Not exact matches
When you purchase a broad swath of equities, say an S&P 500 index fund, the returns you can expect
over the next decade or so comprise four building blocks: the starting dividend
yield, projected growth in real earnings per share, expected inflation, and the expected
change in «valuation» — that is, the expansion or contraction in the price / earnings (P / E) multiple.
Over the long term the nominal return on a duration - managed bond portfolio (or bond index — the duration on those doesn't
change very much) converges on the starting
yield.
The consumer discretionary sector has
changed its stripes
over the years and is now largely composed of mature companies with strong free - cash - flow
yield and higher margins.
Previous analysis illustrated that inflation compensation has returned as reasonable measure of inflation expectations
over a 10 year period while both the economy's potential growth and the
changing size of the Fed's balance sheet influence the real
yield.
The
changes occurring in today's high -
yield markets, however, indicate that history may not be a perfect guide for investors
over the next credit cycle.
These
changes also caused the
yield curve to flatten by
over 70 bps as the year progressed.
Abstracting from
changes in the composition of corporate bond indices, spreads between
yields on government and corporate bonds have shown a small net decline
over the past three months (Graph 48).
The
yield curve has
changed markedly in shape
over the past few months (Graph 53).
The small net
change in local bond
yields since February is consistent with developments in the US
over the same period.
ALBANY — Assembly Speaker Sheldon Silver's arrest on corruption charges Thursday may yet
yield a «political tsunami» that would roil the State Capitol, but history and Assembly Democrats say the corruption charges against Albany's most powerful leader
over the past 20 years won't likely
change Albany in the short term.
To spend two years, or
over a year, coming up with charter
changes working in a bipartisan fashion and you throw it away because some blogger that lives in his mom's attic is intimidating elected officials these days is disgusting and cowards to those who worked on this project and then decided to
yield to some blogger that is telling them how to vote.
Changes in water yield were largely related to changes in climate, but disturbance - related shifts in forest species composition and structure over time also played
Changes in water
yield were largely related to
changes in climate, but disturbance - related shifts in forest species composition and structure over time also played
changes in climate, but disturbance - related shifts in forest species composition and structure
over time also played a role.
The scientists analyzed 76 years of data (1938 through 2013) collected from six unmanaged, reference watersheds at the SRS Coweeta Hydrologic Laboratory located in the southern Appalachian Mountains in North Carolina, to determine whether annual water
yield from those watersheds has
changed over time, and if so, to determine causes for significant
changes.
«Crop
yields have steadily improved
over the past 60 years, but the amount of water required to produce one ton of grain remains unchanged — which led most to assume that this factor could not
change.
In a new study that traces the genetic
changes in varieties
over the last 80 years of soybean breeding, researchers concluded that increases in
yield gains and an increased rate of gains
over the years are largely due to the continual release of greater -
yielding cultivars by breeders.
Combining detailed climate records with the farm data, they were able to understand how
yields and profits have
changed over time.
In the process of documenting the genetic
changes, the researchers observed an increase in
yields over the past 80 years that is equivalent to one - third of a bushel per acre per year increase.
According to one recent study, «These
changes in stress tolerance are likely the by - product of plant breeders selecting for
yield at high plant populations and
over a wide range of growing environments.»
Genetic modification and selective breeding to increase crop
yields over the years has dramatically
changed the genetics and chemical composition of wheat.
Essentially, big agra has hybridized wheat heavily
over the last 5 decades to improve things such as crop
yield and baking characteristics, but never once thought about the impacts on human health of
changing the biochemical structure of wheat.
The resistant starch found in the baobab fruit and the short chain fatty acids it
yields has been shown in research studies to favorably
change the composition of friendly versus pathogenic microorganisms in the gut, slow glucose absorption to help control blood sugar levels by reducing insulin resistance, increase satiety and weight loss, reduce inflammatory allergic responses and improve immune system functioning (
over 60 % of the immune system is located in or around the digestive system).
The 2015 Porsche Cayenne Turbo's V - 8 carries
over but small
changes yield that additional 20 hp and 37 lb - ft of torque.
John Bogle's modified version of the Gordon Equation (or the Dividend Discount Model) is that the total return from stocks equals the investment return plus the speculative return, where Investment Return = Dividend
Yield + Earnings Growth Rate and Speculative Return = the
change in the price to earnings ratio
over the period examined.
And look at how the ten year Treasury
yield, the real rate of interest, and the inflation rate would
change over the next ten years.
We can make assumptions about stock returns and bond
yields, but these
change over the years.
MYGA interest rates will vary
over time as market conditions
change, being driven most notably by longer - term Treasury and investment grade corporate bond
yields.
However, annuity rates rise and fall
over time due to
changes in gilt
yields, inflation and the dark magic longevity risk calculations that actuaries do to create their actuarial tables.
No immediate
change in Fed policy is likely — winding down QE3
over the next few months as announced in December will continue, the Fed funds rate target won't shift from its current zero to 25 basis points and the
yield on the ten year Treasury note won't rise by much.
The income offered on DIAs will vary
over time as market conditions
change, being driven most notably by longer - term Treasury and investment grade corporate bond
yields.
The following graph compares
yields vs capital gains as they have
changed over time.
Dangerous to imbed much of an interest rate prediction into the decision, but if must, then stagger
over time the purchase of SPIAs to potentially capture the
changing yields.
Index The index is the measure of interest rate
changes a lender uses to decide the amount an interest rate on an ARM will
change over time.The index is generally a published number or percentage, such as the average interest rate or
yield on Treasury bills.
The Underlying U.S. Treasury Note or Bond
Yield May Increase, Decrease or Remain Unchanged Over the Term of Your ETNs: The return on your ETNs is inversely linked to the performance of the underlying index, which inversely corresponds to changes in the underlying U.S. Treasury note or bond y
Yield May Increase, Decrease or Remain Unchanged
Over the Term of Your ETNs: The return on your ETNs is inversely linked to the performance of the underlying index, which inversely corresponds to
changes in the underlying U.S. Treasury note or bond
yieldyield.
The Underlying U.S. Treasury Note or Bond
Yield, or the U.S. Treasury Yield Curve May Increase, Decrease or Remain Unchanged Over the Term of Your ETNs: The return on your ETNs is linked directly or inversely, as the case may be to the performance of the underlying index, which corresponds directly or inversely, respectively to changes in the underlying U.S. Treasury note or bond yield, or in the case of the FLAT and STPP ETNs, to the U.S. Treasury yield c
Yield, or the U.S. Treasury
Yield Curve May Increase, Decrease or Remain Unchanged Over the Term of Your ETNs: The return on your ETNs is linked directly or inversely, as the case may be to the performance of the underlying index, which corresponds directly or inversely, respectively to changes in the underlying U.S. Treasury note or bond yield, or in the case of the FLAT and STPP ETNs, to the U.S. Treasury yield c
Yield Curve May Increase, Decrease or Remain Unchanged
Over the Term of Your ETNs: The return on your ETNs is linked directly or inversely, as the case may be to the performance of the underlying index, which corresponds directly or inversely, respectively to
changes in the underlying U.S. Treasury note or bond
yield, or in the case of the FLAT and STPP ETNs, to the U.S. Treasury yield c
yield, or in the case of the FLAT and STPP ETNs, to the U.S. Treasury
yield c
yield curve.
A measure of the rate of
change in duration
over changes in
yields.
Changes in the underlying U.S. Treasury note or bond
yield or the U.S. Treasury
yield curve are affected by a number of unpredictable factors, and such factors may cause the underlying U.S. Treasury
yield curve to increase, decrease or remain unchanged
over the term of your ETNs.
They derive all their return from two sources: the cash
yield of the foreign currency
over the expense ratio of the fund and
changes in the exchange rate against the dollar.»
If you believe that total return
over the years amounts to dividend
yield + dividend growth + / -
changes in valuation, then I can project roughly a 10 % return going forward (~ 4 % (
yield) + 6 % (div growth) + / - x (
change in valuation which I can't predict)-RRB-.
As Jim Bianco has done, we can compare the year -
over-year
change in nominal GDP with the 5 - year Treasury
yield, which have historically tended to move together
over time.
Interest rate risk is important because fixed income securities react to
changes in interest rates both
over the short and long - term that will effect their face value on the open market as
yields rise and fall.
The high
yield market has had a positive correlation with equity markets for many years when comparing the percentage
change in spreads (
over Treasuries) for key high
yield indices vs. the percentage
change in level for equities, and this correlation has become even more pronounced since the global financial crisis.
The share price of each of these has declined quite a lot
over the past week, a trend that (again, selfishly) I hope continues so that I can gradually invest
over the next months and years and earn a decent
yield for a
change with less principal risk, thanks to the Trump Thump.
This
yield curve shape tends to happen
over my survey period at a time when
change is about to happen (4 of 7 times — 1971, 1977, 1993 and 2004), and one where the FOMC will raise rates aggressively (3 of 7 times — 1977, 1993 and 2004) after fed funds have been left too low for too long.
In order to properly use Monte Carlo in retirement planning, dozens to hundreds of inputs need to
change to reach a Real World probability number: Life expectancy, age of retirement, investment payouts,
yields vs. share selling, investment returns, inflation, income goals, Social Security, all of the types of taxes, pension payouts, annual cash flow surpluses and deficits, random earned incomes, replacing vehicles every ten years, allocation mix
changes over time; and then duplicate all of that for every investment individually, then for the spouse, then account for all of that compounding in every year, and the list goes on and on.
As interest rates
change over the period, each bond in the ladder will have a similar total return as the average
yield at the time of purchase.
Carefully,
over several years, textured and precise fields of a single color are applied,
yielding surfaces that
change in response to varying lighting and movement of the viewer.
One has to be careful to distinguish the extreme drop in Greenland with the more moderated drop
over Europe, but still, it is far from clear at present that any real GCM, with the ocean - atmosphere dynamics properly represented,
yields a temperature
change of comparable magnitude to the YD.
Progress towards establishing ice thickness records from satellite (ICESat, Envisat, and CryoSat - 2) will
change this
over time, but these sources won't
yield a record before these measurements began and satellite retrievals of ice thickness have their own issues.
In fact, the I.P.C.C. WGII report, in the chapter on North America says «Research since the [last IPCC report] supports the conclusion that moderate climate
change will likely increase
yields on North American rain fed agriculture... Most studies project likely climate - related
yield increases of 5 - 20 %
over the first decades of the century... Major challenges are projected for crops that are near the warm end of their suitable range or depend on highly utilized water resources.»
This is clear by your repeated confusion about how taking thousands of temperature measurements to get an average, repeatedly
over time, then comparing those averages to identify
changes over time, does not
yield results measured in integers.