Sentences with phrase «of marginal seats»

The party has kept control of a number of marginal seats and taken several others from their former coalition partners and Labour.

Of the marginal seats in the 2015 election, two thirds are in cities.

If they behave differently to the national polls, and if different groups of marginal seats behave differently to one another, it's obviously a very big deal.

The allegations centre around the declaration of spending on Conservative battle bus tour in 2015, which took activists to dozens of marginal seats before the election.

Combine this with falling membership of parties and an increasingly volatile party funding base, and it suggests that targeting of marginal seats will become even more prolific in the future.

I don't have a table for how they break down in terms of marginal seats.

In many of the marginal seats that Conservatives have to win to gain an overall majority in 2015, trade union members could hold the balance of power.

More importantly, with a poll of a group of marginal seats like this we can't tell what the distribution of the vote is between these different seats.

I'd been to scores of marginal seats [and] I had no time with my family.

I have my doubts about the reliability of marginal seat polls since the average number of voters polled per constituency is only about 10.

Rather than chop and change, they've set up a consistent block of marginal seats they keep going back to so they can look for changes.

AV would increase the number of marginal seats — a good thing.

The final outcome of the 2015 general election will be shaped by the results in dozens of marginal seats, where relatively modest shifts in voting patterns will be enough to change the result.

Certainly, the recent poll of marginal seats by Lord Ashcroft gave no grounds for believing that the Party is making progress in them.

On Saturday night we noted the huge PoliticsHome survey of marginal seats and its projection of a 146 Tory majority.

ComRes have a poll of marginal seats out tonight covering the forty most marginal seats with Labour and Conservative in first and second place (so 25 with Tory incumbents, 15 with Labour incumbents).

@Don: cut defence spending or Trident and lose a bunch of marginal seats — most of the $ on Trident goes to the US, so you could always announce conventional weapons programmes providing the same jobs in whichever docks would lose out.

The Liberal Party appears to have engaged in «sandbagging», concentrating its campaign on keeping the rising Labor electoral flood out of its marginal seats of Boothby and Sturt.

In the marginal seats, the poll used the same trick I did back in the PoliticsHome polling of marginal seats from 2008.

Having made my way back from conference I've finally had a chance to look properly at Lord Ashcroft's latest batch of marginal seat polling, this time looking mostly at Liberal Democrat seats — both the LD - v - Con battleground and the LD - v - Lab battleground.

The prime minister is certainly demonstrating he has the energy to carry on with a round of regional and national TV radio appearances today and a tour of marginal seats in northern England and Scotland.

Their analysis of marginal seats presented here is based on a paper about to appear online in the journal British Politics.

Brutally, the number of marginal seats where the Tories are the main challengers to them would see off half the Lib Dems current 57 MPs.

The battlebus accusations focused on the declaration of spending on the Conservative campaign tour in 2015, which took activists to dozens of marginal seats before the election.

Loss of his marginal seat in 1945, followed a few months later by his re-election for the safe seat of Bromley, was the base for his successful ministerial career after 1951 - housing, the Foreign Office and the Treasury.

The second issue was the decision of John Howard to take over the Mersey Hospital in Latrobe, then located at the eastern end of the marginal seat of Braddon.

Not only can the state of play in the marginals look rather different from the national polls, different kinds of marginal seat can look rather different from each other.

One recent poll of marginal seats found 74 % of Labour voters and 75 % of Ukip voters backed their local service being bought by the state.

But in post-referendum Scotland, the concept of a marginal seat is rather obsolete.

The ALP's re-election chances hinge on the results in a number of marginal seats across Australia.

In many ways, the same ingredients and electoral logic exist to make 2015 as compelling a contest in FST as 2010 — and there is every chance that the constituency will top the UK league table of marginal seats once again.

Or maybe Labour could add its weight, running a pro-single market campaign to win a slew of marginal seats from the Tories and demolishing Theresa May's hopes of a workable majority?

The polling by Lord Ashcroft found that despite the dreadful national figures, the party is actually running level with the Conservatives in most of the marginal seats that David Cameron needs to win a majority next year.

At the weekend they upped the ante with Alan Partridge's alter ego not only starring in an ad, but also hitting the campaign trail in a number of marginal seats with Labour MP Tom Watson.

The main parties would have to campaign in every corner of Britain, and not just the minority of marginal seats that they are defending or attacking.

Fair enough if you include other seats in the West Midlands - but then of course the same can be said about Lancashire where there's a whole swathe of marginal seats.

«Campaign teams will be sent to work relentlessly in a range of marginal seats which Tories now feel are within their grasp.»

The giant PoliticsHome poll of marginal seats last year also suggested that London was one of the Conservatives weaker areas.

This is something that was first used in the big PoliticsHome polls of marginal seats back before the last election — it makes hardly any difference when you ask people in most seats, but makes the world of difference when you ask people living in seats where the Lib Dems are in contention, presumably picking up tactical voting considerations.

A July poll of marginal seats put UKIP ahead in the constituency but only by a couple of percentage points from Labour.

One senior Tory said the party faces a «devastating pincer movement» from Ukip in a string of marginal seats where Conservatives won in 2010 with narrow majorities over Labour: «If more Tory votes are siphoned off to Ukip, and Lib Dems switch to Labour, we will be done for in those seats and our position in the north of England will be terrible.

Note that this wasn't what we've often called a «marginal poll» in the past (a single poll of a group of marginal seats), it was 14 separate polls, one in each seat, individually sampled and weighted.

Lord Ashcroft had been a key player in Conservative strategy, having written an influential inquest into the party's 2005 general election defeat and bankrolling the targeting of marginal seats in the run - up to the 2010 election.

cut defence spending or Trident and lose a bunch of marginal seats.

Lord Ashcroft put another batch of marginal seat polls out earlier on today.

Over the course of the last month, the voluntary party's tour of marginal seats has clocked up campaign visits to no fewer than 72 constituencies across England, from St Ives in the South West to Tynemouth in the North East.