The more general forces that have influenced the exchange rate over the past year or so have been the relative strength of the Australian economy, the associated
yield differential in favour of Australian dollar assets, and the continued improvement in Australia's terms of trade, which are now at their highest level in more than 25 years.
Not exact matches
With rates at near zero
in the United States, and negative
in Japan and Europe, the
differential is a powerful lure for carry trades,
in which investors borrow at ultra-low rates
in currencies such as yen or sterling and buy high -
yielding assets such as the kiwi.
That has caused U.S. - Japan and U.S. - German
yield differentials to widen further
in the dollar's favor, leaving the yen and the euro lower.
Because most wealthy Chinese seem to think about RMB
in terms of USD or Hong Kong dollars, it is the fear that any depreciation of the RMB against those two currencies (the Hong Kong dollar is pegged to the USD through a modified currency board) greater than the couple of percentage points interest rate
differential would
yield less than equivalent USD or Hong Kong dollar bonds.
Overall, we are seeing a pickup
in yields globally, resulting
in narrower
yield differentials between U.S. Treasuries and other sovereign bonds.
For a period
in early May, bond
yields in Australia had moved below those
in the United States, i.e. the
differential had become negative.
At the same time, the carry between Chinese interest rates and U.S. Treasury
yields has now turned negative, meaning that there is no longer a favorable interest rate
differential to encourage Chinese investment
in U.S. government debt.
In early August,
yields on 10 - year bonds were around 75 basis points above the cash rate, slightly less than the average
differential since the mid 1990s (Graph 66).
The chart shows that a higher
yield differential between U.S. and German government bond
yields in the past typically spurred more foreign purchases of U.S. bonds, supporting the dollar.
In addition to precise
differential velocities, this survey will also
yield precise barycentric radial velocities for many thousands of stars using the data analysis techniques reported here.
Further scrutiny of the TW Hya disk with GPI and SPHERE
in their
differential coronagraphic imaging modes may
yield direct detection of the planet (s) that appears to be actively carving a gap
in the TW Hya disk — especially if the putative planet is still actively accreting gas from the disk.
The
yield differential between Canadian and US bonds is likely to be quite small, and it will be completely overwhelmed by significant changes
in the exchange rate.
As the US Federal Reserve is the only major central bank leading the departure from ultra-low rate policy, rising
yield differential (
in favour of US versus others) can see a re-strengthening of the US Dollar
in the short term.
It has helped put «
yield differential» back
in the driver seat for global currency moves: this means higher US bond
yields could drive the greenback higher.
Having said that, we find validity
in WHT
differential as a significant driver of performance when investing
in high
yielding assets.
In other words, the «dividend
yield — 2 year Treasury
yield»
differential has almost no impact on the medium - long term direction of the U.S. stock market!
The carrying value and the fair value of the facility as of December 31, 2007 represents the present value of the
differential in the spreads between the Company's credit default swap spreads and the
yield applicable to the CPCT facility.
The gain was due to an increase
in the
differential between the Company's credit default swap spreads and the
yield applicable to the CPCT facility.
On a relative basis, this equates to about 60 % more spread for a similar degree of credit risk.1 Spread
differentials are even larger versus European and Japanese corporates given the extremely low
yields in those regions.
It become a difficult, and intractable problem which does not
yield to simple
differential equations applied to idealized columns of gasses
in «ideal» states.
However, they should not base this «buy - term - and - invest - the - difference» choice solely on
differentials in potential
yields inside and outside the policy.