I think many investors may still feel tentative about the
high yield market in the wake of the volatility in energy - related bonds earlier this year.
Conservative positioning could be key — We now believe the high
yield market offers more risk than reward.
Energy companies have made up a good portion of debt issued in the high
yield market over the past few years.
It also applies to investors deciding whether or how much to invest in the U.S. high
yield market in the first place, which similarly occupies a proportion of the overall U.S. bond market that is determined by the activities of active investors.
Unlike Treasuries and investment grade corporates, the high
yield market as measured by the S&P U.S. Issued High Yield Corporate Bond Index touch a low point for yield earlier in the month at a 5.87 % on October 6th.
Capital - intensive companies turn to the high -
yield market when they are not able to finance all their capital needs through earnings or bank borrowings.
The strategists forecast a 5 % default rate for the high -
yield market by 2016, and expect commodity - related sectors to enter «a full - scale default environment by next year», with default rates moving from 7.6 % to 12 %.
The energy sector has already taken a hammering, with high -
yield markets showing signs of stress and big banks taking provisions in the fourth quarter on their energy loans.
Emerging companies While many high yield bonds are issued by former investment grade companies in decline, the high
yield market also provides financing opportunities for emerging companies seeking working capital for expansion or to fund acquisitions.
If you are an investor that is looking for fixed income we would recommend below - benchmark duration and find the US high
yield market attractive.
In addition to growth and product innovation, regulations following the global financial crisis, such as Dodd - Frank, the Volcker Rule and MiFID II are also taking shape and likely to weaken liquidity in high -
yield markets going forward.
For these schools, polling in a polarized
America yields a marketing bonanza akin to what others might reap through college football bowl games or the NCAA basketball tournament.
More specifically, stocks are far more overpriced than they were in 2007 based on metrics like the cyclically - adjusted price - to - earnings ratio, price - to - book ratio,
dividend yield market - capitalization - to - GDP ratio, or any other core metric.
In the last FOMC loosening cycle it took three years to get there, from March of 2000 to the spring of 2003, when the high
yield market realized the crisis was past.
The growth of the high
yield market since the 2008 financial crisis has been significant; the par amount outstanding of the S&P U.S. Issued High Yield Corporate Bond Index increased by 65 % from Dec. 31, 2008, to Dec. 15,, 2015.
The move into investment - grade corporate bonds may be opportunistic buying that resulted from the USD 2.6 billion of outflow in the high -
yield market during the week of June 10, 2015.1 Current performance of the index is down, with the index having returned -1.60 % month to date (MTD) and -0.51 % year to date (YTD).
As with the weather for the northern hemisphere, the U.S. high -
yield market seems to be making a comeback.
Puerto Rico hasn't left the spotlight and bonds from Puerto Rico have performed like the high
yield market returning 3.77 % year to date.
It did a particularly nice job in the third quarter, making a marginal gain as the high -
yield market tanked.
For the one - week period ending on November 15, 2017, investors withdrew a net $ 4.43 billion from U.S. funds holding high - yield bonds (often called junk bonds)-- the third largest exodus from such funds on record.1 The high -
yield market stabilized over the next two days, but the mass sell - off rang alarm bells for some market analysts.
I've been doing fine vs the market, but I've been dramatically underperforming my system, which on
paper yields market - crushing returns (several percent outperformance per month).
Company Name Stock Symbol Ex-Div Date Pay Date Div Payout Stock
Price Yield Market Value CNH Industrial -LSB-...]
Issuers whose bonds trade in the high -
yield market include many household names in addition to many lesser - known companies.
The high
yield market became a frenzy for yield, with CDO equity bidding for lousy bonds and default protection on lousy corporations.
The investor reach for yield has manifested itself most dramatically in the high
yield market as the chart below shows.
Cautious positioning could be key — We now believe the high
yield market offers more risk than reward.
The concept has historically outperformed the global high
yield market in both absolute and risk - adjusted terms.
For instance, the U.S.
high yield market, as measured by the Barclays U.S. Corporate High Yield 2 % Issuer Capped index, experienced its worst start to a year ever, going back to 1994, Bloomberg data show.
Bond fund managers Jeffrey Aronson, Michael Vranos, and Boaz Weinstein discuss why they think high -
yield market is showing signs of a bubble.
The high -
yield market has underperformed equities this year, often seen as a sign of trouble for stocks.
After losing nearly 3 % in September, the high
yield market has been coming back.
«One has to question the high
yield market's ability to swallow something like that right now.»
That sent shockwaves through the high -
yield market.
The Senate version is more onerous: It would affect a small portion of the investment - grade market, but would have a much greater impact than the House version on the high -
yield market.
Based on rising yields and the muted response of the high
yield market, worse things are not coming.
Tax reform could impact the high
yield market and lead to a buying opportunity for municipal bonds.
The high
yield market, in the absence of extreme intervention, typically will lead the stock market directionally.
For a lot of reasons, the high
yield market is a lot more sensitive to changes in the financial and economic condition of the system than are stocks.
Another reason to watch the manufacturing numbers, particularly in the United States, is that the high
yield market has a heavy weighting toward «old economy» companies.
Energy bonds represent about 15 % of the high
yield market.
Next we turned to the high
yield market and he remarked that the junk market is collapsing.
I was chatting with a friend / colleague in NYC who is connected with the high
yield market.
Phrases with «yield market»