Sentences with phrase «from global climate models»

How the climate will change in the future is largely based on results from Global Climate Models; however, work on climate adaptation at regional and local levels requires much more detailed information.
The relationship they found between temperature and electricity demand was then used to see how demand would change given different warming scenarios from global climate models.
The authors drew on results from global climate models and then created projections for variables like rainfall and temperatures for seven regions across the state.
In order to do this they downscale output from a global climate model using a regional climate model that can simulate vegetation dynamics.
We calculate global temperature change for a given CO2 scenario using a climate response function (Table S3) that accurately replicates results from a global climate model with sensitivity 3 °C for doubled CO2 [64].
They then compared those results with predicted isotope distributions derived from a global climate model.
This approach accounts for the delayed response of the climate system caused by the large thermal inertia of the ocean, yielding a global mean temporal response in close accord with that obtained from global climate models.
I think the most important take - home message from the workshop is that the stake holders and end users of climate information should not look at just one simulation from global climate models, or just one downscaling method.
Much of the recent discussion of climate sensitivity in online forums and in peer - reviewed literature focuses on two areas: cutting off the so - called «long tail» of low probability \ high climate sensitivities (e.g., above 6 C or so), and reconciling the recent slowdown in observed surface warming with predictions from global climate models.
Predicting 21st - century polar bear habitat distribution from global climate models.
Clarke, H.G., P.L. Smith and A.J. Pitman (2011), «Regional signatures of future fire weather over eastern Australia from global climate models».
Using output from Global Climate Models participating in the Fifth Phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project, PCIC has applied a statistical downscaling method called BCSD to create a set of downscaled climate projections of precipitation, minimum temperature and maximum temperature.
Destabilisation of the shallow - marine clathrates of ESAS continues to be excluded from every global climate model, the only (regional - scale) model to consider this being that of Archer (2015).
Using existing output data from global climate models, the researchers plotted projections of changes in global average temperature and rainfall against regional changes in daily extremes.
Their work involved using a hydrologic model that included a simple representation of glaciers, run by statistically - downscaled output from global climate models, in order to come up with projected changes to evaporation, precipitation, runoff, snow, soil moisture and temperature in the Canadian portion of the Columbia River Basin.
The study is based on data from historically observed and paleo - reconstructed water flow records, as well as projections from global climate models.
Using a recently developed hurricane synthesizer driven by large - scale meteorological variables derived from global climate models, 1000 artificial 100 - yr time series of Atlantic hurricanes that make landfall along the U.S. Gulf and East Coasts are generated for four climate models and for current climate conditions as well as for the warmer climate of 100 yr hence under the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) emissions scenario A1b.
This approach accounts for the delayed response of the climate system caused by the large thermal inertia of the ocean, yielding a global mean temporal response in close accord with that obtained from global climate models.
Regional and global projections of twenty - first century glacier mass changes in response to climate scenarios from global climate models.
The sources of uncertainty are many, including the trajectory of greenhouse gas emissions in the future, their conversion into atmospheric concentrations, the range of responses of various climate models to a given radiative forcing and the method of constructing high resolution information from global climate model outputs (Pittock, 1995; see Figure 13.2).
We calculate global temperature change for a given CO2 scenario using a climate response function (Table S3) that accurately replicates results from a global climate model with sensitivity 3 °C for doubled CO2 [64].
«We are taking outputs from global climate models and hydrological models and bridging the gap between science and what the decision - maker community needs,» said Sajjad Ahmad of the University of Nevada, Las Vegas.
«I will be working on a marine resource modeling project using statistically downscaled data from global climate models to study an ecologically and economically important marine species,» she said.
Improved surface temperature prediction for the coming decade from a global climate model.
«Analyze geoscience data and the results from global climate models to make an evidence - based forecast of the current rate of global or regional climate change and associated future impacts to Earth systems.Use a model to describe how variations in the flow of energy into and out of Earth's systems result in changes in climate.»
For global temperature, there is in fact a quite deep fundamental understanding to draw on, from global climate modelling.
The second paper, by Hagos et al. (2016) in Geophysical Research Letters uses output from a global climate model to examine changes to atmospheric river events over western North America, assuming large, business - as - usual anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions.
The first paper (Flower et al., 2013) used downscaled climate data from global climate models, subject to three different emissions scenarios, to examine the effect of projected climate change on the distribution of Douglas Fir and three types of spruce.
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