No one will ever make money out of trading emission reduction credits
in global dimming.
We have recently discussed several papers which have found
substantial global dimming as a result of increased human aerosol emissions from 1950 to 1980 and 2000 to 2010.
(Part of the How to Talk to a Global Warming Skeptic guide) Objection: Scientists claim that global warming from greenhouse gases is being countered somewhat
by global dimming from aerosol pollution.
we learn more about the role of
global dimming from lesser amounts of dust we humans kick up all the time and 2.
Gavin, you criticised Tim Flannery and wrote «
Does global dimming indicate that we will be required to take CO2 out of the atmosphere in order to stabilize Earth's climate?
While global dimming was cooling daytime temperatures, the increased greenhouse effect was warming the nights (Wild et al 2007).
There have been articles as far back as the 70s
concerning global dimming but it's only very recently, apparently, that all of the probable causes (e.g. the microscopic particles causing smaller water droplets in clouds, enhancing the mirror effect, as well as contrails) have been understood.
But at the same time as warming the planet, pollution from coal power plants, airplanes and other sources of industrial soot, aerosols and sulfates are artificially cooling the planet by filling the atmosphere with reflective particles, a process known
as global dimming.
I am the producer of the BBC
Horizon Global Dimming, so I'd like to respond to Gavin Schmidt's article, and also some of his further comments.
A sensitivity of 1 C per doubling would account for maybe 0.25 C of this 0.6, while a sensitivity of 3 C would account for 0.75 C, but we can assume aerosols reduced it down to 0.6, since observations
support global dimming in this period.
Rohling:
So global dimming is essentially when we were combusting especially, sort of, coal and, you know, dirty combustion of fuels, we pump out aerosol particles.
In some regions, such as Europe,
global dimming no longer occurs, thanks to clean air regulations.
The noted positive relation between irradiance and methane release is also interesting given recent trends showing a reversal of global dimming [Wild et al., Science 2005, Vol.
It comes from ARM and James Hansen's references to
global dimming developing from clouds being enhanced and or formed by pollution, sulfates, and or certain aerosols and so forth.
3)
Global dimming largely is attributed to more reflection from clouds and longer lifetime of clouds as result of mainly sulphate aerosols.
About the comment on 5), the source was the Horizon transcript, where Dr. Michael Roderick from Australian National University
combined global dimming and pan evaporation.
There is evidence for both local and regional causes (e.g. drought stress) as well as global scale causes (
e.g. global dimming).
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I notice you seem to be overlooking one of the major factors that prompted concerns about which way the climate would turn back in your «early Seventies» argument, the negative climate forcing of aerosols and other particulate pollutants that
drove global dimming.