However, a comprehensive, consistent analysis of impacts, taking into
account uncertainty in both climate models and impacts models, has so far been lacking.
«The trends we have established in this study highlight the need for regulatory bodies to look beyond the existing databases and take into
account the uncertainty surrounding our current understanding of wildlife trade in their conservation efforts.
Current PDFs which take into
account uncertainties associated with natural variability, aerosol forcings, cloud feedbacks etc, tend to produce fairly tightly constrained estimates of around 1.5C - 2.0 C for ECS, which tail off rapidly either side.
Dr. Stanton's analysis identifies a range of possible emission rates associated with the project, taking into
account uncertainty regarding methane leak rates and the lifecycle contribution of natural gas to greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere.
The particle tracking method developed by Dr. Godinez and Dr. Rohr is based on a mathematically sound method from probability theory that takes into
account uncertainties in the image data, e.g. due to noise, and exploits knowledge of the application domain.
Increased confidence in balanced mutual funds is a sign of investors» need for growth while taking into
account the uncertainties of the market, says Kevin Headland, senior investment strategist for Manulife, who has done an annual survey on consumer confidence, using 2001 respondents at least 25 years of age or older.
But when you take into
account the uncertainty, you find that there is a disturbingly high likelihood (roughly even odds) that it won't.
Taking into
account the uncertainty and assuming all years (1880 - 2014) in the time series are independent, the chance of 2014 being....
Adding all those different sources together and properly taking into
account the uncertainty in each individual procedure is enough to boost the overall uncertainty by an appreciable amount.
What many previous emergent - constraint studies have done is to take such a band of observations and project it onto the vertical ECS axis using the estimated regression line between ECS and the natural fluctuations, taking into
account uncertainties in the estimated regression model.
To facilitate policy decisions on mitigation and adaptation strategies, it is necessary to understand, quantify, and synthesize these climate - change impacts, taking into
account their uncertainties.
Taking into
account the uncertainties, both methodologies place 2014 within the top 10 % of the warmest years over the reanalysis period (since 1979), demonstrating the consistency of these various estimates.