Unlike Treasuries and investment grade corporates, the high
yield market as measured by the S&P U.S. Issued High Yield Corporate Bond Index touch a low point for yield earlier in the month at a 5.87 % on October 6th.
Not exact matches
LONDON, April 30 - The 10 - year U.S. Treasury
yield's rise above 3 percent last week for the first time in over four years may be cause for concern across wide swathes of financial
markets, such
as equities and emerging
markets.
«If U.S. rates move too quickly, they will dislocate [high
yielding] assets more broadly and the most liquid emerging
markets will not be immune to a selloff,» he added, pointing to the 2013 taper tantrum
as an illustration of this idea in action.
Higher U.S.
yields can put pressure on the currencies of emerging
market countries that run current account deficits such
as Indonesia and India, said Satoshi Okagawa, senior global
markets analyst for Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation in Singapore.
For one thing, those 10 - year Canada bonds are
yielding just 1.14 % and could lose value should interest rates rebound from their recent lows,
as many
market - watchers expect.
Markets around the globe have been keeping a close eye on the U.S. bond
market as rising Treasury
yields put investors on edge.
When we talk about bond
market liquidity it's important to understand that there are lots of different «pools» out there such
as high
yield bonds, munis, government bonds, etc..
So, it is a very different
market than it was 10 years ago, and you're going to see a lot of corporate bond issuance
as these infrastructure projects go out there, and you can capture some pretty good
yields and you know what you're buying because it's a corporate bond.
Stock
markets were routed around the globe on Monday and bond
yields rose
as resurgent U.S. inflation raised the possibility central banks would tighten policy more aggressively than had been expected.
Also,
as bond rates rise, some of the money that migrated over from the bond
market in search of higher
yields will return to the safety of fixed income.
The high -
yield market has underperformed equities this year, often seen
as a sign of trouble for stocks.
In the short - term, however, this increased leverage may actually be bullish for junk bonds, corporate bonds, emerging
market debt and mortgage - backed securities
as it brings higher prices and lower
yields, he said.
Especially since the recent behavior of Japan's key financial
market variables (stock indices, the
yield curve and the yen's exchange rate) could be seen
as a sign of support for reflationary policies.
This could potentially be a problem for Greece when trying to finance itself in the
markets,
as it could mean higher
yields and repayments.
Although there may not be a bond bubble, with investors starved for
yield, Gundlach predicts a potential bubble could form in credit risk
as investors increase their leverage on riskier debt securities like junk bonds and emerging
market debt.
Powell's comment was pointed to by bond
market strategists
as a reason for a sudden pop in bond
yields.
Liew said that with the wide variations in credit quality across emerging
markets, from non-investment grade countries such
as Argentina and Venezuela, to single - A rated ones, such
as Malaysia, GIC was looking for «idiosyncratic situations,» in emerging
markets which were likely to converge with lower -
yielding developed
markets.
It's the total earnings - per - share the
market generates
as a percent of the
market's total value — a measure similar to the
yield on bonds, where the
yield rises when bond prices fall, and vice versa.
As interest rates rise, the prices of existing bonds fall in order to make the
yield of their fixed coupons competitive in the
market.
In a sign of
market interest, the longest portion of the offering, a 40 - year security may
yield 1.45 percentage points above Treasuries, down from initial talk of 1.6 percentage points to 1.65 percentage points, said the person, who asked not to be identified
as the deal is private.
«A bear
market in bonds calls for more than a global cyclical upswing,
as not all forces that dragged
yields down over the past decades have suddenly vanished,» argued Peter van der Welle, a strategist at Robeco.
Exchange - traded funds that track high -
yield bond indexes have been the beneficiaries of a cash surge in recent weeks
as market participants figure the central bank probably won't raise rates in 2015, and it could be well into 2016 before anything happens.
During a webcast presenting his 2017 outlook, Gundlach, the founder of DoubleLine Capital, said certain «second - tier» managers were focusing on 2.6 %
as an important level for the 10 - year Treasury
yield — a threshold beyond which the bull
market in bonds would end.
Meanwhile government bond
yields, a reliable barometer of
market fear, are falling to record low levels
as investors engage in a panicked hunt for risk - free assets.
Also, Ablin added a large portion of the recent rally involved a rotation from bonds into stocks
as low interest rates forced investors to seek
yield in the stock
market.
NEW YORK, Feb 5 - The dollar rose against a basket of currencies on Monday
as the U.S. bond
market selloff levelled off after the 10 - year
yield hit a four - year peak on worries that the Federal Reserve might raise interest rates faster to counter signs of wage pressure.
NEW YORK, Nov 28 - The Federal Reserve faces the challenge of standing by
as financial
markets «correct»
as the central bank trims its asset holdings, U.S. hedge fund manager David Tepper said on Tuesday, adding he was surprised the bond -
yield curve was so flat.
«Shorter duration hedge fund assets have grown at a rapid pace even
as market liquidity has deteriorated, particularly in the high
yield and distressed debt
markets.
However, the softness in economic data, particularly
as it relates to inflation, coupled with
market expectations that the first Fed rate hike won't happen until well into 2016 have inspired at least a momentary burst in high -
yield confidence.
Although it is fair to say that the recent uptick in volatility has in part reduced earlier concerns about prolonged low volatility and associated reach - for -
yield behavior, it has placed added focus on the resilience of liquidity, particularly in
markets, such
as the
market for corporate bonds, that may be prone to gapping between liquidity demand and supply in stressed conditions.
Finally, look at metrics such
as price - to - earnings, price - to - sales and dividend
yields to see if
markets are cheap or expensive.
While that might suggest the «smart money» is signaling a swift correction, don't necessarily buy it: Lipper research found that «following the most recent periods of four or more consecutive weeks of net outflows from the Lipper High
Yield ETF segment, the
market —
as measured by the BofA Merrill Lynch U.S. High
Yield Master II Index — performed relatively well in the calendar month that immediately followed.
Persistence will remain a key feature of
markets going forward,
as will the reach for
yield, we believe.
They have also increased the cost of new fixed - rate mortgages
as yields on the bond
market have moved higher.
NEW YORK, March 5 - Treasuries
yields rose on Monday afternoon
as the U.S. stock
market recovered and fears of a trade war eased after senior Republicans urged President Donald Trump to reconsider his threat to impose tariffs on imported steel and aluminum.
But the bank has taken more extreme measures, such
as ramping up purchases to more than 40 percent of the
market overall and saying it would control the
yield curve by keeping the 10 - year government bond
yield around 0 percent.
All told, the jump in Treasury
yields has yet to make its way into the broader economy in the form of higher borrowing costs, yet it will likely start to dampen the housing and auto
markets as consumer loans become more expensive, said Gary Cloud, a portfolio manager of the Hennessy Equity and Income Fund.
This high -
yield, or junk, bond
market has been getting a lot of attention lately
as credit spreads have blown out.
While many analysts were predicting bond
yields to rise this year
as global economies improve, the suddenness of the move was a large factor in the recent stock
market selloff.
LONDON, April 30 (Reuters)- The 10 - year U.S. Treasury
yield's rise above 3 percent last week for the first time in over four years may be cause for concern across wide swathes of financial
markets, such
as equities and emerging
markets.
As in developed
markets, if the
yield is too high, or if the payout ratio doesn't leave room for reinvestment, there is a risk the dividend could get cut.
Treasury
yields resume a steady climb higher on Wednesday
as fretting about the threat of an economically disruptive trade war between the U.S. and China subsided, and takes a back seat to the concerns about rising interest rates and coming labor -
market data, which could inform the Federal Reserve's policy agenda.
Treasury prices rose on Monday, paring the earlier climb in
yields,
as a steep fall in the stock
market sirs up haven - related buying in U.S. government paper
As the search for
yield intensifies, vulnerabilities are shifting to the nonbank sector and
market risks are rising.
yields will hit the highs on close end of the day... equity
markets setting up to be slammed tomorrow maybe but today they have run over weak shorts in the face of rates... the federal reserve see's this and again will wonder if they are behind on hikes, strong data, major expansion in credit, lack of wage growth rising bond
yields and ballooning debt... rates will go much higher and equities will have revelations
as to what that means for valuations
In fact, credit spreads in many
markets are trading at the lowest levels
as a percentage of their overall
yield in a decade (see chart below).
They could then reinvest that cash into higher
yielding assets such
as, say, emerging
market debt.
the percentage of return an investor receives based on the amount invested or on the current
market value of holdings; it is expressed
as an annual percentage rate;
yield stated is the
yield to worst — the
yield if the worst possible bond repayment takes place, reflecting the lower of the
yield to maturity or the
yield to call based on the previous close
As discussed below, the Department believes the approach adopted in this final rule likely
yields the most desirable outcomes including avoidance of costly
market disruptions, more compliance cost savings than other alternatives, and reduced investor losses.
That was one of the all - time classic bear
markets, characterized by high inflation, high unemployment, high Treasury
yields and rising inflation —
as well
as strong rallies followed by sharp selloffs.