Yet, if climate change predictions are accurate, some Islands in the region may disappear completely, and others may lose large tracts of land (see page 302 of this Report for photos
of sea level predictions for Masig Island).
Rignot said the results are «probably going to provide more incentive for the next [Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change report] to
revise sea level prediction a little bit upwards.»
Actually, the Monck is an official IPCC reviewer and had pointed out factors which resulted in substantial changes in the AR4 supplement earlier this year (a large reduction
in sea level predictions).
«Based on our results we can see, for the first time globally, what role uncertainties in
extreme sea level predictions play,» said study co-author and associate professor Ivan Haigh of the University of Southampton, UK.
The blue and green curves shown there, labelled Rahmstorf (2007) and Vermeer & Rahmstorf (2009), do not
show sea level predictions we made in those earlier papers.
The IPCC famously drew some of its most
catastrophic sea level predictions from tide gages in Hong Kong that are on land that is sinking (thus imparting an artificial sea level rise in the data).
Sea level predictions revised: By 2100, global sea level is likely to rise at least twice as much as projected by the Working Group 1 of the I.P.C.C. AR4; for unmitigated emissions it may well exceed one meter.
«Met Office halves «worst case»
sea level prediction», says the Telegraph.
The alarmists generally use 2100 as their standard reference year in marking an end point for their long - term GMT and
sea level predictions; but of course, almost no one who is reading these predictions today will be alive in 2100.
The sea level predictions were wrong.