England had several
years of uncertainty when it came to the man wearing the number «1» jersey, with Paul Robinson, Robert Green and David James never really putting in consistent performances.
Not exact matches
My question for the FIRE community is how do you plan for a 40 - 50
year retirement
when there is so much
uncertainty around the future
of taxes and safety nets?
This
uncertainty seems to have led to increased levels
of stress and anxiety, with 70 % of all US respondents reporting stress this year when thinking about retirement savings and investments, versus 67 % in 2015.5 Of those respondents who reported experiencing significant stress when thinking about their retirement savings, 65 % didn't know how much of their retirement savings they currently withdraw / spend or expect to withdraw / spend on an annual basis in retiremen
of stress and anxiety, with 70 %
of all US respondents reporting stress this year when thinking about retirement savings and investments, versus 67 % in 2015.5 Of those respondents who reported experiencing significant stress when thinking about their retirement savings, 65 % didn't know how much of their retirement savings they currently withdraw / spend or expect to withdraw / spend on an annual basis in retiremen
of all US respondents reporting stress this
year when thinking about retirement savings and investments, versus 67 % in 2015.5
Of those respondents who reported experiencing significant stress when thinking about their retirement savings, 65 % didn't know how much of their retirement savings they currently withdraw / spend or expect to withdraw / spend on an annual basis in retiremen
Of those respondents who reported experiencing significant stress
when thinking about their retirement savings, 65 % didn't know how much
of their retirement savings they currently withdraw / spend or expect to withdraw / spend on an annual basis in retiremen
of their retirement savings they currently withdraw / spend or expect to withdraw / spend on an annual basis in retirement.
And yet,
when we compare the current climate with that
of just a
year ago, it is clear that
uncertainty has diminished.
Rather, it is a byproduct
of the world's central banks, having intervened on vast scale to deal with the economic travails
of the last several
years, introducing
uncertainty and even a little chaos as they start to contemplate how and
when the era
of easy money might end.
We initiated our Lloyds position in December 2011
when uncertainty about macroeconomic conditions, as well as about Lloyds's management succession, caused shares to fall 64 % over the course
of the
year.
Jeanne would thus have an ongoing source
of cash to live on in her last
years, and the lawyer would get an apartment cheaply, with no money down, in return for accepting the
uncertainty as to
when he would take possession.
Thanks to unprecedented levels
of uncertainty across many financial markets — particularly at the beginning
of the
year when China's collapsing stock prices sent shockwaves through equities markets worldwide, and then in June in the aftermath
of the United Kingdom's decision to leave the European Union — investors piled into gold as a safety measure.
He notes that the subsequent
years have brought disillusionment and deep
uncertainty, but ends on the note that Christians once so inspired by the teachings
of such as Dietrich Bonhoeffer will surely play a constructive role
when the former East Germany finds its future.
Despite the
uncertainty around Brexit, 40 %
of dairy industry professionals agreed that their companies will be exporting more in 2016
when compared to last
year
One
of the biggest concerns
when betting on the Rookie
of the
Year odds is the
uncertainty surrounding call - up dates for top prospects.
Because even though Jon thinks I'm completely crazy, since I've been experiencing yet another lovely pregnancy, and after all the heartache and confusion I experienced in the three
years of uncertainty leading up to learning I was pregnant again,
when I discovered that my ovaries weren't, in fact, dead, my first thought was, «This is amazing!
When BritainThinks asked swing voters in Watford their expectations for 2018 in focus groups earlier this
year, they painted an almost universally gloomy picture
of uncertainty, anxiety and division — in fact, it feels like the only thing we have to be proud
of as a nation is the Royal Family.
But despite
uncertainties, there is little doubt that in the current times
when China is also considering further liberalisation
of its capital account, IIAs will continue to play an important role in China's economic diplomacy in the
years to come.
Both houses
of the Canadian federal government have passed a new law that
when enacted will lift several
years of uncertainty concerning the rights
of American boaters and anglers on the St. Lawrence River, Lake Ontario, the Niagara River — in fact, on any border water
of the two countries.
Fourteen
years after the 9/11 attacks, a new round
of uncertainty looms for people exposed to the million tons
of toxic dust that fell on New York
when hijacked jets toppled the World Trade Center.
Lord Hunt
of Wirral, left, said he believed remaining in the EU would be a vote for business stability over
uncertainty while Lord Dunlop defied Theresa May last
year when he voted in the Lords to give Parliament the final say over Brexit
DiNapoli says the stock market, as well as the nation's economy faces numerous
uncertainties, including the on going European debt crisis, and the so - called fiscal cliff in the federal budget, that the President and Congress have set up to occur at the end
of this
year,
when they must make some tough spending and taxing decisions.
The anxiety and
uncertainty that men who choose active surveillance experience
when diagnosed with prostate cancer causes one in four to receive definitive therapies within one to three
years, even
when there is no sign
of tumor progression.
I had settled into a consistent yogic routine for only a little over a
year when I left the corporate life and ventured out into the
uncertainty of...
Even those who seem comfortable
when you first introduce these new challenges early in the
year can hit a wall as content and assessment take a turn toward
uncertainty, requiring more intense application
of their executive function.
As one
of us (Roza has) observed, the best state policies would prevent districts both from «deficit spending» (which occurs due to pensions and retirement health care) and from obligating out -
year expenditures — such as
when they sign a five -
year labor contract although there's ample
uncertainty as to what revenues will look like in five
years.
Chances are, parents, community leaders, and educators will be left
years from now with an even greater sense
of uncertainty about who really runs the district and to whom they should turn, or assign blame,
when things go wrong.
Even in cases where a principal «s tenure extends over a period
of several
years, teachers may remain alienated
when principal turnover is the result
of a district leadership rotation policy.208 Teachers may become cynical and resistant to change because
of the «revolving door syndrome» — the
uncertainty and instability turnover causes, and the perception
of the new leader as a «servant to the system.
Michael Galola faced
uncertainty four
years ago
when both
of his sons were diagnosed with autism.
«
When there's that level
of uncertainty on (vehicle) programs that are sourced three
years in advance
of production and run for another five
years - plus, customers get nervous.»
While trying to be content with her adoptive family, she's living in relentless
uncertainty and the fear
of remembering what really happened that night
when she was five
years old.
When a foreign holder
of Treasuries is willing to give up 40 basis points
of yield on a 10 -
year T - note yielding 3.80 %, so that they can get paid off in Euros if there is a repudiation
of US Treasury obligations, there is significant
uncertainty over the creditworthiness
of the US Government.
When you extend the timeframe to a decade, the
uncertainty drops dramatically, even faster than we would expect if each
year's return were independent
of the past.
Given the fundamental
uncertainty of the future, Lawrence Russell and Company generally favors proactively increasing income and moderating consumption
when necessary to insure substantial rates
of savings and rates
of debt reduction during working
years.
If I have a tree sample, and it has 200 rings on it, but incomplete sap wood, then while there is
uncertainty in the
year the tree was felled, there would be no
uncertainty in the age
of each existing ring,
when cross dated with a master chronology.
What is clear is that uncontrolled emissions will very soon put us in range
of temperatures that have been unseen since the Eemian / Stage 5e period (about 120,000
years ago)
when temperatures may have been a degree or so warmer than now but where sea level was 4 to 6m higher (see this recent discussion the possible sensitivities
of the ice sheets to warming and the large
uncertainties involved).
The study, published in Geophysical Research Letters, found that any prediction
of when the summer thawing might happen includes a 20 -
year period
of uncertainty.
The first part
of this sentence seems to demand a high level
of uncertainty with respect to the later assertion, especially
when one considers that the work seems to be based on 4
years of observational data, the post-2007 ice decline.
When the emission estimates are compared over time, the resulting relative
uncertainty is generally lower than the
uncertainty of estimates for individual
years.
For example,
when one uses the yearly records for SOI and compares them with yearly records
of GISS, there is ambiguity and
uncertainty into where the average is meant to be applied — is it the first
of the
year, or is it halfway through the
year?
But there is a potential problem: I don't know how precisely the experimentalists have pegged these values either for current
years (
when direct measurements are possible) or in past
years (
when direct measurments likely weren't done) It may be the
uncertainty bounds from in experiments are rather large giving modelers quite a bit
of leeway.
«
uncertainty» equals no consensus but consensus is not proof this is just one classic example
of just more humans trying to justify their existence and no the IPCC Judith Curry and everyone else involved continue dancing on the head
of a pin whilst Mr Ordinary gets his wealth sequestrated in order to pay for these guys to indulge in their pet hobby
when the person who is making their life possible derives no benefit whatsoever except higher and higher energy bills, more restrictions on their ability to travel whilst again the lauded few get to travel across the planet 1st class to tout their jaded theories
of how what and where and all I hope and pray is that we get another five
years of flat temperatures then you are all toast and in a great need
of having to work for a living or get another hobby.
A lot
of people have different positions in the AGW debate, and with so many people and so much
uncertainty particularly about the mechanisms and rate constants
of all
of the kinetic processes involved, I find it implausible that people would waste time on the simple comparisons, making much sound and fury,
when it starts out with a short term comparison
of CO2 and temperature over the same last few
years.
Ironically,
when we look at paleoclimates, both the cold climates
of the Ice Ages, and the warm climates
of the Tertiary (from 65 to 2.5 million
years ago), the same
uncertainty exists.
The point I want to make (and I made this point point in the
Uncertainty Monster paper) is globally, the modeled spectral density
of the variability,
when compared with observations, is too high for periods
of ~ 8 - 17
years, and too low for periods
of 40 - 70
years.
Just seems on top
of the un / certainty pick - ems (
uncertainty about negative or positive feedback) or the other
of gritty hinges we see are at the «core»
of the issue that we're almost assuming we can explain the last 14,000
years in climate history to a resolution
of a decade and rule out all factors effecting all changes over that time prior to 1850 effectively
when we hear statements «high» (most, likely, probably, etc) certainties
of understanding what we are seeing being used to support invoking PP.
Why isn't a TCR type
of simulation, but instead using actual history and 200
year projected GHG levels in the atmosphere, that would produce results similar to a TCR simulation (at least for the AGW temp increase that would occur
when the CO2 level is doubled) and would result in much less
uncertainty than ECS (as assessed by climate model dispersions), a more appropriate metric for a 300
year forecast, since it takes the climate more than 1000
years to equilibrate to the hypothesized ECS value, and we have only uncertain methods to check the computed ECS value with actual physical data?
I was pointing out that this is increasingly the challenge to the climate consensus that is voiced in public, per Carlson in the video, and that this approach will increasingly help expose the gap between the narrative
of certain calamity (whatever its touted threshold du jour, which has changed over the
years and may continue to do so) and the reality
of what is knowable even in the way that the IPCC defines this knowability (let alone what is knowable
when taking approaches to
uncertainty such as that
of our host here).
For
years economists have been showing that
when uncertainty exists over the costs
of reducing emissions
of a pollutant like C02 it is better to use a tax than a quota.
We know what works
when it comes to American energy because in just a few short
years our nation has emerged from decades
of energy scarcity, dependency and
uncertainty into this new era
of American energy abundance and leadership.
Within this
uncertainty range, this reconstruction suggests that the pronounced decline in summer Arctic sea ice cover that began in the late twentieth century is unprecedented in both magnitude and duration
when compared with the range
of variability
of the previous roughly 1,450
years.
Interestingly, that means this is something that ends up being defined retroactively: say we have a series
of slow - warming
years, such that in 2021 we see the
uncertainty bar lower than the long term trend:
when did the slowdown begin?
There are many
uncertainties in the science and the occasional finding that pokes holes in details, but claims that warming stopped in
year X, there is an ice age imminent, etc. are given undue prominence
when there is no real evidence for this sort
of position, just as there is no real evidence that tobacco isn't a health hazard, or HIV doesn't cause AIDS.
Add the facts in trend: The oceans are acidifying, The climate has already shifted 4 degrees
of latitude in the past 30
years; the Arctic will likely be virtually ice free during the summer melt within the decade, all the
uncertainty ranges are positive and none
of them are negative, CO2 is plant food, but what does that mean
when the oxygen levels are dropping, the Hoover dam is supposed to shut down in 2023 due to no water (latitudinal shift), the Yangtze in China is getting very low, etc. etc..