There have not been any significant extreme weather events this summer as was seen during the record low years of 2007 and 2012. (arcus.org)
You can't compare two years with a record low the year before that was due to unusual circumstances; you have to look at the average over time. (dish.andrewsullivan.com)
Thus the tally at the end will probably be lower this year for needing that top 4 finish. (justarsenal.com)