Sentences with phrase «prediction uncertainty»

How likely is it that those parameters are off, and what would be the consequences, in terms of overall prediction uncertainty?

Taking into account the well - known pro-Labour bias in the electoral system as well as prediction uncertainty, the method suggested then that the Tories would have a 64 % chance of being the largest party in parliament.

Michaels attended the International Conference on Global Warming and the Next Ice Age which convenes every five years, with the most recent (PDF) being in 2006 (which included an extensive workshop on «climate prediction uncertainties»).

[Response: You misunderstand the sources of prediction uncertainty.

Based on results from large ensemble simulations with the Community Earth System Model, we show that internal variability alone leads to a prediction uncertainty of about two decades, while scenario uncertainty between the strong (Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 8.5) and medium (RCP4.5) forcing scenarios [possible paths for greenhouse gas emissions] adds at least another 5 years.

But the prediction uncertainty is (in data like this) anywhere from 0.1 to 0.5 degrees, plus or minus.»

«I don't know what the prediction uncertainty is for Plait's picture.

1 Anthropocene Introduction to Meteorology, spring 2011 Observations — Trace gases — Temperature, land and ocean — Precipitation — Sea level Attribution Models and predictions Uncertainties