Not exact matches
NEW YORK, Jan 18 - U.S. fund investors pulled $ 3.1 billion from high -
yield «junk» bonds
during the latest week, Lipper data showed on Thursday, offering new warning signs about risk appetite despite global
markets» continuing triumph.
During a webcast presenting his 2017 outlook, Gundlach, the founder of DoubleLine Capital, said certain «second - tier» managers were focusing on 2.6 % as an important level for the 10 - year Treasury
yield — a threshold beyond which the bull
market in bonds would end.
In essence, investors who reinvest their dividends accumulate more shares
during stock
market collapses as the dividend
yield expanding allows them to gobble up more equity with each dividend check they shove back into their account or dividend reinvestment plan.
Also, bills have typically traded below other money
market rates
during tightening cycles, as they do now; periods where bills trade at or above other rates have been the exception and not the rule.36 Thus, the smaller increase in bill
yields than in rates on other term instruments is not surprising, and I do not read it as undermining the general conclusion that the policy rate increase was effective in firming money
market conditions.37
-LSB-...] than lament the low
yields, why not look for undervalued bonds
during a
market correction?
Sands» forward
yield of 4 %, which is much higher than Wynn's 1 %
yield and MGM's 1.4 %
yield, should also protect the stock
during market downturns.
An undervalued stock, quality cash generation and return on cash, and a positive dividend
yield make ORCL a stock to buy and hold
during all
market environments.
This week's winners in the
market plunge appear to be the banks, which have
yielded a windfall in fee income resulting from a higher number of trades
during the current volatility.
Formidable Strength Of Junk Bond ETFs (Nasdaq) High -
yield bond ETFs demonstrated a great deal of resilience
during February's
market turmoil.
During the bond bull
market, long - term bonds actually outperformed stocks while high
yield bonds came close.
Market movements were particularly sharp
during a 20 - minute window when
yields slipped and then rose by around 20 basis points (Graph 2, centre panel).
With fundamental results coming in largely as expected
during the year, we believe the stock price decline was primarily due to industry and
market pressures on its peer group, and we believe the current high free cash flow
yield makes the stock an attractive investment.
For example if you bought Vanguard High Dividend
Yield ETF (VYM), a holding in the Dividends Diversify Model Portfolios,
during the
market peak of 2007 and held though summer of this year, you would have earned about a 7.5 % annual total return including dividends.
Recent winners in the
market plunge appear to be the banks, which have
yielded a windfall in fee income resulting from a higher number of trades
during the current volatility.
With the 10 - year treasury
yield moving from 1.85 % to 2.37 %
during our fiscal year,
yield sensitive, defensive sectors, such as consumer staples and utilities, did indeed underperform the broader
market.
-LSB-...] The Most Interesting Asset Class Over the Next Decade «Vanguard highlighted high -
yield bonds to show how they typically perform worse than other types of bonds
during a stock
market drop.»
Fixed - rate loans for housing have fallen by less than those for small businesses since they had also risen by less
during the phase of rising
yields in capital
markets in 1999.
Vanguard highlighted high -
yield bonds to show how they typically perform worse than other types of bonds
during a stock
market drop.
This modestly exceeds the
yield available on a 10 - year Treasury, but by a small margin that - outside the late 1990's bubble period - has previously been seen only
during the two - year period approaching the 1929 peak, between 1968 - 1972 (which was finally cleared by the 73 - 74
market plunge), and briefly in 1987, before the crash of that year.
During the stock -
market rebound that started in mid-March, Hutchinson's calls on gold, commodities and high -
yielding dividend stocks made winners of investors who took his advice.
This is to both avoid over stimulating the housing
market (a mistake they now admit occurred
during the last cycle) and to avoid the negative signal of inverting the
yield curve.
We have seen an expansion of global high -
yield debt issuance, particularly in European and emerging
markets during this cycle (as shown in Exhibit 1).
Putting aside the performance of bonds
during the bear
market beginning in 1980 (both because the starting
yields on Treasuries were so high but also because the bear
market was relatively mild as the decline began from relatively low levels of valuation), what's interesting about the above chart is how dependably bonds protected a portfolio
during equity bear
markets.
I've also marked on the graph the level that
yields would need to fall to in order to match the total return earned
during prior equity bear -
market periods.
In response, both fed funds futures and Treasury
yields moved steadily higher
during September and briefly advanced once more following the labor
market report for the month, as investors initially zeroed in on wage growth of 2.9 %, the fastest rate since 2009.
So, those investors who hold high
yield hoping they'll be protected
during a bear
market should think again.
The best framework for bonds protecting portfolio capital
during equity bear
markets is: average to above - average starting bond
yields, with an average to above - average rate of inflation — which is set to decline in a recession - induced bear
market.
Implied inflation (the difference between 10 - year nominal and 10 - year real
yields) fell nearly 100 basis points
during the 2000 - 2002 bear
market.
Underlying high -
yield volatility has increased slightly
during the past five - plus years as ETFs have experienced rapid growth and their influence has increased in the
market.
Stocks with high dividend
yields are attractive from the standpoint that they are providing meaningful income when the broad
market is flat, they can buffer against a downturn due to the
yield they're throwing off, and best of all,
during a
market upturn, they continue to provide
yield and capital appreciation simultaneously.
Using Robert Shiller's monthly data for U.S. stock
market returns, associated P / E10, short - term bill
yields (six - month commercial paper / one - year U.S. Treasury notes) and long - term bond
yields (10 - year U.S. Treasury notes or equivalent)
during 1871 through 2013, they find that: Keep Reading
Using monthly levels of Moody's
yield on seasoned Aaa corporate bonds and the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA)
during October 1928 through February 2018 (about 90 years) and monthly levels of the 10 - year government bond interest rate and the stock
market from Robert Shiller
during January 1871 through February 2018 (about 148 years), we find that: Keep Reading
As such, he asked, «How can we provide financial tools, education and technical assistance to farmers
during transition,
market outputs for their cash crops that they are transitioning and research, so that they can be as efficient and high
yielding as possible?»
However, for bonds to provide a similar level of return as they did
during the last equity bear
market described above,
yields would have to fall to approximately minus 2 %.
Rather than lament the low
yields, why not look for undervalued bonds
during a
market correction?
Compare this to perhaps a slightly higher fee, active high
yield bond manager who only holds more liquid, higher quality positions with an investor base perhaps not as eager to hit that sell button
during periods of
market turmoil.
Above all, for a true measure of stability, focus on stocks that have a high dividend
yield that they have maintained or raised with their dividends
during a recession or stock -
market downturn.
Above all, for a true measure of stability, focus on stocks that have a high dividend
yield that has been maintained or raised
during economic or stock -
market downturns.
The structural issue at work encouraging the deal - making is that cash flow
yields are markedly above junk bond
yields, similar to the environment
during the late «80s when the
market in junk bonds flourished.
Since the financial crisis, sub-zero
yields have occurred sporadically, however they have typically appeared
during times of
market stress and predominantly in short - dated, highly liquid assets.
Higher
yields at lower
market valuations and more shares at lower prices equal faster realized profits as the numbers move higher
during the next upward movement of the cycle.
Regrettably, high -
yield stocks didn't provide much of a buffer
during the recent collapse — they generally declined in line with the overall
market.
This is to both avoid over stimulating the housing
market (a mistake they now admit occurred
during the last cycle) and to avoid the negative signal of inverting the
yield curve.
The U.S. has often led moves in global bond
yields, such as
during the «taper tantrum» of 2013 when then Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke sparked a global bond
market rout by signaling the beginning of the end of quantitative easing.
The extra shares purchased and accumulated at higher dividend
yields during down periods help protect portfolios in falling
markets, and when these extra shares rise in value in good times, they accelerate returns.
However, the safety and capital appreciation
during times of
market stress offset the lower
yields.
Given the current low interest - rate environment, adding a high -
yield allocation to your core bond portfolio or investing in a multisector bond fund may help increase your investment income — just remember that many of these types of funds still come with the potential for significant volatility, particularly
during times of heightened economic and / or stock
market volatility.
To the extent credit
markets take the events in Washington in stride — even
during the worst selling last week high
yield spreads remained comfortably below 400 basis points (4 %)-- equity investors can breathe a little easier, at least until they can't.
The higher
yields may encourage them to load up — or at least stay invested —
during bear
markets when prices are low.
During the final year of the Fund's operations, as the bonds held by the Fund mature and the Fund's portfolio transitions to cash and cash equivalents, the Fund's
yield will generally tend to move toward the
yield of cash and cash equivalents and thus may be lower than the
yields of the bonds previously held by the Fund and / or prevailing
yields for bonds in the
market.»