Energy companies have made up a good portion of debt issued in the high
yield market over the past few years.
Not exact matches
LONDON, April 30 - The 10 - year U.S. Treasury
yield's rise above 3 percent last week for the first time in
over four years may be cause for concern across wide swathes of financial
markets, such as equities and emerging
markets.
Also, as bond rates rise, some of the money that migrated
over from the bond
market in search of higher
yields will return to the safety of fixed income.
Their declining currencies against the dollar (8 - 9 percent
over the past 12 months), falling stock
market values since the beginning of the year and high (India) and rising (Brazil) bond
yields are reflecting their funding difficulties.
Instead the
market environment
over the past 24 hours has mimicked last week's pattern, with
yields rising and stocks falling.
«A bear
market in bonds calls for more than a global cyclical upswing, as not all forces that dragged
yields down
over the past decades have suddenly vanished,» argued Peter van der Welle, a strategist at Robeco.
Bonds due in 2018 and won by BofA were «aggressively» priced with a 1.64 percent
yield that narrowed Illinois» spread
over Municipal
Market Data's benchmark triple - A
yield curve to 70 basis points from 100 basis points ahead of the sale, Greg Saulnier, a MMD analyst, said.
LONDON, April 30 (Reuters)- The 10 - year U.S. Treasury
yield's rise above 3 percent last week for the first time in
over four years may be cause for concern across wide swathes of financial
markets, such as equities and emerging
markets.
Normally this would put remarkable pressure on the price of gold — higher
yields raise the opportunity cost of buying gold — but
over the same period, the U.S. dollar has steadily weakened and is now officially in a bear
market.
yields will hit the highs on close end of the day... equity
markets setting up to be slammed tomorrow maybe but today they have run
over weak shorts in the face of rates... the federal reserve see's this and again will wonder if they are behind on hikes, strong data, major expansion in credit, lack of wage growth rising bond
yields and ballooning debt... rates will go much higher and equities will have revelations as to what that means for valuations
There are a multitude of reasons as to why this occurs but it's a powerful enough force that many investors have done quite well for themselves
over an investing lifetime by focusing on dividend stocks, specifically one of two strategies - dividend growth, which focuses on acquiring a diversified portfolio of companies that have raised their dividends at rates considerably above average and high dividend
yield, which focuses on stocks that offer significantly above - average dividend
yields as measured by the dividend rate compared to the stock
market price.
Against this environment, our strategists remain bullish on equities and continue to favor emerging
market currencies and, in the fixed income space, prefer local
markets over external debt and maintain their higher -
yielding yet better - quality bias.
To the extent that lower Treasury
yields are even weakly associated with higher equity valuations, recognize that this effect is also expressed
over time as lower subsequent stock
market returns.
Depressed interest rates were typically associated with weak
market outcomes
over the following decade, largely because investors reacted to depressed interest rates with
yield - seeking speculation - driving valuations up and driving subsequent prospective returns down.
To learn our disciplined swing trading system and
market timing model that has
yielded consistent profits
over the past 10 years, and to receive our best daily stock picks and ETFs, subscribe to The Wagner Daily ETF and stock newsletter.
While the most extreme overvalued, overbought, overbullish, rising -
yield syndrome we define has generally appeared only at the most wicked
market peaks in history, investors have ignored those conditions
over the past year.
But cash isn't such a bad thing in a rising rate environment as the
yield pick up rather quickly on money
market accounts or you can roll some of that
over into higher
yielding short - term bonds.
Positions that have recently come undone include betting on steepening
yield curves and inflation expectations (inflation - linked
over nominal bonds)-- and in equity
markets, picking value
over growth shares.
As
yields on preferred shares rose
over the past year and a half, many corporate issuers turned to debt
markets as a cheaper source of financing for their funding needs.
Anyone looking for income from certificates of deposit, money
market funds or savings accounts
over the past few years has been disappointed in their minuscule
yields.
A 3 % return is a good conservative dividend
yield at
market prices but
over time, if you are carefully choosing your dividend investments, you can grow that dividends.
In order to drive the long - term return on stocks even 1 % higher, the
market would have to plunge
over 40 % (this would drive the
yield on stocks from the current 1.4 % to 2.4 %).
To learn our disciplined trading strategy and
market timing model that has
yielded consistent profits
over the past 10 years, and to receive our best daily stock picks and ETFs, subscribe to The Wagner Daily ETF and stock newsletter.
The average investment - grade (high -
yield) bond trades on less than 32 % (36 %) of days
over the prior six months — liquidity in corporate bonds was considerably lower than in traditional listed equity
markets.
We believe this positioning buildup led to an April break in the usual positive correlation between the USD and the U.S.
yield premium
over other developed
markets.
How does the U.S. stock
market earnings
yield (inverse of price - to - earnings ratio, or E / P) interact with the U.S. inflation rate
over the long run?
«
Yield spreads
over developed
market bonds are reasonable, and the opportunities for adding value are more extensive, although emerging
market currencies may need to weaken further in the short term.»
This is the difference between the 5 - year nominal treasury
yield and the 5 - year TIPs
yield and is suppose to reflect treasury
market's forecast for the average annual inflation rate
over the next five years.
In contrast, medium - term inflation expectations implied by financial
market prices, which are calculated as the difference between nominal and indexed bond
yields, have been broadly stable at around 2.6 per cent
over the past nine months.
-LSB-...] The Most Interesting Asset Class
Over the Next Decade «Vanguard highlighted high -
yield bonds to show how they typically perform worse than other types of bonds during a stock
market drop.»
A
yield well
over 6 %, management guidance for double - digit dividend growth, and the possibility that shares are 59 % undervalued means this could be the single greatest opportunity in the
market for long - term dividend growth investors.
The continuing low level of government bond
yields has supported the search for
yield that has been evident
over the past couple of years, with the spread between
yields on US government debt and
yields on both corporate and emerging
market debt remaining around historical lows
over the past three months (Box B).
Though organic
marketing can certainly
yield measurable results
over time, ads can really augment your
marketing efforts.
Interest rates on new fixed - rate loans have fallen
over recent months, reflecting falls in
yields in capital
markets in which these loans are funded (Graph 34).
Studies show that companies with the highest dividend
yields tend to outperform the broader
market over time.
We adhere to a conservative, value - oriented investment approach that has
yielded attractive results
over a variety of
market cycles.
The strong outperformance of credit - related securities and progressive trend in interest rates has emboldened many investors to bulk up on high
yield funds
over the course of this bull
market.
This puts it slightly
over the 0.61 % rate on EverBank
Yield Pledge Money
Market, although you won't find any introductory bonus like EverBank's 12 - month 1.11 % rate.
This is to both avoid
over stimulating the housing
market (a mistake they now admit occurred during the last cycle) and to avoid the negative signal of inverting the
yield curve.
Also, if the future prospects of D are just as good then, the
market should not offer much more than a 4 %
yield, which means a price appreciation of 47 % (1.08 ^ 5)
over 5 years is not unreasonable.
The changes occurring in today's high -
yield markets, however, indicate that history may not be a perfect guide for investors
over the next credit cycle.
Apart from the virtues of an ETF like TBT that can be godsend in a bond
market sell - off, it's worth pulling back and looking at Treasury
yields over the longer term.
An alternative, and perhaps more likely, interpretation is that the
market expects that the target cash rate will remain below its average
over recent years for some time, and this expectation is reflected in bond
yields.
We look for the cost of bank funding to rise faster than the
yield on earning assets
over the next two years, a situation that is likely to put an effective cap on bank earnings and public
market valuations.
BMO Capital
Markets strategists on Thursday pondered a formation known as a «double top» for the 10 - year
yield at around 3.033 per cent, the approximate intraday high
over the past two sessions.
The decline in bond
yields was more than unwound
over the second half of June and July, again reflecting US
market developments.
The Dow and S&P indexes suffered some of their worst losses of the year last week, and a shocking price move in the bond
market sent the benchmark 10 - year Treasury
yield below 2 percent, the lowest level in
over a year.
In effect,
market gains (
over and above T - bill
yields) from P / E multiples
over 18 - 19 have historically been purely temporary.
Yield spreads between emerging
market sovereign debt and US Treasuries have remained relatively low
over the past three months in most
markets (Graph 12).
On that occasion Australian bond
yields rose significantly more than those in the US, reflecting
market concerns that Australia would not be able to maintain control
over inflation in an environment of strong global expansion.