For 15 years the prediction of warming resulting from a doubling of CO2 has varied by 300 % from 1.5 to 4.5 K. For 15
years the climate modellers have been claiming it will take them 15 years to get the clouds and aerosols right.
Not exact matches
The most detailed record of the Earth's
climate over the past 250 000
years is making modern
climate modellers think again about the implications of a greenhouse world
Charles Lansdale wonders why we should believe predictions about
climate change 50
years into the future when computer
modellers sometimes...
The wind pushes them out to the open sea, where they ultimately break up into smaller pieces and melt in the course of two to three
years,» explains Thomas Rackow, a
climate modeller at the Alfred Wegener Institute in Bremerhaven / Germany and first author of the new study.
Real scientists (as opposed to
climate modellers) have long maintained that the decline in Arctic ice is caused not by warmer air — in the past
year or two Arctic air temperatures have actually been falling — but by shifts in major ocean currents, pushing warmer water up into the Arctic Circle.
Stainforth explained how
climate modellers are told policymakers need local and regional scale predictions for 40
years ahead to enable them to plan mitigation and adaptation.
Uncertainty... whether a blip in the Five
Year Plan or fifteen year projections in weather, even predictions of April's showers by climate modellers in cloud tow
Year Plan or fifteen
year projections in weather, even predictions of April's showers by climate modellers in cloud tow
year projections in weather, even predictions of April's showers by
climate modellers in cloud towers.
But now, according to Dr Cai and an international team of scientists and
climate modellers from China, Australia, Hawaii and New Jersey in the US, Peru, Paris and Exeter in the UK, such a double whammy could occur every 13
years.
Over the past few
years, an international team of
climate scientists, economists and energy systems
modellers have built a range of new «pathways» that examine how global society, demographics and economics might change over the next century.
Jim Hansen of NASA, George Bush's top
climate modeller, predicts sea - level rise will be 10 times faster within a few
years, as Greenland destabilises.
But winter ice remains important, and Arctic governments and communities — and
climate modellers and meteorologists — still need reliable,
year - on -
year information to allow them to see a few
years, or even a few decades ahead.
Over the past few
years, an international team of
climate scientists, economists and energy systems
modellers have built a range of new «pathways»... Read More
The thing that the
climate modellers are trying to achieve is a prediction of the effect of adding billions of tons of CO2 to our atmosphere over the next hundred
years — that is a human timescale of two or three generations.
As
climate modellers will be well aware, a few weeks ago a group of German scientists reported that a weakening in the meridional overturning circulation (MOC) over the next ten
years due to natural internal variability could cool
climate around the North Atlantic enough to temporarily offset the effects of global warming.
«
climate modellers have sharply raised their estimates of future warming in just the last couple of
years.»