Sentences with phrase «of precipitation extremes»

At the opposite end of precipitation extremes, drought also poses risks to public health and safety.

Overall, scientists say the climatic causes of precipitation extremes are proving harder to pin down, even as the science of climate change attribution advances rapidly.

They concluded that more than half of the hot extremes worldwide and nearly a fifth of precipitation extremes can be attributed to global warming.

We used probability - based indices of precipitation extremes that facilitate the comparison of observations with models.

Topics include observations of precipitation extremes, detection and attribution work on precipitation extremes and projected changes to precipitation extremes.

The report, «Atmospheric Warming and the Amplification of Precipitation Extremes,» previewed in Science Express this Thursday, August 7, and published in an upcoming issue of Science, found that both observations and models indicated an increase in heavy rainstorms in response to a warmer climate.

This post was originally published on this site Today the journal Nature Climate Change published results of a groundbreaking paper that explores the changing character of precipitation extremes in California.

This is addressed by evaluating change in global or large - scale patterns in the frequency or intensity of extremes (e.g., observed widespread intensification of precipitation extremes attributed to human influence, increase in frequency and intensity of hot extremes) and by event attribution methods.

Bracken C., B. Rajagopalan, L. Cheng, W. Kleiber and S. Gangopadhyay (August 2016): Spatial Bayesian hierarchical modeling of precipitation extremes over a large domain.

Results show that higher - resolution models significantly improve the simulation of mean precipitation, the distribution of precipitation, and spatial patterns, intensity and seasonality of precipitation extremes.

Future change of precipitation extremes in Europe: Intercomparison of scenarios from regional climate models.

«We do see signs of precipitation extremes increasing in these regions.»

O'Gorman, P. A., and T. Schneider, 2009: Scaling of precipitation extremes over a wide range of climates simulated with an idealized GCM.

Dr. Francis Zwiers, PCIC's Director, delivered a talk on recent advances in the detection and attribution of precipitation extremes.

One dynamically downscaled IPCC simulation (WRF - MPI - ECHAM5) has a robust representation of Pacific sea surface temperature variability in the future projection period up to 2040, but the relationship to enhancement of precipitation extremes is not as clear as in observations.

If the temperatures go up to the 2 °C that nations have agreed should be the limit, then the probability of precipitation extremes that could be blamed on global warming rises to 40 %.

Predictions of precipitation extremes have improved since then, on all timescales extending from a few days out to seasons.

The report, «Atmospheric Warming and the Amplification of Precipitation Extremes,» previewed in Science Express this Thursday, August 7, and published in an upcoming issue of Science, found that both observations and models indicated an increase in heavy rainstorms in response to a warmer climate.

In response to 2xCO2 forcing, all models show a mean intensification of precipitation extremes, of approximately 3 - 4 % / K.

Higher - resolution models significantly improve the simulation of mean precipitation, the distribution of precipitation, and spatial patterns, intensity and seasonality of precipitation extremes.

Allan, R. and B. Soden, 2008: Atmospheric Warming and the Amplification of Precipitation Extremes.