Current estimates
about future sea level rise, consider up to 10 feet already locked in, due to the greenhouse gas emissions we have emitted so far.
Since the international panel published its last report in 2007, scientists around the world have published more studies and stronger science
on future sea level rise.
The results sharpen our view of land - ice melting, which poses the biggest, most threatening factor
in future sea level rise.»
Despite partisan bickering in the federal government, the local utility is busy preparing to protect lawmakers from future sea level rise
For example, knowledge of the mechanisms controlling the rate of ice loss in Greenland and Antarctica is limited, making it difficult for scientists to narrow the range of
expected future sea level rise.
Global sea level data shows that sea level rise has been increasing since 1880
while future sea level rise predictions are based on physics, not statistics.
The vulnerability of the ice sheets to warming could be increased by dynamical processes related to ice flow (not included in current models but suggested by recent observations) thereby
increasing future sea level rise.
Yesterday New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg revealed a $ 19.5 billion plan to protect his home town
against future sea level rise and other effects of climate change such as heat waves.
The new paper by Bamber and Aspinall in Nature Climate Change has attempted to quantify the best estimate of
global future sea level rise from ice sheets.
Many media articles and weblogs suggested there is good news on the sea level issue,
with future sea level rise expected to be a lot less compared to the previous IPCC report (the Third Assessment Report, TAR).
Investments for infrastructures and networks, refining and distribution must account for unavoidable climate change effects such
as future sea level rise.
The study's findings suggest that
future sea level rise resulting from global warming will also have these hot spot periods superimposed on top of steadily rising seas, said study co-author Andrea Dutton, assistant professor in UF's department of geological sciences in the College of Liberal Arts and Sciences.
In the future, Orton says, improved storm - surge models could predict where flood zones should be drawn
given future sea level rise, which is now done nationally by the Federal Emergency Management Agency with data from past storms.
Co-author Professor Eelco Rohling, from the Australian National University and formerly of the University of Southampton, adds: «By developing a novel method that realistically
approximates future sea level rise, we have been able to add new insight to the debate and show that there is substantial evidence for a significant recent acceleration in the sea level rise on a global and regional level.
«The results demonstrate that while Antarctic ice sheets are remote, they may play a far bigger role in driving past and
importantly future sea level rise than we previously suspected.»
This study, he added, is a good step toward piecing all those bits of information together to get a fuller picture of
what future sea level rise holds in store.
New Jersey is seemingly trying to rebuild its shoreline communities as fast as possible with little thought for the future, politicians in North Carolina have essentially told coastal planners not to
take future sea level rise into account, and some places would like to resist or adapt but lack the resources to do so.
The
IPCC future sea level rise projections also appear to be too conservative, primarily because they do not account for dynamic ice melting processes.
To date, however, such zones have been retrospective in nature: they are based on historical data, and do not yet
incorporate future sea level rise into their designations.
Sea Level PIK sea level pages Rising hazard of storm surge flooding (PNAS 2017) Sea - level rise during past warm periods (Science 2015) 3000 years of global sea level (PNAS 2016) New York Times front page on our paper rated very highly A new view on sea level rise (2010) Projecting
future sea level rise Interview with ABC Radio on sea level rise (2007)
Surfrider hopes to influence the decision - making process now to ensure sand is strategically used to build resilient beaches that will
buffer future sea level rise.
As mentioned in pervious blogs, Surfrider chapters participate in dune restoration projects in order to help build more resilient coastlines that can better
withstand future sea level rise and extreme weather events tied to climate change.
The assumption that the rate of change of sea level rise from those components that were small during the 20th century and which have been attributed to ice sheets would scale with global temperature change leads to a strong and unlimited amplification of
future sea level rise when global temperatures continue to increase.
Their projections
for future sea level rise were similar to those published in 2013 by scientists convened by the United Nations, following the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's most recent assessment of climate science.
However, in the words of the IPCC, «Dynamical processes related to ice flow not included in current models but suggested by recent observations could increase the vulnerability of the ice sheets to warming,
increasing future sea level rise.