Global, hemispheric, and
zonal temperature deviations derived from radiosonde records.
Global, Hemispheric, and
Zonal Temperature Deviations Derived From Radiosonde Records.
M2004 says: «Regarding
the zonal temperature change estimates (in Table 6), once again we have to emphasize that keeping the zonal OLR as a constant (while changing the optical thickness) is not realistic.
The mid-Holocene had a reduction in ENSO amplitude related to a stronger
zonal temperature gradient (57, 58).
Here is a link yet again to the relative importance of merdional and
zonal temperature gradients.
Consequently the variability of
zonal temperature is higher in the higher latitudes than in the lower latitudes.
The models do alright on some climate characteristics such as the latitudinal profile of
zonal temperature means but fail miserably on the climate characteristic of cloudiness.
And if you look at
zonal temperature records (ie GISTemp below), the place with the big temperature during the early 20th century was the high northern latutudes that do conveniently have ample ice to melt.
«An important contributor to the projected future decrease of temperature variance is shown to be the reduction of the mean
zonal temperature gradient, the contrast between land and sea.»
Actually the models do not do all that well even for
zonal temperatures until exogenous fudge factors, called flux adjustments are included.
Not exact matches
A strong Pacific
zonal surface ocean
temperature gradient has existed for the past 12 million years.
This is shown by the change of
zonal mean
temperature and eddy kinetic energy in our simulations with and without ice melt.
A. 1) to diagnose the fit between model - simulated and observed patterns of
zonal mean
temperature change.
a) global mean thermosteric sea level anomaly (b) and
zonal mean ocean
temperature at 792.5 mtrs, 66 S (the Southern Ocean).
Here, we isolate a specific fingerprint in the
zonal mean surface
temperature profile that is associated with QRA - favorable conditions.
(The specific dataset used as the foundation of the composition was the Combined Land - Surface Air and Sea - Surface Water
Temperature Anomalies
Zonal annual means.)
I made
temperature plots from the reanalysis 2 (NCEP / DOE) data for the North Pole (actually a
zonal mean at 88.5 ° N; there's no grid point at the pole) and for the
zonal means at 85 ° N, 81 ° N and 75 ° N (excluding land and the last also excluding the always ice - free parts of the Atlantic).
Climate models may therefore lack — or incorrectly parameterize — fundamental processes by which surface
temperatures respond to radiative forcings... In contrast with climate model simulations, the
zonal surface
temperature changes... do not increase rapidly from mid to high latitudes.»
Finally you might want to try to understand the basic processes of weather and the effects that changing of Earth's
temperature will have on
zonal weather and hence the eventual change this may have on
zonal climate...
Merlis, T. M., and T. Schneider, 2011: Changes in
zonal surface
temperature gradients and Walker circulations in a wide range of climates.
This boundary is known as the Polar Front and marks the greatest change in
temperature between zones of latitude — a measure known as the
Zonal Index (ZI).
Finds that in the Northern Hemisphere there is no reduction in the sensible heat transport despite the reduction in the
zonal - mean
temperature gradient at low levels associated with polar amplification of the warming
The improved simulation of ENSO amplitude is mainly due to the reasonable representation of the thermocline and thermodynamic feedbacks: On the one hand, the deeper mean thermocline results in a weakened thermocline response to the
zonal wind stress anomaly, and the looser vertical stratification of mean
temperature leads to a weakened response of anomalous subsurface
temperature to anomalous thermocline depth, both of which cause the reduced thermocline feedback in g2; on the other hand, the alleviated cold bias of mean sea surface
temperature leads to more reasonable thermodynamic feedback in g2.
Landward
zonal wind versus
temperature difference between land and ocean during monsoon season [NCEP / NCAR reanalysis data (35)-RSB-.
Forest 2006, along with several other climate sensitivity studies, used simulations by the MIT 2D model of
zonal surface and upper - air
temperatures and global deep - ocean
temperature, the upper - air data being least influential.
«Their study shows that the time - dependent response of
zonal mean surface
temperature differs significantly from its equilibrium response particularly in those latitude belts, where the fraction of ocean - covered area is relatively large.
Stronger vertical mixing invigorates the MOC [Meridonal Overturning Circulation] by an order of magnitude, increases ocean heat transport by 50 — 100 %, reduces the
zonal mean equator - to - pole
temperature gradients by up to 6 °C, lowers tropical peak terrestrial
temperatures by up to 6 °C, and warms high - latitude oceans by up to 10 °C.»
You just need to add that more
zonal jets when the sun is active widen the subtropical high pressure cells and allow more energy into the oceans to skew Enso in favour of El Nino over and above the basic 60 year periodicity so as to get the observed millennial climate cycling.and the
temperature stepping from one PDO positive or negative phase to the next.
MD wave fades moving deeper into SH due to lack of land mass & land impediment to antarctic circumpolar (southern ocean) flow --(need midlatitude
zonal land - sea contrast for meridional deflection of westerlies = differential land - sea equator - pole column - integrated -
temperature gradient response to solar forcing, easily measured using a simple wavelet tachometer, which detects externally governed universal constraint)
The sea ice in the Siberian Arctic is peaking, its effect on the meridional
temperature gradient strong, promoting increased
zonal flow of large - scale winds, which advect warm air and moisture over the Eurasian continent from the Atlantic and disrupt vertical stratification near the surface and promote high cloudiness, both of which lead to increasing
temperatures — greatest at low altitudes and high latitudes.
Hawkins and Jones (2013) focused on one small aspect of Callendar's work: his compilation of World Weather Records station
temperature data into
zonal and global
temperature anomalies, in effect, delimiting Callendar, whose contribution was much more diverse, as a sort of John the Baptist of
temperature accountancy, merely preparing the way for Phil Jones.
Unfortunately, there is actually quite good model agreement on the overall pattern over the East Pacific through the end of the month: the huge ridge over the Eastern Pacific is expected to persist and perhaps grow even more, continuing the extraordinarily dry pattern over California but allowing for occasionally large swings in
temperature as a very cold airmass over Canada is occasionally able to spill westward in weak or even slightly retrogressive (east to west)
zonal flow.
For example, the
zonal - mean profiles of atmospheric
temperature changes in models subject to «20CEN» forcing (includes CO2 forcing) over 1979 - 1999 are discussed in Chap 5 of the U.S. Climate Change Science Program [Karl et al. 2006].
WHOI published on the centennial scale Pacific Oscillation which is also blissfully ignore and Toggwieler and Briereley have published on the impact of shifting westerlies and
zonal / meridional
temperature gradients also blissfully ignored.
Number and intensity varies with the
temperature difference across the Front referred to as the
Zonal Index.
The
zonal component of the thermal wind shear is in accord with the
zonal distribution of
temperature.
The evolution of global mean surface
temperatures,
zonal means and fields of sea surface
temperatures, land surface
temperatures, precipitation, outgoing longwave radiation, vertically integrated diabatic heating and divergence of atmospheric energy transports, and ocean heat content in the Pacific is documented using correlation and regression analysis.
The GISS
zonal Arctic
temperature trends are consistent not only with the DMI Arctic trends but also the trends from other recent Arctic surface
temperature studies (see the advanced version for more details).
These six variables are: sea - level pressure (P),
zonal (U) and meridional (V) components of the surface wind, sea surface
temperature (S), surface air
temperature (A), and total cloudiness fraction of the sky (C).
The resulting
temperature gradients lead to changes in the
zonal wind, which, in turn, changes planetary wave — mean flow interactions.
Shifting of the jet stream especially from
zonal to meridonal could leave the absolute
temperature the same while having a major effect on the climate.
Fig 2.3 Dynamics of the detrended global
temperature anomaly (dT) and the
Zonal Atmospheric Circulation Index (zonal ACI)(see text for deta
Zonal Atmospheric Circulation Index (
zonal ACI)(see text for deta
zonal ACI)(see text for details).
Figure 9.6 (fourth row) shows that climate models are only able to reproduce the observed patterns of
zonal mean near - surface
temperature trends over the 1901 to 2005 and 1979 to 2005 periods when they include anthropogenic forcings and fail to do so when they exclude anthropogenic forcings.
All other
zonal regions except the noted heat sink in the Southern Ocean show positive, though less extreme,
temperature departures.
Official caption: Figure 10.7: Observed and simulated
zonal mean
temperatures trends from 1961 to 2010 for CMIP5 simulations containing both anthropogenic and natural forcings (red), natural forcings only (green) and greenhouse gas forcing only (blue) where the 5 to 95 percentile ranges of the ensembles are shown.
Zonal flow (the kind the missionaries would have you believe keeps the cold corralled) actually corresponds with warmer arctic
temperatures.
The current climate data that are most relevant are the
zonal averages of such quantities as
temperature, precipitation, atmospheric pressure, cloudiness and humidity.
An active sun gives more
zonal jets and / or more poleward climate zones with less global cloudiness and more energy into the oceans for gradually strengthening El Ninos as compared to La Ninas and a gradual rise in global tropospheric
temperatures.
Now, as the global trend swings from warming to cooling these winds switched from
zonal to meridional flow causing dramatic increases in variability of
temperature and precipitation.
Note that I am not saying that warming has not taken place just that it is not global — BEST admits that 30 % of the stations have cooled and that is true of severla of therse long term stations — but that we should concentrate on finding a useful set of
temperature trends in regional and
zonal areas that reflect the impacts of climate change, as for example the Sahel, and understand the true reasons without assuming carbon dioxide to be the culprit.