The phrase "probable scenario" refers to a situation or outcome that is likely or has a high chance of happening based on the information available. Full definition
The most probable scenario is that you still have an older resume, and that's what's doing the damage when you compete with the new resume formats. (cheapresumewritingservices.net)
Learn from your mistakes, understand uncertainty, and be prepared to state when you have low confidence in your prediction, or when there are two equally probable scenarios. (judithcurry.com)
Scientists are still trying to figure out how probable this scenario is... early days still. (kottke.org)