High -
yield bonds need to pay more than safer alternatives to compensate for the greater likelihood of default.
Not exact matches
While investors will have to find stocks with higher
yields, pay more for them and take on more risk in
bonds, the biggest change in a permanently low - rate world is that people will
need to set aside more of every paycheque if they want to keep the same goal for retirement income.
This makes sense; lower growth should result in
bond yields falling, anticipating lower Bank of Canada rates in the future and less
need for a risk premium around inflation.
In addition, housing and the economy should get a lift from the plunge in 10 - year U.S. government
bond yields to 3 %, and, if the economy
needs it, a new round of quantitative easing from the Federal Reserve.
People are looking more at the domestic situation and saying, «You know what, maybe we
need a higher
bond yield,»» Yardeni says.
«Powell obviously
needs to raise the federal funds rate but he has one very important asset that could keep the 10 - year
bond yield from blasting off.
Instead,
bond investors
need to be chasing
yield.
To receive the full benefit of a
bond ladder, one
needs not only to stay the course for a number of years (so that lower
yield and higher
yield purchases benefit from cost averaging), but also with a relatively stable amount of capital.
The institutions are not only using the money to meet their own short - term financing
needs, they are also borrowing additional money to purchase the
bonds of troubled countries and earn the spread between the
yields on those
bonds and the much lower rate the ECB is charging them for money.
However, despite Italy's budget difficulties, Monti said that it would not
need a bailout, although the country may want Europe's rescue funds and the ECB to buy its
bonds so that
yields come down to a more manageable level.
While she expected that
bond yields might not fall too much near term as managers would
need to allocate some funds to cash
bonds, swaps and futures would likely remain under pressure.
A rise of 1 - 2 % isn't going to do much, and I don't think we'll rise by more than 1 - 2 % on the 10 - year
bond yield anyway, so nobody
needs to panic.
People
need to pay attention to the 10 - year
bond yield as it is signaling something negative may be about to happen in the equities market here.
«
Yield spreads over developed market
bonds are reasonable, and the opportunities for adding value are more extensive, although emerging market currencies may
need to weaken further in the short term.»
With
bonds yielding roughly 2.5 %, a typical stock - and -
bond portfolio would
need stocks to grow at 12.5 % annually in order to hit that overall 8.5 % target.
Note: HYG the $ 20bln high
yield ETF
yields 5.13 % in comparison, hence you might
need to buy an out of favor sector like bricks and mortar retail, otherwise non-rated is likely where you will find > 7 % in the US domestic
bond market.
Converting this to a TEB (Taxable Equivalent Basis) a non-IL resident in the top tax bracket would
need to invest in a corporate
bond yielding 7.6 % to match.
Tuesday April 24: Five things the markets are talking about U.S dollar bulls seem to have finally found some much
needed support from interest rates as U.S
bond yields climb toward levels unseen in nearly four - years.
Although decades of history have conclusively proved it is more profitable to be an owner of corporate America (viz., stocks), rather than a lender to it (viz.,
bonds), there are times when equities are unattractive compared to other asset classes (think late - 1999 when stock prices had risen so high the earnings
yields were almost non-existent) or they do not fit with the particular goals or
needs of the portfolio owner.
As Japan's JGB market has shown for a decade, you don't
need high
yields to see impressive gains in
bonds.
For
bonds to defend against declining equity values, where do
bond yields need to fall?
However, breaking the carbon - carbon
bonds, in order to shorten the molecular chains, is harder; extreme temperatures are
needed, and often
yield unwanted products.
Since
yield is an important component of a
bond investment's total return, investors
need to be able to answer this question in order to accurately assess whether an investment is right for them.
If the AAA
bond yield is 5.5 %, a stock would
need to have an earnings
yield of at least 11 % to meet the Rea - Graham criterion.
Income - seeking investors may
need to consider exploring riskier areas of the
bond market like high
yield and EM
bonds.
If you are an income investor with more than a five year horizon, you should be looking outside of the
bond market for your income
needs given the pitifully low
yields on offer.
To be competitive in the marketplace, the
bond's
yield would
need to change or no investor would want the
bond.
The advice on avoiding high -
yield debt
needs more explanation, because
bonds with high payouts are not especially sensitive to interest rate movements.
Same thing as a
bond manager, I would drop out out if the new
yield did not meet my
yield needs.
If I were trying to balance the
yield needed from
bonds to compete with equities, it would look like this, then:
With stocks, we
need to estimate future earnings, and apply a P / E multiple that is consistent with the future
yield on BBB corporate
bonds.
A second reason to be cautious about high -
yield bonds is that they don't provide much stability in a portfolio when you're likely to
need it most.
For this example, you'd
need a taxable
bond with a
yield of 4 % to get the same return as a municipal
bond.
Always interesting, Gross mentioned that in order to generate a level of return equal to the 7.5 % return
bonds have delivered over the past 40 years,
yields would
need to drop to negative 17 %.
The moment incremental financing seems less likely or more expensive, companies that will
need financing get re-evaluated by the market — stock prices move down,
bond yields go up.
That's why investors
need to make decisions based on a
bond fund's
yield to maturity.
Based on preliminary reviews of his clients living in Massachusetts, his initial estimate is that out - of - state muni
bonds will
need to generate as much as 0.40 % more in additional
yield to offset new SALT limits.
As central banks move away from ultra-loose monetary policy, and the global economic expansion matures,
bond fund managers will
need to ensure their portfolios draw on a truly diverse range of sources of return and carefully consider portfolio risk if they are to generate
yield in the current market environment.
Do rising U.S. Treasury
yields and a steepening
yield curve suggest an economic recovery is more certain, meaning less
need for safe haven government
bonds and a healthy demand for credit?
However, investors looking for a higher
yield, without reducing the credit quality, usually
need to purchase a
bond with a longer maturity.
The tax - equivalent
yield is the pretax
yield that a taxable
bond needs to possess for its
yield to be equal to that of a tax - free municipal
bond.
When considering
bonds as investments, there are several pieces of information you
need to know: The
bond's coupon rate — or what it will pay in interest; how long before the principal amount of the
bond matures, or if there is a call date; its recent price and current
yield.
The higher the risk in a given
bond, the higher its
yield needs to be to compensate the investor for taking the risk.
You
need a spreadsheet to predict the net effect on
bond prices of both rate changes and changes of the
yield curve (or position on the
yield curve).
Another use of life insurance to reverse out an annuity, is when all you
need for living expenses is a guaranteed after - tax - return that is slightly higher than current government
bond yields, and you want to leave an estate after death.
Later, the article hems and haws over whether rising long rates would be a good or a bad thing, ending with the idea that the Fed could sell its long Treasury
bonds to raise long
yields if
needed.
Stocks are harder to measure, so if you
need better guidance, look at the
yields on junk
bonds.
In other words, you might take whichever part you don't
need within a year and put in
bonds (except for what you don't foresee
needing within the next half decade or more, which you can put in stocks), then put the remainder in a simple high -
yield deposit - insured savings account.
For a
bond bubble to pop, you
need the short financing rate to rise above the
yield of the long
bonds being financed.
While investors will have to find stocks with higher
yields, pay more for them and take on more risk in
bonds, the biggest change in a permanently low - rate world is that people will
need to set aside more of every paycheque if they want to keep the same goal for retirement income.