Sentences with phrase «global warming scenarios»

A new report looks at flood risk and economic damages under different global warming scenarios with temperature increases of 1.5, 2 and 4 °C.

Their sensitivity is assessed in several configurations under a high - end global warming scenario over the time range 1976 — 2100.

But even extreme global warming scenarios do not take us there, in any research I have seen.

Here are a few examples from possible global warming scenarios.

We also quantified the contribution of changes in the catchment efficiency parameter that oppose the effects of increasing evaporative demand in global warming scenarios.

Modelling flood risk in Europe — global warming the biggest influence In the framework of the HELIX FP7 Project, scientists analysed the differences in projected changes in flood risk at country scale under global warming scenarios of 1.5, 2 and 3 degrees from pre-industrial levels, and discussed reasons for the observed outcomes.

These assumed that the largest decreases in rainfall would be in winter and spring (decreases of 5 % and 11 % between 1990 and 2030 on the low and high global warming scenarios respectively), but rainfall was fractionally HIGHER in winter / spring in the more recent period (1995 - 2006) than in the previous 11 - year period.

This is being actively investigated for the current human - caused global warming scenario with models and paleoclimate data.

Co-author Dr Eleanor Burke, from the Met Office Hadley Centre, said: «The advantage of our approach is that permafrost loss can be estimated for any policy - relevant global warming scenario.

To investigate cloud — climate feedbacks in iRAM, the authors ran several global warming scenarios with boundary conditions appropriate for late twenty - first - century conditions (specifically, warming signals based on IPCC AR4 SRES A1B simulations).

If today's worst - case global warming scenarios of catastrophic melting of glaciers and ice sheets come to pass, sea levels could rise rapidly, wreaking all sorts of geological havoc «comparable with the most rapid increases in sea level that we've seen in the last 15,000 years,» McGuire said.

«Our results imply that because dust plays a role in modulating tropical North Atlantic temperature, projections of these temperatures under various global warming scenarios by general circulation models should account for long - term changes in dust loadings.

According to Lawrence Solomon of Energy Probe, a Toronto - based environmental organization, «most signatories are ignoring, if not altogether abandoning Paris commitments, undoubtedly because voters in large part put no stock in scary global warming scenarios.»

What changes in hurricane activity are expected for the late 21st century, given the pronounced global warming scenarios from IPCC models?

In terms of specific numbers, there is a wide range, depending on which global warming scenario is run: Between 2 % and 10 % of the current population of Mexico aged 15 - 65 could become climate change refugees.

Another riddle was that previous research indicated that under global warming scenarios Pacific Equatorial Trade winds would slow down over the coming century.

Under a medium global warming scenario, by the 2040s we predict the number of monthly heat records globally to be more than 12 times as high as in a climate with no long - term warming.

In our research group the «semi-empirical method» was developed to estimate future sea level rise following from a specified global warming scenario.

It's the IPCC's worst global warming scenario, where warming reaches more than 8 degrees Fahrenheit by the end of the century.

His new research, published in Earth's Future, a journal of the American Geophysical Union, presents a global assessment of the economic costs and the population affected by river floods under different global warming scenarios.

Extreme flows and water availability of the Brahmaputra River under 1.5 and 2 ° C global warming scenarios.

The ABC report never considered whether the drastic GNP losses associated with steps that would be predicted to make a significant difference would cause more death, poverty, and destruction than the likeliest global warming scenarios.

For global warming scenarios, additional forcing comes into play: surface warming and enhanced high - latitude precipitation, which will also reduce density of northern surface waters (an effect which alone has shut down deep water formation in some model experiments, e.g. Manabe and Stouffer 1993, 1994).

In summer and autumn the CSIRO projections were for smaller decreases in rainfall than in winter and spring, but the observed change was a substantial decrease: in fact, as large a decrease between the successive 11 - year periods as CSIRO projected on the high global warming scenario over the 40 - year period from 1990 to 2030.

This will help us to more accurately forecast the response of ENSO under future global warming scenarios.»

Another of the co-authors, Dr Eleanor Burke, permafrost research scientist at the Met Office Hadley Centre, says: «The advantage of our approach is that permafrost loss can be estimated for any policy - relevant global warming scenario.

The Arctic has seen transformations vastly more radical than the worst - case global warming scenario.

In a 4 °C global warming scenario, the socio - economic impact of river floods in Europe is likely to triple before the end of the century (Alfieri et al. 2015b).

In the area of climate change, the report highlights the findings of its Emissions Gap Report 2013 — which details the gap between current global emissions and the reduction needed to remain on track to meet the 2 degree Celsius global warming target — and its Africa Adaptation Gap Report, which describes the costs of adaptation measures on the African continent under various global warming scenarios.

Meanwhile, Solomon notes in an essay in Friday's Financial Post, «most signatories are ignoring, if not altogether abandoning Paris commitments, undoubtedly because voters in large part put no stock in scary global warming scenarios.»

But according to global warming scenarios from Australian insurer IAG, we won't see major changes in one direction or the other until at least 2040, long past the tenure of today's CEOs.

The authors commented, «These findings are in tune with model projections and some observations that indicate an increase in heavy rain events and a decrease in weak events under global warming scenarios.»

He cited several studies showing that a large number of species on the planet would become extinct in a «business as usual» global warming scenario.

«Some climate models suggest that under global warming scenarios, ocean oxygen content will decrease,» Johnson says.

«Currently, climate models do not agree on how El Niño may change under future global warming scenarios,» said Dr Phipps

Scientists have studied extensively the the Palaeocene - Eocene Thermal Maximum (PETM), about 56 million years ago, a period of rapid global warming that's associated with a temperature spike on par with expectations for today's global warming scenarios.