Like Foster and Rahmstorf, Lean and Rind (2008) performed a multiple linear regression on the temperature data, and found that although volcanic activity can account for about 10 % of the observed global warming from 1979 to 2005, between 1889 and 2006 volcanic activity had a small net
cooling effect on global temperatures.
The major development in climate science in the last year or two is something almost no one talks about — strong evidence that changes in atmospheric carbon dioxide levels have no significant
effect on global temperatures in the real world over recent decades.
Many fluorinated gases have very high global warming potentials (GWPs) relative to other greenhouse gases, so small atmospheric concentrations can have proportionately
large effects on global temperatures.
(5) Given that the celebrated Paris Climate Agreement will have negligible
effect on global temperatures even if every country complied, would our limited dollars be better spent on adapting to a warmer climate than on trying to prevent it?
The sun has little
effect on global temperatures over human timescales, she says, although — perhaps confusingly — it does have a relatively strong effect on some regions, particularly Europe (New Scientist, 25 September 2010, p 10).
Despite its smaller ash cloud, El Chichn emitted more than 40 times the volume of sulfur - rich gases produced by Mt. St. Helens, which revealed that the formation of atmospheric sulfur aerosols has a more
substantial effect on global temperatures than simply the volume of ash produced during an eruption.
Leaving aside the embarrassingly foolish Rawls rant, it seems to me that the quoted text in Chapter 7 was ambiguous enough to lend itself to the misinterpretation that GCRs might constitute a powerful mechanism for amplifying solar
irradiance effects on global temperature.
In this new study, the researchers showed that increasing the albedo of a 1m2 surface by 0.01 would have the
same effect on global temperature, over the next 80 years, as decreasing emissions by around 7 kg of CO2.
Amplification factors can not cause runaway systems When Lindzen talks about an amplification factor of -1, he means that other mechanisms modify the original CO2 heat contribution so that the
final effect on global temperature is 0.
In fact, if the
quasi-periodic effects on global temperature are as strong as Tsonis proposes, then this would strongly suggest that the sensitivity of models is at present too low; and that the heating on the scale of the coming century is likely to be at the high end, or worse, of IPCC expectations.
If we were to increase the level of water vapor in the atmosphere and leave everything else unchanged, the water vapor would fairly quickly condense out as rain, snow, frost or dew and there would be no
lasting effect on global temperatures Carbon dioxide comes second after water vapor and its concentration in the atmosphere is heavily affected by burning of fossil fuels.