Changing ocean temperature records decades after the event is no different in kind from changing the
results of an opinion poll predicting an election after the result.
We are concerned that you, a renowned child protection agency, are presenting the
findings of an opinion poll as a serious piece of research.
In addition to sampling error, one should bear in mind that question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the
findings of opinion polls.
Given the state
of the opinion polls in Scotland and the impact of my «Just Say Naw» tour in the Scottish Labour heartlands I'm a little surprised they're not walking the 500 miles just to lay down such a proposal at my door.»
It is interesting that Kedourie was responding to the results
of an opinion poll which showed that the majority of Egyptians supported democracy, but also demanded the implementation of Shari'a (Islamic) law.
And to the extent that a few issues stood out — e.g. ABS — I think the vote can be taken as a
kind of opinion poll on that, with the result not what Mr Kowalski would have liked, but legitimate for all that.
Mr Lewis» local authority was lost to the Conservatives in last week's local election and his concerns are seen to reflect the wider unease within Labour, exacerbated by the
publication of opinion polls yesterday suggesting that the party's popularity has slumped to an all - time low.
It seemed far - fetched at the time, but judging by a
couple of opinion polls at the weekend the former MP for Edinburgh Pentlands might have been on to something.
A new
clutch of opinion polls has shown support for Ukip is refusing to dissipate, despite a decline in media coverage.
That message was an attempt to tap into the politics of hope and change that proved so effective in the US for Obama, and it briefly helped Clegg surge to the
top of the opinion polls.
This seems to be on the
back of opinion polls which may not have changed if you allow for their inbuilt margin of error and which certainly ignore the fact that Northern marginal seats are running ahead of the national figures.
At the start of the campaign for the 2007 Scottish Parliament election, Labour were behind the Scottish National Party (SNP) in
most of the opinion polls.
As the following graph
of opinion poll trends during the 2010 campaign shows, so - called «Cleggmania» peaked immediately after the first debate, when he did most to introduce himself to most voters: his poll ratings, and his party's, surged, while both the Conservatives and Labour fell.
Darling, the former Labour chancellor and now chairman of the pro-UK Better Together campaign, told the Guardian that public opinion in Scotland was «pretty fluid» despite a
spate of opinion polls indicating a solid lead for a «no» vote on independence.»
In the face
of opinion polls suggesting Carswell will become Ukip's first elected MP, the Tories are encouraging anyone to apply to contest the seat, not just members of the party.
«I suppose you could use that as one sort
of opinion poll as to where residents want their money spent.»
There are two main drivers of the rising
cost of opinion polls: First, Americans, wise to telemarketing tricks and empowered by caller ID, are less and less likely to pick up the phone.
The results of the local and European elections look set to go to the wire, with the last
batch of opinion polls putting Labour and Ukip neck - and - neck
It was interesting to note that a quickie poll after the Sky / Paxman interviews, where Cameron and Miliband were grilled, gave Cameron 54 % to Miliband's 46 % That, ironically, in my opinion, is going to be nearer to the Conservative lead (over Labour) in the May popular vote than the current
raft of opinion polls would have us believe.
Her comments comes at back
of an opinion poll by pollster and editor of The Daily Dispatch newspaper, Ben Ephson, which states that Obuobia Darko - Opoku will lose the Weija - Gbawe parliamentary race.
I stated earlier that Labour is doing better in major cities and the South than in the Midlands and North and I based this on chart
R1 of my opinion poll tracker.
«If he [Mr Brown] wants to defend that [42 days] he should put someone up against me and on the
basis of the opinion polls he should at least be able to dent my majority if not defeat me,» Mr Davis argued.
Shadow Attorney General Shami Chakrabarti last night played down the
significance of opinion polls, which she said had failed to predict Brexit or Donald Trump's victory.
Instead of opinion polling, Norpoth relies on statistics from candidates» performances in party primaries and patterns in the electoral cycle to forecast results.
The Conservatives were sailing more than 20 % ahead of the Labour party in a
number of opinion polls, and most expected them to be swept back into power with a hefty majority.
Against the
background of opinion polls pointing to a Labour landslide, in a week he transformed the political weather, forcing Brown to back down at the eleventh hour.
Anthony Wells of UK Polling Report has always cautioned me to be
weary of opinion polls which are conducted over bank holiday weekends but we have a poll from ITV's London Tonight, the Evening Standard and LBC radio which has Boris 4 % ahead of Ken Livingstone after voters» second preferences have been accounted for.
If
scores of opinion polls are correct, current Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn is facing the prospect of leading his party to its worst ever defeat on June 8.
But despite the Shadow Chief Secretary to the Treasury's optimism, analysis
of opinion polls since Mr Corbyn became leader show Labour is, on average, 11 points behind the Tories.
He added: «The potential share of the Conservative vote sitting in the Ukip
column of opinion polls should give us cause for real concern.»
Curtice and his team have now been vindicated by a result that closely matches their prediction, but why was a single exit poll so much more accurate than the
hundreds of opinion polls that preceded the election?
However, the
purpose of an opinion poll is to survey public opinion based on the information the public has at the time; it is not to educate the public.