / stop charge, parking location, climate control, charge schedules, and Vehicle status check; (vi) when there is a request for service made; and (vii) information about the Vehicle itself (such as the Vehicle identification number (VIN), make, model, model
year, selling dealer, servicing dealer, date
of purchase or lease and service history)(collectively, «Vehicle Information»).
It is a monthly report
of actual net revenues from roughly 1200 publishers who choose to provide
data; it also includes their cumulative
year - to - date net revenue figures so the December report would therefore have all 12 months.
Twenty - nine percent
of consumers age 18 to 29 guessed that renters insurance costs $ 1,000 a
year, though the
actual average premium costs $ 187 a
year, according to
data from the National Association
of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC).
By sticking with
actual data and avoiding the «Yeah, it feels like I had a good
year» you'll be able to make the necessary course corrections to save the right amount
of money in the upcoming
year.
The lack
of movement in the current market relating to 30
year mortgage rates is due to the fact that market expectations were so close to the
actual data.
Adjusted return on investment analysis for different types
of colleges, based on
actual salary
data ten
years after graduation.
The performance information presented in certain charts or tables represent backtested performance based on combined simulated index
data and live (or
actual) mutual fund results from January 1, 1928 to the period ending date shown, using the strategy
of buy and hold and on the first
of each
year annually rebalancing the globally diversified portfolios
of index funds.
«While this shows a significant increase over last
year, it is more reflective
of an adjustment in
data reporting than
actual growth,» said Vetere.
That's right: despite their combined «90
years of work in zoology and conservation,» these two are trying to sell the Wisconsin Study's estimates as
actual data (and, by association, the Wisconsin Study as an
actual study).
Sixteen
years later, though, ABC is still trying to make «
actual data» out
of «not
actual data.»
Along those lines, has the following been tried (again, forgive if I'm asking something with an obvious answer published somewhere): 1) pick starting projection dates and subsequent run paths 2) example for (1): start 1980, run forward 5
years; start 1982, run forward 5
years; start 1984 (run to 1989) etc etc 3) at each start we proceed as with the 1979 directive; ie calibrate with several months
of starting
year data 4) thus the latest such (example) run where we could compare against
actual data would be an initialization in 2008 and run forward for 5
years to 2013 5) the advantage
of the above (and I recognize that there is a huge amount
of work involved in crunching these simulations) is that we could see the starting temp and 5
year projections against the historical record for a number
of overlapping segments.
In my experimentation with techniques to «showcase» the robustness
of the global - average temperature results, I found that it is also important to show the
actual number
of stations reporting
data for each
year.
Dr. Pollard and Dr. DeConto ran a five - million -
year computer simulation
of the ice sheet's comings and goings, using
data on past
actual climate and ocean conditions gleaned from seabed samples (the subject
of the other paper) to validate the resulting patterns.
Here in the pacific NW the
actual data as collected and studied and published by scientists is very clear that there is a 30
year trend
of decreasing low pressure in storms and increasing water content
of storms... the fuel
of storms.
Further, I have a hard time reconciling the reserve additions figures in Roger Bezdek's piece with
actual reserve additions in Canada, Venezuela, Brazil and Madagascar in recent
years, but perhaps they are integrated earlier in time that the U.S.G.S.
data, I am misreading one or both pieces
of data, or the definition
of reserve is not consistent.
Tom appears challenged by the idea
of building global climate models based on atmospheric physics and doing
years of testing those models against
actual data.
It would be 20
years of data Josh, assuming the topic is the divergence between model projections and
actual temps.
It's not the
actual years that is the number
of data points, but the number
of 30
year bins.
If you've ever wondered why you're buried in snow but keep hearing about how we've experienced «officially, the second warmest
year on record» (when we're not being told it could be the warmest
year on record), know that «officially» relates to the pronouncements
of officials, and «official temperature records» have been «systematically «adjusted» to show the Earth as having warmed much more than the
actual data justified.»
Adding the
actual data over those 10
years to readjust the model led to a new prediction
of 1.9 C which again correctly hindcasts to known results.
I think you can also see the fundamental problem with taking that smoothed
data set and just throwing it in with
actual temperature measurements with all
of their
year - to -
year and decade - to - decade variations.
No - one here asked you to claim, based on your 46
years of experience as an aeronautical engineer, that you knew better than the
actual scientists how to interpret their
data so that it wasn't biased or «fraudulent.»