There is clearly a good deal of variation in the inherent predictability of tropical cyclone track from one case to another. (dotearth.blogs.nytimes.com)
10 years of cyclone track data from the National Hurricane Center and the U.S. Navy's Joint Typhoon Warning Center (pnnl.gov)
We present a statistical model of North Atlantic tropical cyclone tracks from genesis site through lysis. (pubs.giss.nasa.gov)