The very first effect you have on someone can be taken to many extremes and can be very hard to alter. (careerimpressions.ca)
But if so, where is the «missing heat» (Trenberth) or «global warming still in the pipeline» (Hansen)-- heat storage in the ocean, whose first effect would be an increasing SLR from thermal expansion? (realclimate.org)
Presentation predicts a change in climate and that the «first effects predicted by year 2000.» (climatefiles.com)