Sentences with phrase «probability outcomes»

Standard deviation and probability are concepts that make us better risk managers because they cause us to consider lower probability outcomes when making investment decisions.

The Court of Appeal will find reversible error, only if the trial court made a mistake serious enough that there is a reasonable probability the outcome would have been different absent the mistake.

Several factors we believe make dollar weakness a high probability outcome over the next few years, of which three stand out:

This is a low probability outcomes as the bulk of the consolidation activity takes place near the 2130 level and this suggests an overall bullish bias to the market.

As a result, these feedbacks could render the tail probability outcomes more likely than we project.

If you do that, the two lowest - probability outcomes get most of the time in the media and you get this dumbed - down debate.

Because predicting probability outcomes can be so challenging, you should abandon hope of getting a perfect bracket and just focus on beating your pool - mates, says Lopez.

Statistical models take the parameters of the past that produced known temperature trends and then developed probability outcomes, were these parameters to show up again.

«Model - based investing also tends to give very little mind to what's perceived to be very low probability outcomes.

Prediction markets, instead of predicted percentages for each option, only produce the probabilities an outcome will occur.

Using a mindful perspective, where you don't worry so much about low probability outcomes, might lead you to a withdrawal rate that is a little higher than 4 %, especially if you think your retirement period is likely to be 40 years or less.

What's more, their willingness to magnify those differences and do little as a result is a high probability outcome.