Historical records indicate that moderate to strong El Nino events dampen hurricane activity — whereas years with very weak El Niño conditions can be associated with active hurricane seasons if a Climate Pulse Hurricane Enhancement Cycle is in place — and it is.» (judithcurry.com)
While hurricane outlooks don't say when and where storms will strike, they do provide a framework for how active a hurricane season might be. (scientificamerican.com)
The tropical climate patterns now favoring very active hurricane seasons are similar to those seen in the late 1920s to the late 1960s. (realclimate.org)